re: Francine - Landfall in Terrebonne Parish as CAT 2 100 mph

Posted by lsugolfredman

Member since Jun 2005

1941 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:06 am to lsuman25

Yep, past couple runs have shaved a few mbs off landfall. Still likely capped on ultimate strength, but not great.

This post was edited on 9/7/24 at 11:15 am

Posted by SWLA92

SWLA

Member since Feb 2015

5053 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:09 am to lsuman25

Yep looks like 980mb into the town of Cameron

Posted by Jim Rockford

Member since May 2011

105300 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:12 am to SWLA92

Is there even a town there any more?

Posted by Dire Wolf

bawcomville

Member since Sep 2008

40349 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:13 am to SWLA92

quote:
Yep looks like 980mb into the town of Cameron

This one seems like the classic, get the Houston media in a tizzy only to hit lake Charles

Posted by TDsngumbo

Member since Oct 2011

50753 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:13 am to Jim Rockford

This one's making damn sure whatever Laura and Delta left is gonna be dealt with.

Posted by SWLA92

SWLA

Member since Feb 2015

5053 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:15 am to Jim Rockford

Sadly the only thing left is plant industry and the old people that refuse to leave their home.

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182361 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:16 am to TDsngumbo

Cat 1 or a TD when it hits Lake Chuck?

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182361 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:19 am to TDsngumbo

quote:

This one's making damn sure whatever Laura and Delta left is gonna be dealt with.

Are you worried about a tropical depression?

Remember years ago after Rita how in 2007 Humberto formed quickly in the gulf and made landfall around Beaumont? The wind wasn't bad but the flooding in some areas sucked.

Posted by lsugolfredman

Member since Jun 2005

1941 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:20 am to stout

Essentially, yes. Verbatim, shows Cat 2 on this run, but will be sheared out on approach.

This post was edited on 9/7/24 at 11:21 am

Posted by geauxtigers87

Louisiana

Member since Mar 2011

27428 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:26 am to lsugolfredman

hasn't ICON been the best model so far? it takes it more east

Posted by SWLA92

SWLA

Member since Feb 2015

5053 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:27 am to geauxtigers87

So far it’s done the best this season on systems in the gulf

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182361 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:28 am to geauxtigers87

quote:
it takes it more east

Yea let Lafayette have a turn. They're the only I10 city that hasn't had a hit within 30'ish miles.

Posted by Cowboyfan89

Member since Sep 2015

13047 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:40 am to stout

Wish I could downvote this more than once.

Frick "wishing" a hurricane on anyone in LA at this point. Say good bye to any semblance of reasonable homeowner's insurance at that point...

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182361 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:41 am to Cowboyfan89

quote:

Wish I could downvote this more than once.

Frick "wishing" a hurricane on anyone in LA at this point. Say good bye to any semblance of reasonable homeowner's insurance at that point...

Well, we all would prefer it to just disappear but at this point, it looks like LA is getting it so it might as well not be Lake Charles in my biased opinion

3 ...

Posted by friendlyobservation

Member since Mar 2024

5175 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:43 am to stout

If it hit Cameron it's extremely low population. Not many people live in that area. You don't really want it on anyone but wouldn't that be one of the better places it could hit? (unless you live there or have relatives of course)

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

131569 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:43 am to stout

quote:
Well, we all would prefer it to just disappear but at this point, it looks like LA is getting it

Based on models with absolutely no defined system to work with?

TX could get it or it could be a nothingburger or it could go even farther east

Posted by stout

Porte du Lafitte

Member since Sep 2006

182361 posts

Posted on 9/7/24 at 11:45 am to Cosmo

When I said "at this point" which you quoted in your response that means with the data we have as of now. The runs at this point show it coming to LA.