re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Both Microsoft and Amazon are requesting that all of their Seattle area employees work from home until the end of March. Traffic will be amazing.

An entire school district here canceled classes for up to 14 days as well.

I was given the advice today to stock up on stuff before this weekend because they are expecting people and media to freak out even more early next week. By the end of this week they will be able to test a lot more people for the virus which means the number of reported cases will likely grow significantly.

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I was given the advice today to stock up on stuff before this weekend because they are expecting people and media to freak out even more early next week.

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We did this last week and already glad we did as the shelves are pretty thin now. We haven't even had any confirmed cases in our state yet.

I haven't seen this story here yet. Interesting first hand account of one of early cases of the in Wuhan from a British English teacher.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8075633/First-British-victim-25-describes-coronavirus.html
Curious that the cat seemed to also get sick at the same time and actually died. There are already several coronviruses that are prevalent in cats. No evidence they can transmit it to humans at this time though.

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That would honestly be the best news we have heard in weeks.

100,000 infections and only a handful of deaths would make it about as bad as the flu

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Agree 100%... Would be great news to show that the mortality rate is where sane people have predicted.

However, on the flip side, bad news for the susceptible group as there are that many carriers that could infect them.

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Agree 100%... Would be great news to show that the mortality rate is where sane people have predicted.

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The US missed a huge opportunity to test massive numbers of patients ala South Korea and try to show the true mortality rate that would calm a lot of fears. Vietnam has already developed their own test that cost something like $0.37 per test.

Instead we are still making it extremely difficult for doctors to test and what is our mortality rate? 30+%?

That’s not going to calm wallstreet down.

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Vietnam has already developed their own test

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It’s odd that VN has contained this thing at 16 cases. Yeah, they’ve halted flights from China but they were still taking flights from Korea. I talked to my relatives over there and besides the slow tourism, life is normal ie, no panic.

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Instead we are still making it extremely difficult for doctors to test

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What? I have a friend who's mother went to the Dr for vertigo symptoms in rural Mississippi and got a Covid-19 test even though she didn't ask for it. The US medical establishment is performing something like 1 million tests a week now.

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is our mortality rate? 30+%?

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Dude. Come on with that hysteria dramatic bullshite. It's nothing close to that. Most people who get this virus don't even go to the doctor because their symptoms are so mild. We have thousands of cases right now in the US, and 90% of the deaths are in one nursing home.

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Just wear a mask

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A surgical mask is not going to prevent you from contracting the virus. The CDC has said as much many, many times

South Korea - 5,913 active cases, 135 recovered, 40 (+5) dead

Finally some separation between recovered and dead.

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About 2,120 patients are waiting for hospital beds in the South Korean city of Daegu, "with almost 100 nations now limiting arrivals from the East Asian country," - @reuters

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Using a very crude CFR calculation and not accounting for known bias we get 0.7% for SK. Doing the same for the US 6.8% and Italy 3.5%. Most models are still estimating something between 1 - 3%. We can assume the US rate will go down with more testing and that the SK rate will go up as more cases are resolved. Italy has done a good bit of testing with over 3k confirmed cases. Obviously, add in all the caveats, chest pounding, and remember that CFR and mortality rate are different.

For anyone wanting to dig deeper, this was one of the 1st papers I pulled a month ago LINK

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Maybe coronavirus will finally lead to the workplace revolution where these corporations realize that their workers can easily do their jobs from home full time.

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Most corporations already realize this. But the problem is that there are many jobs where you need to be in an office to support the other people in the office who come in for meetings, meeting clients, etc.

Those people bitch and moan to HR how it's not fair they can't work from home.

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What? I have a friend who's mother went to the Dr for vertigo symptoms in rural Mississippi and got a Covid-19 test even though she didn't ask for it. The US medical establishment is performing something like 1 million tests a week now.

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none of this happened

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Dude. Come on with that hysteria dramatic bull shite. It's nothing close to that. Most people who get this virus don't even go to the doctor because their symptoms are so mild. We have thousands of cases right now in the US, and 90% of the deaths are in one nursing home

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I agree completely but the shitty data we have put out can be easily spun by the media. People are still wondering if we can expect Italy or South Korea. We had a chance to show them it would be like SK.