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re: Comparing nCoronavirus numbers to the regular flu numbers is just idiotic

Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:21 am to
Posted by BestBanker
Member since Nov 2011
18283 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:21 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 3/25/20 at 4:31 am
Posted by Smeg
Member since Aug 2018
12479 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:22 am to
quote:

If it's deadly enough, it won't have enough hosts to stick around for long (think Ebola). If it's spread easily with mild symptoms, it won't be nearly as novel to immune systems in a year. Or 6 weeks-to-months even.

If my uncle had a vagina he'd be my aunt.
Posted by NOFOX
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
10076 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:23 am to
Posted by HueyP
Lubbock
Member since Nov 2008
3155 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:25 am to
quote:

The same appears to be true of nCov-19, the fatality rate is currently much higher. Now that is probably not the actual mortality rate, because we don't have a good idea on how widespread it is yet.


Problem with the current mortality stats is they don’t include subclinical cases. Thus your mortality stats are skewed to reflect of a virus of a much higher lethality.
The current mortality stats simply aren’t reliable or valid. To reflect the true nature of this virus you would have to test a much broader population. This isn’t possible due to limited test kits.
Posted by NYNolaguy1
Member since May 2011
21453 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:26 am to
quote:

Problem with the current mortality stats is they don’t include subclinical cases.


South Korea has done extensive testing and according to their stats they have a global mortality of like .6%, or about 4x worse than normal flu.
Posted by DomincDecoco
of no fixed abode
Member since Oct 2018
11484 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:33 am to
quote:

Street hawk


Coronavirus board
Posted by ClarkGriswold
Member since Oct 2005
588 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 8:36 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 11/23/20 at 9:18 pm
Posted by makersmark1
earth
Member since Oct 2011
18539 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 9:03 am to
There is nothing new under the sun.

Life has never been risk free.

I was a med student and resident during the peak of the AIDS epidemic. Now HIV is a very manageable condition.

I have lived through scares of swine flu, Zika, Chickungunya, Dengue, West Nile virus, St. Louis encephalitis, SARS, MERS, and bizarrely measles. I respect that there are many known and unknown infectious diseases circulating at any given time. I recommend people exercise common sense at all times. Wash your hands. Don’t interact with people if you are sick.etc.
Posted by Redbone
my castle
Member since Sep 2012
20078 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 9:14 am to
quote:

Street Hawk
Start less threads.
Posted by Clames
Member since Oct 2010
17796 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 9:16 am to
You are such a moron.
Posted by Koach K
Member since Nov 2016
4601 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:11 am to
People are just worried that the Chinese are not truly sure what was actually released from the lab.
Posted by blueridgeTiger
Granbury, TX
Member since Jun 2004
21733 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:24 am to
So, your advice is to go ahead and panic now and avoid the rush later?
Posted by Bert Macklin FBI
Quantico
Member since May 2013
11110 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:26 am to
quote:

You know what else doesn't kill as many people each years as the flu? Ebola.


You must not be familiar with how statistics work so I'll enlighten you.

Its a percentage thing not a gross numbers thing. Covid-19 kills a less percentage of people infected than the Flu does. So if 100 people get the flue, 6 of them will die. If 100 people get Covid-19 only 3 will die.

(These are made up numbers btw, I was just trying to show how percentages work with easy numbers for OP since he struggles to get the concept)

This also doesn't factor in that the 6 that die of the flu and the 3 that die of Covid-19 usually have a preexisting condition that has weakened their immune system causing them to die.
This post was edited on 3/7/20 at 10:31 am
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
131281 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:28 am to
quote:

Hopeful Doc
Thank you for bringing some good, helpful, insightful comments to this thread.
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
44453 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 10:31 am to
Not real good at statistics are you?

Ebola is the deadliest by far
Posted by CelticDog
Member since Apr 2015
42867 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 11:24 am to
c19 kills old people.

if you are a healthy 35 yr old c19 is just a flu to you.
if you are 8, you dont even get it.

so its just whose ox is gored.

the percentages of dead seem to be 10 or even 100 times flu.
8 or 10 dead in seattle old folks home. thats way high % compared to flu.
Posted by keakar
Member since Jan 2017
30152 posts
Posted on 3/7/20 at 11:38 am to
Comparing nCoronavirus numbers to the regular flu numbers is just idiotic

yep, you right, its better and much more accurate to compare it to the common cold for the number of dead and how contagious it is
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