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re: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) ***W.H.O. DECLARES A GLOBAL PANDEMIC***

Posted on 6/28/20 at 7:26 pm to
Posted by SloaneRanger
Upper Hurstville
Member since Jan 2014
7626 posts
Posted on 6/28/20 at 7:26 pm to
Will people ever be able to bring themselves to admit that Sweden got it right? Will be interesting to see how it plays out, but they may be done with this. Meanwhile, we have a lot of hysterical panic and talk of more shutdowns.
This post was edited on 6/28/20 at 8:32 pm
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 6/28/20 at 7:57 pm to
Good stuff. Thanks for the update. This thread has gotten so much better, just sticking to the facts. We had some crazy days early on.
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 6/28/20 at 10:29 pm to
Has anyone seen this? Very curious if this gets confirmed.

University of Barcelona finds COVID in March 2019 Wastewater sample from Barcelona
This post was edited on 6/28/20 at 10:44 pm
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
23979 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 7:14 am to
quote:

Has anyone seen this? Very curious if this gets confirmed.



Yeah, someone started a thread about it last week.

I'd be highly suspicious of this result. They looked at 9 archival samples/days, I think, three from 2018 and six from 2019.

That one day in March was the only sample to "have" virus in it. Unless they test other days surrounding that one day or find it elsewhere in the year, I'd lean towards that being a false test for some reason.
This post was edited on 6/29/20 at 7:49 am
Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 7:35 am to
Ya, it seemed odd to me too. Thanks for the info.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
29619 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 11:36 am to
Does anyone believe Taiwan, a country of 25 million and one of the most densely populated areas in the world, has only had 500 cases of C19 with only 7 resulting in death?

Posted by Teddy Ruxpin
Member since Oct 2006
39553 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

Does anyone believe Taiwan, a country of 25 million and one of the most densely populated areas in the world, has only had 500 cases of C19 with only 7 resulting in death?


I can believe it since it's an island. They aren't the only island that has done well.
Posted by Robin Masters
Birmingham
Member since Jul 2010
29619 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 12:30 pm to
quote:



I can believe it since it's an island. They aren't the only island that has done well.




What does being on an island help with? Air flow maybe?
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
23979 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 12:36 pm to
quote:

What does being on an island help with? Air flow maybe?


Much easier to control one's border if one is an island.

I'm not sure how big of a deal being an island made for them in this case, but I'm sure being so close to China and being weary of their shenanigans from jump helped, as did previous experience with such outbreaks and cultural differences (less handshaking, wearing of masks as a population, etc.) helped.
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 1:48 pm to
With asymptomatic spread, controlling a border should only have a minimal effect in my opinion. It is an interesting question.
Posted by jackwoods4
Member since Sep 2013
28667 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

A new strain of flu which has the potential to become pandemic has been identified in China by scientists.

It emerged recently and is carried by pigs, but can infect humans, they say.

The researchers are concerned that it could mutate further so that it can spread easily from person to person, and trigger a global outbreak.


LINK
Posted by WaWaWeeWa
Member since Oct 2015
15714 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

Prof Kin-Chow Chang and colleagues who have been studying it, say it is one to keep an eye on.


Prof Kin Chow Chang can frick right off

Posted by MikeyFL
Las Vegas, NV
Member since Sep 2010
9570 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 3:32 pm to
quote:

Does anyone believe Taiwan, a country of 25 million and one of the most densely populated areas in the world, has only had 500 cases of C19 with only 7 resulting in death?


Taiwan is one of the most transparent democracies on Earth. I believe their statistics. They also have been on top of COVID-19 from day one, partly because they knew they wouldn't receive help from anyone else. Honestly, their response is worth examining closely.

The zero deaths in Vietnam is probably a much more questionable statistic. But I suspect that Vietnam has had a solid response too, mainly because of the high level of mistrust between Vietnam and China right now.
This post was edited on 6/29/20 at 3:33 pm
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7797 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 5:32 pm to

Taiwan, Japan et al not having had larger problems sure seems to support the theory that wearing masks does a lot more to curb spread than many people think.

Posted by Twenty 49
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2014
18726 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 6:51 pm to


Posted by tiger91
In my own little world
Member since Nov 2005
36703 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 10:01 pm to
Regarding the cases in the US, how do thenother countries in that chart compare with testing??
This post was edited on 6/29/20 at 10:02 pm
Posted by rds dc
Member since Jun 2008
19805 posts
Posted on 6/29/20 at 10:14 pm to
quote:

A new strain of flu which has the potential to become pandemic has been identified in China by scientists.

It emerged recently and is carried by pigs, but can infect humans, they say.

The researchers are concerned that it could mutate further so that it can spread easily from person to person, and trigger a global outbreak.


Not new. It's been around for a few years and can spread to humans from pigs. There are no reported cases of human-to-human spread. If it did start spreading in the human population then a vaccine for it can easily be made, since it's a known flu virus.
Posted by Twenty 49
Shreveport
Member since Jun 2014
18726 posts
Posted on 6/30/20 at 6:38 am to
quote:

Regarding the cases in the US, how do thenother countries in that chart compare with testing??


That's the obvious question, but who knows?

That's why the rate of hospitalization or death is more relevant.

People can come up with multiple potential explanations for why the deaths reported are not accurate (but, but , but, what about?). But even if you adjust the numbers some, our country is handily leading Canada and Europe in deaths per million.

Why? Greater rate of spread of the virus? More susceptible population of old, diabetic, etc.? More people in risky living/working conditions such as nursing homes, prisons, and factories? Worse healthcare? No idea. It's pretty crazy.



Posted by GetCocky11
Calgary, AB
Member since Oct 2012
51239 posts
Posted on 6/30/20 at 8:11 am to
quote:

People can come up with multiple potential explanations for why the deaths reported are not accurate (but, but , but, what about?). But even if you adjust the numbers some, our country is handily leading Canada and Europe in deaths per million.

Why? Greater rate of spread of the virus? More susceptible population of old, diabetic, etc.? More people in risky living/working conditions such as nursing homes, prisons, and factories? Worse healthcare? No idea. It's pretty crazy.


B/c the US is incredibly unhealthy. Hell, I bet only about 50% of the country can take a complete, full breath when not sick.
Posted by Sasquatch Smash
Member since Nov 2007
23979 posts
Posted on 6/30/20 at 8:45 am to
Another T-cell immunity preprint.

Last few lines of abstract:
quote:

Importantly, SARS-CoV-2-specific T cells were detectable in antibody-seronegative family members and individuals with a history of asymptomatic or mild COVID-19. Our collective dataset shows that SARS-CoV-2 elicits robust memory T cell responses akin to those observed in the context of successful vaccines, suggesting that natural exposure or infection may prevent recurrent episodes of severe COVID-19 also in seronegative individuals.


More credence to antibody tests under-counting numbers infected.
This post was edited on 6/30/20 at 8:52 am
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