- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:40 am to AmosMosesAndTwins
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:40 am to AmosMosesAndTwins
quote:
The cone shrinks as uncertainty decreases.
Huge misconception.
The cone has nothing to do with the current confidence in any storm. It is simply a cone that is formed by taking the center forecast at each interval and then drawing a circle around that point that would have captured 65% of the track errors of the previous 5 years at that interval.
These are set in stone all year, whether they know where it’s going with 100% confidence or 0% confidence.
3
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:40 am to rds dc
worried about the tornado threat on the eastern side of the storm as it encounters wind shear while heading inland
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:40 am to Impotent Waffle
From MississippiWx on S2k: "Center relocation found around 23.5N 95.6W...dead center of the convective mass. Appears to finally be consolidating a core too."
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:41 am to Epic Cajun
quote:
Anyone in the Lafayette/Broussard/Youngsville area remember that severe weather that came in early May?
That hail was crazy. Roofers knocked on my door every week for a month before I ran them off. Luckily my roof didn’t have much damage at all. My neighbor just replaced his in July and said “with my luck we will have a hurricane and I’ll have to do this over again.”
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:41 am to slackster
Interesting, I stand corrected.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:41 am to SWLA92
quote:
hopefully by tonight it’s get more stable, so we can get a better idea.
Screw that. The longer it takes to develop the weaker it will be.
Give me less predictability for a weaker storm than a more predictable stronger storm any day.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:42 am to loogaroo
Well let’s hope I can land at MSY Tuesday night
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:42 am to jmarto1
quote:
I run the Hooters on MLK and have a big size lot. I'll send you an email
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:43 am to LSUfan4444
This could be the first test for St. George's new mayor to show off his emergency preparedness.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:43 am to slackster
quote:
Convection might be tugging the circulation to the NW.
10am update was 23.0 N 94.9W, but this recon pass was 23.5N, 95.6W
Not a huge deal but the storm center still isn’t super clear.
06z HWRF seems to be doing the best this morning. It does show the elongated circulation trying to consolidate on the NW end.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:43 am to Impotent Waffle
quote:
Wait I thought it was going to do that and then picked up and carried off to the East?
It’s supposed to move that way at 5 mph, not 56 miles in 30 minutes.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:43 am to Nguyener
quote:
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 10:44 am
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:44 am to Nguyener
Looks like a wiener hehe
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:45 am to HoopyD
quote:
Did the system that sat around in the gulf a couple of days ago cool water temps enough to have an impact?
It usually takes a stronger storm to bring the cooler water to the top of the surface. I doubt it affected the water temps
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:45 am to slackster
Woah…. Yeah that is a bit much
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:45 am to burdman
quote:
Looks like a wiener hehe
Francine is a total dick.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:46 am to DrewTheEngineer
LSU too. Wednesday through Friday.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:46 am to LSUfan4444
And Donz is my mandeville go to! Dammit!!
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:48 am to slackster
A lot of y'all forget just how insane the cones were 20 years ago
Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:48 am to DrewTheEngineer
quote:
Prediction: EBR schools will close Wednesday and Thursday.
That's a given. The only thing that remains uncertain is if the can successfully lobby to close Tuesday and Friday....which I promise you they are already arguing for.
Page 95 of 492
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News