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2
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:00 pm to Oates Mustache
12z Euro caves to the GFS showing a 987mb storm just west of the TX/La state line
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:03 pm to Oates Mustache
Possibly.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:07 pm to t00f
Formation chances up to 70% through 7 days
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:08 pm to SWLA92
Should make for a fun week at work :(
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:53 pm to LSURoss
Do you think this "front' is even going to push this system into the lower gulf at all? I thought it would be clear by now in Lafayette, yet it's the same cloudy crap we've had all week.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 1:55 pm to TigerDCC11
It’s basically pushed it down into the BOC but the front retreats and lets the system come back north. There’s a separate front forecasted to drop down midweek and meet up with the system. Therefore shear could come into play and keep it from strengthening too much and sweeping it east. But that can all change and it’s all about timing.
This post was edited on 9/7/24 at 1:58 pm
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:00 pm to SWLA92
My point is that, it doesn't look like this front will push it as far south as predicted. Are you telling me the system is already in the BOC? If so, why are we not seeing the clear skies the weathermen have been predicting all week?
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:01 pm to rds dc
My sunflower project to benefit St. Jude will be drowned. 
This post was edited on 9/7/24 at 2:02 pm
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:03 pm to TigerDCC11
quote:
My point is that, it doesn't look like this front will push it as far south as predicted. Are you telling me the system is already in the BOC? If so, why are we not seeing the clear skies the weathermen have been predicting all week?
Dont consider the system that stalled near the coast the prime player. Its the Caribbean wave in the BOC that will absorb any remaining energy from the coastal low and slingshot it north towards another frontal boundary.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:04 pm to lsugolfredman
Already pretty decent twist with the wave coming off the yucatan
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:18 pm to TigerDCC11
No I’m saying 91L is already in the BOC. The front that pushed through overnight pushed 90L down into the gulf basically shearing it to pieces but that energy with converge with 91L and come back north.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:26 pm to SWLA92
HMON and HWRF not interested
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:28 pm to SWLA92
Yeah, it’s like 2 lows are going to combine in a few days and make a real storm, i think.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:29 pm to rds dc
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:29 pm to Bobby OG Johnson
It’s been raining here since Tuesday. It’s time for some sunshine.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 2:45 pm to Cosmo
quote:
HMON and HWRF not interested
It looks like the 12z hurricane models are struggling with the merger of 90L (NHC pulled it off the board, but the vort lives on) and 91L. This cycle of runs favors moving 91L into NE Mexico/ South Texas in 3 or 4 days, which limits development.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 3:05 pm to rds dc
quote:eww don’t like this run
This cycle of runs favors moving 91L into NE Mexico/ South Texas in 3 or 4 days, which limits development.
Posted on 9/7/24 at 3:12 pm to rds dc
So am I better off catching snakes in West Texas or the Everglades next weekend?
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