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Posted on 9/9/24 at 10:59 am to LSUfan4444
So I know it's hard to project things like intensity, but I was wondering is this worst case scenario where it hits the high end cat 2/cat 3 or is there other possible worst case scenarios on the table that could make it worse? There has to be a limit somewhere based on the environmental conditions is what I'm asking. Like it could take a worse path than it's doing now for intensity levels?
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 11:01 am
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:00 am to slinger1317
quote:
I mean any excuse to go to Destin is valid, but evacuating for a Cat 1 is pretty soft IMHO
After I saw Olga drop 3 trees on houses in October 2019 in Mandeville, we leave for pretty much any named storm. With 2 kids under 7, its not worth the risk of having a pine coming down on the house with us in it.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:00 am to rds dc
Betsy, Camille, Katrina, Rita, Laura, Ida, Francine
bad bitches
bad bitches
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:01 am to The Boat
And it will land at night?

Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:02 am to John Casey
Think they had tornadoes come through my neighborhood because if you look at the wood line outside the neighborhood all the 100ft. pines just disappeared. Luckily, none of that came the way of the neighborhood. Did us a favor.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:03 am to friendlyobservation
Ultimately, the best chance for a stronger storm is developing more quickly than what it has been and staying over water longer (AKA, more of an eastern track). I think you've got a good gauge so far and no need to expect anything more right now but I will always prepare for a >=3 early then adjust backwards than the other way around.
"Worst case" is really tough to get into but if you want to prepare for worst case, don't stop at 3.
"Worst case" is really tough to get into but if you want to prepare for worst case, don't stop at 3.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:03 am to Thib-a-doe Tiger
quote:
Deflate the tires and throw a few ratchet straps across the top
This post was edited on 9/9/24 at 11:04 am
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:04 am to John Casey
quote:
After I saw Olga drop 3 trees on houses in October 2019 in Mandeville, we leave for pretty much any named storm. With 2 kids under 7, its not worth the risk of having a pine coming down on the house with us in it.
Agreed...reservations in Destin made, tee times at Indian Bayou booked.
The only thing that would get be back before Sunday would be my daughter's XC meet in BR. If that's gets cancelled, we will stay through the weekend regardless.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:04 am to LSUfan4444
quote:
Man, I feel so bad for Donz in Mandeville. They're going to get another few feet of water AGAIN
It was packed when I drove by yesterday afternoon. With that said, if they have not rebuilt that place with waterproof material by now, they will never learn.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:05 am to WigSplitta22
My 90 year old parents live in Kenner. In the current path-
Will they lose power and get some 20 or 30 mph wind and rain?
They are self sufficient. They have supplies.
Will they lose power and get some 20 or 30 mph wind and rain?
They are self sufficient. They have supplies.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:06 am to SippyCup
quote:
if they have not rebuilt that place with waterproof material by now, they will never learn.
Yeah, they definitely did a better job with rising water this time around I still just hate to see it.
I'd rather a tornado rip the roof off of Barley Oak then Donz get another 3' of water.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:08 am to SomethingLikeA
Get them out. I tell my dad this everytime. Then they lose power and he always leaves after the storm. So silly.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:08 am to The Boat
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:08 am to jmarto1
quote:
I run the Hooters on MLK and have a big size lot. I'll send you an email
hooters is OK with someone serving other food in their lot?
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:09 am to rds dc
quote:
Something to watch is how organized the system is when it passes near South Texas. The Euro allows dry air to wrap into the circulation, while the GFS keeps the core protected from dry air.
06z Euro
06z GFS
Keeping dry air out of the circulation plays a role in how strong the system can get. A more robust system will not weaken as fast on approach to the coast as it can better fend off wind shear.
12z Global model runs trending weaker vs. 00z runs. It looks like the 12z runs are seeing a bit more dry air intrusion vs. earlier runs.
Posted on 9/9/24 at 11:10 am to friendlyobservation
quote:
Think they had tornadoes come through my neighborhood because if you look at the wood line outside the neighborhood all the 100ft. pines just disappeared. Luckily, none of that came the way of the neighborhood. Did us a favor.
Had to have been tornadoes in our neighborhood, too.
Woke up in the middle of the night and sounded so bad outside. Walked around the neighborhood the next morning, and trees were down everywhere.
And Olga was just a tropical storm.
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