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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:41 am to PeteRose
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:41 am to PeteRose
quote:We aren’t being prudent though, not as a society.
You can be prudent and not panic.
Everyone is currently pushing the “panic button”.
2
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:41 am to WaWaWeeWa
At the end of the day that’s always been the issue, starting 150 pages ago: we don’t know what’s the total case count. How many stay home with the sniffles and aches.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:41 am to PeteRose
From BBC Breaking News Twitter
quote:
At least 210 coronavirus patients have died in Iran - far more than officially admitted - Iranian health sources tell BBC
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:42 am to Volvagia
quote:
How many stay home with the sniffles and aches.
I imagine NK will be the leader in this after the treatment the first case received.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:42 am to GeauxTigers2020
fricking Iran
Thank god we have a travel ban
Thank god we have a travel ban
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:44 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
The CDC briefing is how the debate should have been handled the other night. Make them call in and open their mike when they're allowed to speak.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:45 am to Scruffy
quote:
The reason we have such accurate numbers on the flu is because we test MILLIONS every year, resulting in an extremely high number of positive flu cases who don’t die, which results in the accurate and fairly low mortality of below 0.1%.
I mentioned it weeks ago, but if you want to look at it as apples to apples as possible, influenza kills about .27% of medical visits (38,000 deaths on 14,000,000 visits in 2016-17) and 7.6% of hospitalizations (38,000 deaths on 500,000 hospitalizations). The CDC estimates another 15,000,000 had the flu but didn't require medical attention.
Those numbers are quite obviously difficult to gather on a virus that didn't exist in humans 5 months ago.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:45 am to Jim Rockford
I work at a pharmacy and we cannot order masks from any distributor. Nobody can so that’s probably why you see some without masks
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:47 am to Ba Ba Boooey
Reuters
quote:
JUST IN: The number of confirmed cases of coronavirus in Italy totals 888, including 21 deaths and 46 patients who have recovered - official
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:50 am to GeauxTigers2020
Have there been any reported deaths in infants or children? My SO travels for work. As a parent of two littles, this is obviously my biggest concern.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:50 am to GeauxTigers2020
On the CDC briefing call that just ended they announced the media line number for people to call in with questions. I can't imagine that that number won't blow up now.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:51 am to Scruffy
quote:
We aren’t being prudent though, not as a society.
Everyone is currently pushing the “panic button”.
Not me. I'm gonna go home and push the "cook some delicious chicken in a red gravy and drink a couple of bottles of wine and watch LSU baseball button".
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:52 am to VABuckeye
I'm just trying to fathom how much Iran would have to underreport for there to be 200+ deaths.
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:54 am to MonroeTigerstripes
quote:
Have there been any reported deaths in infants or children?
Not that I have heard. From what I have heard, children seem the least vulnerable.
This article is a week old, but has numbers from China. NPR Article.
ETA: Article from yesterday. China has no reported deaths under age 10.
This post was edited on 2/28/20 at 11:58 am
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:54 am to GeauxTigers2020
I don't think Iran knows wtf is going on in Iran. Poor sanitary conditions and healthcare and just a terrible infrastructure overall.
They must have run out of Q-Tips and oil for the anuses.
They must have run out of Q-Tips and oil for the anuses.
This post was edited on 2/28/20 at 11:55 am
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:56 am to GeauxTigers2020
quote:
I'm just trying to fathom how much Iran would have to underreport for there to be 200+ deaths.
Conservatively? Probably need somewhere around 5,000 cases to get that many deaths (using a 4% case fatality rate).
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:57 am to Ba Ba Boooey
Got a shite load in sterile packages. And the wife wanted to trash them. 
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:59 am to MonroeTigerstripes
quote:
Have there been any reported deaths in infants or children? My SO travels for work. As a parent of two littles, this is obviously my biggest concern.
Every country's reporting pretty much agrees that this thing is disproportionately hammering the old. Starting at 40 or 50, the risk from this disease starts going up and by the time you get to the 60 and 70 year olds, you start seeing some uncomfortable mortality rates. I'd be more worried about my parents getting this than my kids, though, ideally neither gets it. I don't know if anyone's even reported deaths of any kids under 10 years old yet.
This post was edited on 2/28/20 at 12:02 pm
Posted on 2/28/20 at 11:59 am to VABuckeye
quote:
I don't think Iran knows wtf is going on in Iran
Large close gatherings 5 times a day for prayers could lead to rapid spread.
quote:
I'm just trying to fathom how much Iran would have to underreport for there to be 200+ deaths.
At about 5% CFR, there are probably around 4,000-5,000 infected.
This post was edited on 2/28/20 at 12:01 pm
Posted on 2/28/20 at 12:02 pm to slackster
quote:
I mentioned it weeks ago, but if you want to look at it as apples to apples as possible, influenza kills about .27% of medical visits (38,000 deaths on 14,000,000 visits in 2016-17) and 7.6% of hospitalizations (38,000 deaths on 500,000 hospitalizations). The CDC estimates another 15,000,000 had the flu but didn't require medical attention.
Can you link this? I’d like to see what the definition of medical visits is. Are we talking office visits?
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