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re: Gas Price Question for you O&G folks

Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:32 pm to
Posted by armsdealer
Member since Feb 2016
11524 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:32 pm to
Profits are at record levels

BECAUSE

we have more demand than supply

Technically both sides are right, but they are both also "missing information". You can't have inflation of businesses never raise prices, the first business that raises prices because demand outstrips supply didn't have any additional costs that influenced them to raise prices, it is just the start of the chain reaction that is huge. Obviously demand went up from all the free money from PPP loans and stimulus checks and record spending the past 6 years, hell we have been on this track since after the Gingrich congress was no more.
Posted by notiger1997
Metairie
Member since May 2009
58246 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

They are making up for those losses right now.


LOL
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7441 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Do you understand how supply and demand works?


I would expect a closer relationship between oil demand and gas demand. That's why I'm confused.

Seems the answer is refining capacity has driven gas demand far beyond the demand for crude.
Posted by LEASTBAY
Member since Aug 2007
14318 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:34 pm to
Exxon operating at a huge loss though. Likely because of investments mostly.
Posted by Da Joker
Member since Jan 2017
320 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:36 pm to
Everything costs more than it did in 2014. The workers cost more, the equipment costs more, the transportation costs more. That's what you're overlooking.
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21233 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:38 pm to
quote:

Everything costs more than it did in 2014. The workers cost more, the equipment costs more, the transportation costs more. That's what you're overlooking


All of this, plus there is less supply than 2014.


(Almost) everything you love about gas prices is because of Joe Biden.
Posted by TexasTiger89
Houston, TX
Member since Feb 2005
24354 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:41 pm to
quote:

Inventory is lower than it was in 2014, both in terms of crude and refined product.



Winner, winner, chicken dinner.
Posted by keakar
Member since Jan 2017
30118 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:42 pm to
quote:

what's responsible for a nearly 50% increase in gas prices with the same oil prices?


refining costs have skyrocketed

they arent even making money at this point, they are losing money, all while MSM keeps lying about them making huge profits when thats a lie, with refining costs today they are barely breaking even, all while biden is shutting down more refineries, very soon there wont be a single refinery operating in this country anywhere
Posted by Skeeterzx190
Ponchatoula
Member since Sep 2019
189 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:46 pm to
Also take into consideration the cost of electricity. Just as your electric bill probably went up $100 this month by entergy refineries also have to deal with it. Even though refineries use steam to turn turbines with electric motors as back up the monthly electric bill at a refinery is astronomical. Also add the cost of supplied hydrogen, steam, some catalyst for a cat cracker, etc. Refineries are designed to be efficient but still have to deal with rising costs to operate and keep the lights on. There is also shipping cost to deal with that have increased to get it to the pump. The shipping of gas and diesel is also a factor. Ocean going ships, local barge companies, trucking companies, and the railroad have also increased prices
This post was edited on 6/16/22 at 1:50 pm
Posted by grizzlylongcut
Member since Sep 2021
9540 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:48 pm to
quote:

mmmmmbeeer


You're too stupid to help. Hope you like the lack of mean tweets. fricking loser.
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35553 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

refining costs have skyrocketed they arent even making money at this point, they are losing money


Well this is about as far from the truth as it gets lol.
Posted by WizardSleeve
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2011
1802 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:49 pm to
The oil futures and spot oil price in 2014 were much lower than the oil futures and spot prices today. The information in that tweet is just wrong. The crude prices were not the exact same.

In 2014 oil futures were around $100 in Jan 2014 and dropped steadily throughout the year to $50 per barrel at the end of '14.

The current oil price as well as futures are almost $120 per barrel. That is 20% higher than the beginning of 2014 and almost 2.5 times the price of oil at the end of 2014.

Also average gas prices followed that trend. The price per gallon average of gas at the beginning of 2014 was north of $3 per gallon. By December the price as $2 flat per gallon. These numbers reflect the price of oil going from $100 to $50 during the same time.

The current price of oil is 2.5 times the price of oil in December 2014 and the current price of gas is about the same 2.5 times the price of gas in December 2014. Even ignoring the factors of distribution and refining adding costs that aren't the same as in 2014, these numbers seem very reasonable and normal to me.

Dont believe what you see on social media, look it up yourself.


WTI Crude oil prices and futures chart history

Avg gas price history chart

Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59750 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:50 pm to
You realize how many trucks are running g to rigs daily spending 6 bucks a gallon for deisel
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
24073 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:50 pm to
quote:

I know there are many components, as you've shown, but which of those components are accounting for a 40% increase given the same crude price?

Refining capacity in this country and across the world has decreased the last couple years for a number of reasons.

There’s a huge part of the equation.
Posted by Darth_Vader
A galaxy far, far away
Member since Dec 2011
64763 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:51 pm to
What was the value of the US dollar in 2014 compared to today?

The US dollar has lost roughly 23% of its buying power since 214
Posted by JohnnyKilroy
Cajun Navy Vice Admiral
Member since Oct 2012
35553 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:53 pm to
quote:

You realize how many trucks are running g to rigs daily spending 6 bucks a gallon for deisel


Not remotely enough for his post to be true lmao
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
7441 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:54 pm to
quote:

Dont believe what you see on social media, look it up yourself.


Amen...and thanks for correcting things.
Posted by RogerTheShrubber
Juneau, AK
Member since Jan 2009
261492 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 1:54 pm to
Nothing you say will convince this clown that we aren't being gouged. He's a perpetual victim.
Posted by TigerAlumni2010
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2011
4336 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 2:00 pm to
quote:

The point of the tweet was to blame price-gouging. What are they missing?



Inflation caused by the shitty economic policies, Supply/Demand, and an administration that is openly hostile to O&G.
Posted by Nado Jenkins83
Land of the Free
Member since Nov 2012
59750 posts
Posted on 6/16/22 at 2:09 pm to
Im talk 18 wheelers. Sometimes you could have 30 trucks roll in a day delivering something or another. Cost of all the small moving parts are going up big time. Vast shortages of equipment that are keeping rigs from completing wells under budget. Yea if they hit good well that becomes chump change. Its still a gamble and not all produce like others.
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