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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
Posted by Prominentwon
LSU, McNeese St. Fan
Member since Jan 2005
95017 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
quote:

I could see them closing schools starting tomorrow and kids coming back monday at the earliest


Reverse psychology wishcasting.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40988 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
I cancelled my reservations in Katy for Thurs - Sunday. So if anyone needs two rooms at the Comfort Suites Katy Mills, there should be two more available =)
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75044 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:22 am to
quote:

Still a south loaded system, but is starting to build in that north side some. Solid CDO around the center and what could be the first signs of an eye wanting to show it's self but I'm not 100% sure that's what we're seeing there yet with it just getting toward the open water.


Did you see the tweet I linked last night about how cool the cloud tops were prior to landfall on the Yucatan? And that was during a "weakening" phase. I forget the actual numbers.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53876 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:22 am to
damn, no A&W fast food for you this weekend
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
40988 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

damn, no A&W fast food for you this weekend


Hard pass.

Friday night dinner at El Rancho and Saturday night dinner at El Jarrito would have been nice, I'll just have to go another weekend.
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53876 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:24 am to
Good call, I think only like it because La doesn't have them
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:27 am
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

So the sooner the ridge sets, the more quickly it will begin to move north-northeast?


It's more like where it'll start the turn. The upper low acts to set just how far west the edge of it gets.

quote:

Do you think the track will stay the same or that it will shift one way or the other?


I'm sure it'll make little shifts, but seriously just follow the NHC for the path. I try to explain the why of the track and what's happening, but I don't do predictions on track when an army of some of the best hurricane forecasters in the world put out a forecast every six hours.

Posted by BallsEleven
Member since Mar 2019
6163 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

poor Iowa, though


Posted by mattchewbocca
houma, la
Member since Jun 2008
6843 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:25 am to
What can’t they just say it’s hitting lake Charles again. The national weather channel has 0 credibility.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75044 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:25 am to
quote:

So the sooner the ridge sets, the more quickly it will begin to move north-northeast? Do you think the track will stay the same or that it will shift one way or the other?

We're likely done with drastic shifts west. With the trough starting to dig in to Delta's northwest, that is setting the edge and western track limits. The weakness that allows the eventual turn north/northeast is between the trough and HP ridge to the east.
Posted by tgrbaitn08
Member since Dec 2007
148031 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:27 am to
quote:

What can’t they just say it’s hitting lake Charles again. The national weather channel has 0 credibility


TWC wasn’t impressed with Laura, even with as much damage that was done, as far as they were concerned it was a non event and Stephanie Abrams and Cantore rolled out of there as soon as the sun came up.

They want a New Orleans landfall so bad they can’t stand it
Posted by SWLA92
SWLA
Member since Feb 2015
5035 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:28 am to
As someone who lost their house in JDP from Laura there’s not much more for me to lose lol
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
14265 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:28 am to
As of now the wind forecast for Baton Rouge (LSU campus selected as a known reference point) from the National Weather Service is

Maximum sustained 36 mph gusting to 46 mph between 4PM and 9PM Friday.

This is SUBJECT TO CHANGE but is the official forecast at this point.

LINK

Just enter your zip code on the weather.gov home page and you can get the official forecast for your specific area.
Posted by LSUWoodworker
St George "God's Country "
Member since Dec 2007
18831 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:28 am to
Anyone helping Peej

Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:29 am to
quote:

The national weather channel

The what?
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
51685 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:30 am to
Looks like the center will move out over the Gulf fairly soon if it isn’t already there.

This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:31 am
Posted by ell_13
Member since Apr 2013
87962 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:30 am to
quote:

I'm sure it'll make little shifts, but seriously just follow the NHC for the path. I try to explain the why of the track and what's happening, but I don't do predictions on track when an army of some of the best hurricane forecasters in the world put out a forecast every six hours.

COWARD!!!
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
140573 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:30 am to
Duke, excuse the non-metrological terminology but I see two weak spots in the upper atmosphere. Locations for Delta to slip into. I have them circled as 1 and 2.



Location 2 seems too tight between central GA and south FL. Location 1 seems more inviting. That is, it's the path of least resistance. Thoughts?
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:38 am
Posted by mattchewbocca
houma, la
Member since Jun 2008
6843 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:31 am to
Hope it dwindles out into a depression before landfall so they can’t get the ratings they crave
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75044 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:31 am to
Mark Sudduth @HurricaneTrack

quote:

IF Delta comes in during daylight, we will do everything we can to launch our special weather balloon payload into the eye. Here's the story behind that project:

LINK
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