re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted by NorthEndZone

Member since Dec 2008

14297 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:49 am to lsuman25

quote:
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 100 AM CDT (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Francine was
located near latitude 26.6 North, longitude 94.1 West. Francine is
moving toward the northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h). A faster
northeastward motion is expected today, and Francine is anticipated
to make landfall in Louisiana within the warning area this
afternoon or evening. After landfall, the center is expected to
move northward into Mississippi tonight and Thursday.

Data from the Air Force Hurricane Hunters indicate that maximum
sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some additional strengthening is expected this morning.
Francine is expected to weaken quickly after it moves inland.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from
the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115
miles (185 km).

The minimum central pressure based on data from the Air Force
Hurricane Hunters is 977 mb (28.85 inches).

Posted by BugaNaish

Member since Nov 2016

103 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:51 am to NorthEndZone

So damn near Cat 2 already?

Posted by mattchewbocca

houma, la

Member since Jun 2008

6907 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:51 am to BugaNaish

This sucks! I hate hurricanes

Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

91838 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:51 am to shoelessjoe

quote:
I’ve asked this and haven’t gotten a clear answer. I’m looking on windy.com and noticing that while the storm passes, it’s telling me that the winds will be in the 30/35 mph range. I’m not understanding with the eye passing this close to me, why are those winds that low? Category 1 should be 75mph minimum and I’m not seeing that. Why is that?

Where are you?

Posted by lsugolfredman

Member since Jun 2005

1941 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:52 am to BugaNaish

0z Euro spitting out some pretty sporty wind gusts for BR and SELA

Posted by shoelessjoe

Member since Jul 2006

11404 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:55 am to slackster

quote:
Where are you?

Donaldsonville

Posted by Roux22

Member since Jan 2023

866 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 12:58 am to shoelessjoe

I’m not an expert here, but it is safe to say you’ll see over 35 mph winds in Donaldsonville.

Posted by whoa

New Orleans

Member since Sep 2017

5922 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:00 am to Roux22

Go to nws.gov and type in your ZIP in the upper left corner. It’ll give you wind estimates in a graph.

This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 1:18 am

Posted by slackster

Houston

Member since Mar 2009

91838 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:01 am to shoelessjoe

Windy app might just have some weird data, but there is no guarantee you'll see 75 mph winds just because the storm is rated as such. The winds are in such a small area and you're 50 miles inland.

Hell, Morgan City seeing actual sustained hurricane force winds would be a little surprising.

Try here for NWS forecast for Donaldsonville

Posted by shoelessjoe

Member since Jul 2006

11404 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:10 am to slackster

Thanks. Appreciate the help. Just concerned is all. Just built a new home and not looking forward to already have problems!!!

Posted by Nguyener

Kame House

Member since Mar 2013

21057 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:24 am to shoelessjoe

I am finally home. Which I am thankful for. I understand actual landfall is later afternoon does anyone estimate when the New Orleans area will start seeing tropical storm force winds?

At one point it was 1pm then I saw 10am earlier. Any update on that?

This post was edited on 9/11/24 at 1:47 am

Posted by rmnldr

Member since Oct 2013

40305 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:30 am to Nguyener

Posted by mattchewbocca

houma, la

Member since Jun 2008

6907 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:38 am to rmnldr

Damn thing looks to be blowing up.

Posted by Jim Rockford

Member since May 2011

105300 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:46 am to slackster

quote:
Hell, Morgan City seeing actual sustained hurricane force winds would be a little surprising.

What makes you say that?

Posted by MrLSU

Yellowstone, Val d'isere

Member since Jan 2004

29741 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:47 am to mattchewbocca

quote:

Damn thing looks to be blowing up.

Looks like its moving slightly more east as well.

Posted by tiger lady

Baton Rouge, LA.

Member since Sep 2003

439 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:48 am to Mr Roboto

Showing my old age here, but I remember sitting on our front porch during the eye of Hurricane Betsy. We had two pine trees in our front yard and they were leaning to one side from the strong winds during the first half of the storm. They were making a creaking noise and it was kind of creepy. I remember thinking they would get blown down completely during the second half of the storm, but they did not. They are huge trees now and you can see the bend in the trunks from Betsy and then how they just continued growing straight up from that point.

Posted by RIPMachoMan

Member since Jun 2011

9072 posts

Posted on 9/11/24 at 1:49 am to MrLSU

quote:
Looks like its moving slightly more east as well.