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re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted on 9/11/24 at 2:24 am to
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
177328 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 2:24 am to
A doppler radar and dropsonde mission just left Keesler then the next full location, intensity, and wind mission leaves at 4.
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 2:47 am
Posted by Fusaichi Pegasus
Meh He Co
Member since Oct 2010
14709 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 3:08 am to
Biloxi?
Posted by soccerfüt
Location: A Series of Tubes
Member since May 2013
74853 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 3:17 am to
Unless they moved Keesler AFB, yes.
Posted by ThuperThumpin
Member since Dec 2013
9361 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 3:18 am to
So in relation to other Storms that have recently hit BR....would it be fair to say this will be worse than IDA but not as bad as Gustav as far as projected wind damage?
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 3:19 am
Posted by tigersownall
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2011
17008 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 3:30 am to
Nvm
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 3:31 am
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15748 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:04 am to
just woke up and looked at the satellite

Posted by TheGhostOfBigLee
Member since Oct 2018
1088 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:08 am to
Looks like it definitely moved east. Strengthened as well
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
25205 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:09 am to
Being the only one awake during the big 4AM update and not having my OT brethren explain, bitch about, concern troll, and tell stories about their coworker saying Gonzales will get 25 inches of rain:

Posted by iron banks
Destrehan
Member since Jul 2014
4258 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:13 am to
Fox 8 is till intent on having NOLA take it up the poop shoot.
Posted by mattchewbocca
houma, la
Member since Jun 2008
6907 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:13 am to
Expected to be a cat 2 by 1 pm. Maybe sooner
Posted by phil good
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
1704 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:15 am to
quote:

Being the only one awake during the big 4AM update


I'm up as well. I haven't heard anything about that amount of rain.
Posted by Bottom9
Arsenal Til I Die
Member since Jul 2010
25205 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:17 am to
quote:

I'm up as well. I haven't heard anything about that amount of rain


Some baw on here's coworker was fear mongering him and his other coworkers about that amount of rain passing through. This was like 100 pages back
Posted by DVinBR
Member since Jan 2013
15748 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:20 am to
Looks like it's moving right along guidance from yesterday evening
Posted by The Pirate King
Pangu
Member since May 2014
68423 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:22 am to
quote:

Looks like it definitely moved east


Maybe slightly. Not much.
Posted by Hellp
Member since May 2023
104 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:22 am to
What’s the update? Where is the storm going to hit center? Crappy weather updates online.
Posted by Basura Blanco
Member since Dec 2011
11747 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:23 am to
AccuWeather seems to be on the extreme upper end of wind speed forecasts (perhaps because they classify them as Peak numbers?) but the numbers for the Northshore exploded since midnight and have surpassed BR.

Accuweather Forecasted Impacts Baton Rouge
Peak Sustained Winds 56 mph
Peak Wind Gusts 69 mph

Accuweather Forecasted Impacts Mandeville
Peak Sustained Winds 54 mph
Peak Wind Gusts 72 mph

Accuweather Mandeville

By comparison, the latest from Weather Underground has sustained winds speeds maxing out at 33 mph. That is a huge discrepancy.

Weather Underground Mandeville

EDIT
Best app for wind speed I have experience with is Windfinder. It has winds on the lakefront in Mandeville at 35 sustained gusting to 52. Other sites seem to support this. Accuweather is definitely the outlier.

All of the sites have peak winds hitting Mandeville between 10pm and Midnight tonight (or I guess tomorrow Wednesday if you are still up and in the gin)
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 4:35 am
Posted by GCTiger11
Ocean Springs, MS
Member since Jan 2012
46144 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:25 am to
Guess to start taking it serious in Biloxi?
Posted by EST
Investigating
Member since Oct 2003
18290 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:28 am to
Frick! The current track takes the center right over my house.
Posted by moe1967
South Louisiana
Member since Jul 2023
381 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:29 am to
quote:

Showing my old age here, but I remember sitting on our front porch during the eye of Hurricane Betsy. We had two pine trees in our front yard and they were leaning to one side from the strong winds during the first half of the storm. They were making a creaking noise and it was kind of creepy. I remember thinking they would get blown down completely during the second half of the storm, but they did not. They are huge trees now and you can see the bend in the trunks from Betsy and then how they just continued growing straight up from that point.


There is a very large pine tree on my way to work that has a distinctive bend in it and a lean toward the north. I've been saying that it will fall in the next hurricane.

I've been saying that for at least the last 20 years. LOL
Posted by shoelessjoe
Member since Jul 2006
11404 posts
Posted on 9/11/24 at 4:38 am to
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quote:

Frick! The current track takes the center right over my house.

Where you at? Was just looking on the weather channel forecast, the future part of it looks like it takes the eye east of the track. The eye is on the outer part of the projected path.
This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 4:53 am
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