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Gas Price Question for you O&G folks

Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:21 pm
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7431 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:21 pm
Saw a Tweet this morning and I felt like the statement made surely lacked nuance. I'm genuinely hoping someone can explain this to me like I'm 10yo...what's responsible for a nearly 50% increase in gas prices with the same oil prices?

Basically, the tweet said that in 2014, with the exact same crude prices, gas peaked at ~$3.60/gal but is now going for over $5 a gallon, roughly a 40% increase in the crude/gas price ratio.

The point of the tweet was to blame price-gouging. What are they missing?
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35348 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:23 pm to
Posted by Displaced
Member since Dec 2011
32713 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:23 pm to
You don't pump 89 octane outta the earth baw.
Posted by Captain Crackysack
Member since Oct 2017
2231 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:24 pm to
quote:

tweet said that in 2014
well it seems like they are missing 8 years of economic data
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7431 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:25 pm to
I know there are many components, as you've shown, but which of those components are accounting for a 40% increase given the same crude price?

I'm not trying to make a point...I'm just trying to understand where costs have increased to the degree they have.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84121 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

The point of the tweet was to blame price-gouging. What are they missing?
Cost increases across the board and rampant inflation.
Posted by JDPndahizzy
JDP
Member since Nov 2013
6446 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:25 pm to
I think its the corn..JK..

Supply/Demand
It's always Supply/Demand
This post was edited on 6/16/22 at 1:27 pm
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84121 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

I'm not trying to make a point


You don't actually expect anyone to believe this right?
Posted by Emmitt Fitzhume
West of South Vacherie
Member since May 2010
182 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:26 pm to
More demand since 2014 and less refinery's. Also more EPA restrictions. Most administrations would wave some EPA restrictions to help drop the cost of gas in the short term, but not Potato Head Biden.
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7431 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:26 pm to
quote:

You don't pump 89 octane outta the earth baw.


So refinery capabilities are less now than they were in 2014? They can't refine as much oil so, despite the oil price being the same, there's petrol scarcity in play?
Posted by Breauxsif
Member since May 2012
22290 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

mmmmmbeeer

Posted by 0x15E
Outer Space
Member since Sep 2020
12716 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

What am I missing?


Seems like a more appropriate question
Posted by OweO
Plaquemine, La
Member since Sep 2009
113964 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:28 pm to
When Covid shut the country down no one was traveling. People worked from home, air traffic slowed down. That was a big hit on O&G. They are making up for those losses right now.
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118846 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

The point of the tweet was to blame price-gouging. What are they missing?



The people price gouging. Show evidence of the people doing this.

You won't find it. There is probably not a more efficient market due to supply and demand than gasoline.
Posted by kywildcatfanone
Wildcat Country!
Member since Oct 2012
119220 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

The point of the tweet was to blame price-gouging. What are they missing?


The cost of F350's have gone up since 2014.
Posted by LNCHBOX
70448
Member since Jun 2009
84121 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:29 pm to
quote:

When Covid shut the country down no one was traveling. People worked from home, air traffic slowed down. That was a big hit on O&G. They are making up for those losses right now.




Another retard has entered the chat. If it is so easy for them to ave record profits whenever they decide, why do they ever stop?
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21075 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:30 pm to
Do you understand how supply and demand works?
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7431 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

If it is so easy for them to ave record profits whenever they decide, why do they ever stop?


Unless their margins have changed, the "record profits" nonsense is just that, nonsense.

That's why I'm asking the questions I'm asking. I don't think these prices are due to oil companies increasing their margins by 40%.
Posted by fightin tigers
Downtown Prairieville
Member since Mar 2008
73681 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:31 pm to
quote:

When Covid shut the country down no one was traveling. People worked from home, air traffic slowed down. That was a big hit on O&G. They are making up for those losses right now.


You are close, but miss a huge part of the puzzle.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36660 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Basically, the tweet said that in 2014, with the exact same crude prices, gas peaked at ~$3.60/gal but is now going for over $5 a gallon, roughly a 40% increase in the crude/gas price ratio.


Inventory is lower than it was in 2014, both in terms of crude and refined product.



On top of that we are exporting more diesel and gasoline to Europe than ever before.

So we less crude to refine thus the higher price per barrel, less gas to sell and a lower refining capacity to restock inventories. All while demand is basically back to 2019 level.
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