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re: Delta Moves On...Cleanup Begins

Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:10 am to
Posted by WHATDOINO
Member since Dec 2008
7047 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:10 am to
quote:

Stay safe, man




We will. Thanks bud. You and yours also.

All the bs aside, the outlook after the storm is great as Laura has created more work than we can do, the downside is everything else is on shite level 5
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
75044 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:

cantankerous

There it is. One of my top 5 favorite words.
Posted by Bunta
Member since Oct 2007
12700 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:11 am to
quote:

Someone round up all the frogs in Rayne

I’ll get the statues around town.
Posted by jimbeam
University of LSU
Member since Oct 2011
75703 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:12 am to
Finally some sense. 1 day for prep. 1 day for storm.
Posted by Motorboat
At the camp
Member since Oct 2007
24153 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:12 am to
quote:

I don’t understand this statement. Windy.com shows the Euro model as default and has options for GFS and NAM. So the global models nailed Laura? Good to know


not to mention Windy did not nail the track. fake news
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22295 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:12 am to
Still early
Posted by The People
LSU Alumni
Member since Aug 2008
4428 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:12 am to
I still believe this storm will shift to the east of Lafayette on landfall. 4pm update will be huge today.
Posted by sealawyer
Coonassganistan
Member since Nov 2012
3145 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:13 am to
Any idea what EBR schools will do? Not what they should do, but what they will do?

With the projected gusts, even with the west track, I can’t imagine they will run buses Friday.
This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:14 am
Posted by whodatdude
Member since Feb 2011
1492 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:13 am to
quote:

Any idea what EBR schools will do? Not what they should do, but what they will do?


Close for two weeks
Posted by LSU-MNCBABY
Knightsgate
Member since Jan 2004
25286 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:13 am to
Probably just close Friday I would think
Posted by Indefatigable
Member since Jan 2019
37171 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:13 am to
Pretty good bet EBR will close them Friday.
Posted by rt3
now in the piney woods of Pineville
Member since Apr 2011
147072 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:15 am to
quote:

Just having a bit of fun with the cantankerous residents here after a Superior marg

OUR WORD OF THE THREAD

This post was edited on 10/7/20 at 11:18 am
Posted by Hamma1122
Member since Sep 2016
22295 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:15 am to
Interesting
Posted by Duke
Dillon, CO
Member since Jan 2008
36494 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:16 am to


We got our upper ridge that's pushing Delta west apparent there as the dry air patch over Cuba. I'll link the loop so you all can see the clockwise flow around it and how it's pushing west.

On the west side you can see the beginnings of the upper trough that will set the western edge of the ridge for the north turn and eventually kick it out to the NE. You'll note the south to north flow on that side on the loop I link.

It's got a decent outflow channel setting up on the south side and with the approaching trough it should get a pretty good one form up on the north side by tomorrow. The core appears to be pretty together and in a more stable state than yesterday, which all points to a strengthening phase to come over the western Gulf.

Recon is getting going again for the afternoon, and with it about to or having popped back over the open water we can get a good look under the hood to see just how together the structure really is.



Still a south loaded system, but is starting to build in that north side some. Solid CDO around the center and what could be the first signs of an eye wanting to show it's self but I'm not 100% sure that's what we're seeing there yet with it just getting toward the open water.

WV Loop
Posted by lsugolfredman
Member since Jun 2005
1941 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:16 am to
quote:

HURRICANE DELTA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.9N
87.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL262020

LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND
VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS)
-------------- ---- -------- ------------- -------------
1200UTC 07.10.2020 0 20.9N 87.2W 978 50
0000UTC 08.10.2020 12 22.5N 90.2W 971 60
1200UTC 08.10.2020 24 23.9N 92.3W 967 61
0000UTC 09.10.2020 36 25.5N 93.4W 960 70
1200UTC 09.10.2020 48 27.8N 93.3W 950 77
0000UTC 10.10.2020 60 30.9N 92.0W 967 46
1200UTC 10.10.2020 72 33.2N 90.5W 990 27
0000UTC 11.10.2020 84 34.6N 87.9W 997 19
1200UTC 11.10.2020 96 36.5N 84.8W 1001 14
0000UTC 12.10.2020 108 38.5N 80.8W 1002 31
1200UTC 12.10.2020 120 41.9N 77.3W 1001 31
0000UTC 13.10.2020 132 44.7N 74.3W 1000 34
1200UTC 13.10.2020 144 CEASED TRACKING


UKMET runs the eye through Crowley and up to Marksville.
Posted by monsterballads
Gulf of America
Member since Jun 2013
31513 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:18 am to
I could see them closing schools starting tomorrow and kids coming back monday at the earliest
Posted by hendersonshands
Univ. of Louisiana Ragin Cajuns
Member since Oct 2007
160203 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:18 am to
If the current track holds, I’m leaving. I’d think about staying if I were alone but there’s nothing I can do for my house during a storm and I’ve got a family to try to protect. Not worth it for me to stay. I’ll do my prep and then roll out.
Posted by TigerNAtux
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2007
18622 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:18 am to
Oh yes, it is...but in the past when models line up that way it’s “usually” a good indicator of where the storm will make landfall. I’ve wishcasted enough and been disappointed when the models were right.


Posted by BregmansWheelbarrow
Member since Mar 2020
3253 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:20 am to
So the sooner the ridge sets, the more quickly it will begin to move north-northeast? Do you think the track will stay the same or that it will shift one way or the other?
Posted by LaBR4
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
53876 posts
Posted on 10/7/20 at 11:21 am to
quote:

With the projected gusts, even with the west track, I can’t imagine they will run buses Friday.



Parents on EBR Facebook saying that their children ain't getting on nobody's bus or going to nobody's schooool
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