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Message

re: Government cuts will impact hurricane forecasting.

Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:21 pm to
Posted by Macintosh
Leveraging Salaries University
Member since Sep 2011
54235 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:21 pm to
quote:

Really? Where do TD posters get their information? They get it from satellite imagery, radar, readings from buoys, complex weather modeling, and other assets of the NWS. Take away the tech published by the NWS, it all goes away.
yeah no shite and meteorologist are still getting it wrong or take too long to finally get it right. There’s a handful of guys on here who are pretty accurate and make the right calls hours or even days before talking heads make an accurate call
This post was edited on 6/4/25 at 1:22 pm
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
26258 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:23 pm to
quote:

Sounds like propaganda. Post the link with the source cited.

What makes you so farking lazy and helpless?

US Senate Committee and NPR
Posted by TigerMyth36
River Ridge
Member since Nov 2005
40397 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:24 pm to


This guy didn't need government subsidies. Give him a drawing board and he was good to go.
Posted by Chicken
Jackassistan
Member since Aug 2003
24606 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:24 pm to
what a loser...
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
83882 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

yeah no shite and meteorologist are still getting it wrong or take too long to finally get it right. There’s a handful of guys on here who are pretty accurate and make the right calls hours or even days before talking heads make an accurate call



I genuinely don't really get this complaint

Our smart guys here and the NWS guys look at models and try to apply them to the circumstances or blend them or what have you.

Almost everyone is looking at the same information and saying relatively the same stuff. Guys at NWS are probably going to be less quick to chat about what they're seeing because they're an official source of information that people base their lives around.

Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
26258 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

There’s a handful of guys on here who are pretty accurate and make the right calls hours or even days before talking heads make an accurate call

Roger that. When storms are out there I check here and the website of Ed Roy.
Posted by nvasil1
Hellinois
Member since Oct 2009
16909 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

I read the other day that the feds are quietly rehiring NWS meteorologists that DOGE recklessly fired. Maybe they will rehire enough to staff the offices.

The offices were always staffed for significant weather events. Most offices don't need to be open 24 hrs with full-time overnight staff. That's where cuts came in.
Posted by caro81
Member since Jul 2017
5679 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:34 pm to
quote:

I genuinely don't really get this complaint


this is a site full of experts on everything, didnt you know? Complaints abound for any topic.
Posted by TBoy
Kalamazoo
Member since Dec 2007
26258 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

The offices were always staffed for significant weather events. Most offices don't need to be open 24 hrs with full-time overnight staff. That's where cuts came in.

Ok. Any idea why they are hiring back?
Posted by tigersmanager
Member since Jun 2010
8253 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:35 pm to
democrats are such pussies
Posted by Jgeaux21
Member since May 2022
24 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:36 pm to
He mentions that we did not the power of a storm before it hit Acapulco. Why do we care, I am sure NOAA(Mexican version) was out there with their plane. Why do we have to provide that service for the world. Perhaps the 39% understaffing is for the international forecast. I am always suspect when a govt agency says they are understaffed. I usually assume they were overstaffed originally.
Posted by Pettifogger
I don't really care, Margaret
Member since Feb 2012
83882 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

this is a site full of experts on everything, didnt you know? Complaints abound for any topic.


I know, and I really do get being frustrated by weather forecasts that end up off

But you're predicting something entirely out of your control subject to massive variables some of which we still don't fully understand, so it's just bizarre to me that when a hurricane comes in 20 miles from where we thought it would 48 hours ago that's considered an L to some on here instead of a pretty big W.

Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
172464 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:40 pm to
cone of probabilities.
Posted by JackieTreehorn
Malibu
Member since Sep 2013
33070 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:41 pm to
They can't be more wrong than they already usually are.
Posted by KiwiHead
Auckland, NZ
Member since Jul 2014
33245 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:41 pm to
Do it old school like Nash Roberts in New Orleans with a erasable black marker and a map. His accuracy tended to be very close to accurate.

He'd get his info straight from the Hurricane Hunters as well as the NWS
Posted by TigerGman
Center of the Universe
Member since Sep 2006
12558 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:42 pm to
17% less balloons is a big deal? And he only says south Florida forecasters, not NOAA

Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
133813 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:52 pm to
quote:

But you're predicting something entirely out of your control subject to massive variables some of which we still don't fully understand, so it's just bizarre to me that when a hurricane comes in 20 miles from where we thought it would 48 hours ago that's considered an L to some on here instead of a pretty big W.


When I worked for big oil, the weather dudes inside GOA division nailed forecast. They have to because decisions to evacuate and shut-in offshore platforms are critical money making decisions. The weather forecast published for public consumption has a much larger factor of safety, which it has to because it's mostly an ill-informed and/or under prepared audience.
This post was edited on 6/4/25 at 1:56 pm
Posted by real turf fan
East Tennessee
Member since Dec 2016
10274 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:53 pm to
I would fire his sorry, ignorant arse so fast his Lows would be occluded.
Posted by Klark Kent
Houston via BR
Member since Jan 2008
70054 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 1:57 pm to
you get that insider info from Reddit?
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
20622 posts
Posted on 6/4/25 at 2:02 pm to
Dude's a fool and couldn't forecast accurately before
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