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2
Posted on 3/21/20 at 5:52 pm to Roscoe
A lot of these articles from people like this are embellishing. Could it be serious? I don’t think anyone is disputing that but the data is what it is. These authors often are trying to make the public agree with the measures taken versus a more realistic assessment. Throw in the fact many things are also amplified by a media looking for ratings and you get these scare pieces. I can find just as many doctors who advise caution but not panic regarding this.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 5:52 pm to SabiDojo
They probably threw all the dead overboard to prevent bad PR
Posted on 3/21/20 at 5:52 pm to Volvagia
quote:
It’s not. And some? Try most, including most of the hardest hit states. According to it, 85% of all hospitalization are in NY.
I still think it is valuable to have the information from NY. And, looking at their day to day data they just started reporting hospitalization today. Hopefully more states will start to include that information
Posted on 3/21/20 at 5:55 pm to lsunurse
I'm still very worried.
I am only 33. But I smoked for about 11 years(quit two years ago) and my lungs still arent great. Also have had type 1 diabetes since I was three.
My question though. Does having a very strong immune system help me here? I can fight off a flu in less than 2 days, never get bed ridden from anything for more than a day really.
Either way. I'm very scared I could be in trouble if I catch it.
I am only 33. But I smoked for about 11 years(quit two years ago) and my lungs still arent great. Also have had type 1 diabetes since I was three.
My question though. Does having a very strong immune system help me here? I can fight off a flu in less than 2 days, never get bed ridden from anything for more than a day really.
Either way. I'm very scared I could be in trouble if I catch it.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:00 pm to Gatorbait2008
You’ll be fine. Relax.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:01 pm to gumpinmizzou
quote:
I still think it is valuable to have the information from NY.
I agree. It’s just completely wrong to even insinuate that was the national number.
It confirms it was a similar hospitalization rate we’ve seen in other countries going back to China: ~15%
Factoring those that don’t even get tested (NY still is heavily proactively testing, more per capita than even SK), you are looking at 1 out of every twenty infected requiring hospital admission.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:11 pm to SabiDojo
quote:
SabiDojo
Had enough time to find those freedoms yet, dawg?
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 6:13 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:17 pm to Unknown_Poster
Is there an estimate on how many people will die in Louisiana from this?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:20 pm to animalcracker
Anyone seen the 5:30 updated numbers? Website doesn't seem to reflect them.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:20 pm to Unknown_Poster
quote:
Had enough time to find those freedoms yet, dawg?
You mean like freedom of association?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:22 pm to STLhog
quote:
Still only at 74 deaths and it's been there since January 21st.
11 more died today. They are at 94
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:33 pm to animalcracker
quote:
Is there an estimate on how many people will die in Louisiana from this?
350
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:40 pm to animalcracker
quote:
Is there an estimate on how many people will die in Louisiana from this?
Impossible to know given all of the mitigation efforts in play. One could use population penetration metric of past novel pandemics in conjunction with census data and current mortality by age to get a decent approximation of the worst case scenario but you’d be accused of being a fear mongerer.
The cliff notes based off of an average from the CDC estimate would be WORST CASE between 2800 and 24,000
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:46 pm to Volvagia
“EVENING UPDATE: 763 cases of coronavirus confirmed in Louisiana; 20 deaths reported.”
The uptick in case numbers represents more access to testing. Can’t make much of it IMO.
The uptick in case numbers represents more access to testing. Can’t make much of it IMO.
This post was edited on 3/21/20 at 6:51 pm
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:47 pm to Volvagia
That’s quite a spread.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:48 pm to Volvagia
So when will all of these miracle medicines be able to be used? I’m starting to get scared for real — never wanted to downplay it but I wasn’t concerned. Now I’m worried for real.
My daughter is reminding me that I’m late January she was sick out of the blue. Super tired, dry cough, fever for a little bit — went away almost as fast as it came. She said they were all sick in her dorm — coulda been the Corona.
My daughter is reminding me that I’m late January she was sick out of the blue. Super tired, dry cough, fever for a little bit — went away almost as fast as it came. She said they were all sick in her dorm — coulda been the Corona.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:50 pm to tiger91
So... why are you scared again?
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:56 pm to ell_13
So my 77 year old father in law is staying with us because he just got out of the hospital. He has one good lung and that one had to be drained of fluid from pneumonia, collapsed and had to be inflated and now he can't take a breath deep enough to cough. So what I'm hearing is, he has nothing to worry about? I'm ok taking him with me to the grocery store? Just asking.
Posted on 3/21/20 at 6:57 pm to ell_13
quote:
That’s quite a spread.
Because so much of the variation is caused by sociological behavior rather than biology. That’s a difficult thing to model best of times, and made even worse when you try to do it on a continental scale. (Those numbers are based from that LA’s “portion” of the CDC’s worst case death toll range by population percentage)
People get scared and pull back on interactions the spread dies out.
If people belligerently insist that this is a “Plandemic” and not only fail to practice social distancing and hygienic measures but scorn those they see doing so.....the higher number.
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