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Started By
Message
re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/4/24 at 3:50 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/4/24 at 3:50 pm to rds dc
From the 4:00 pm NHC update:
quote:
This general motion should continue until the cyclone makes landfall on the western Gulf coast between 72-96 h. There is still some spread in
the track guidance regarding a landfall location, with the range of
possibilities from northeastern Mexico to the middle Texas coast.
Users are reminded that the average track forecast error at day 3
is about 100 miles and at day 4 is about 150 miles, and so it is
still too early to pinpoint a specific region for the worst hazards.
The new official forecast is a little north of the previous
forecast through 24 h and similar to the previous forecast after
that.
4
Posted on 7/4/24 at 3:56 pm to rds dc
(no message)
This post was edited on 9/12/25 at 6:47 pm
Posted on 7/4/24 at 3:56 pm to rds dc
Everything held steady at 5 pm. 110 mph, 974 mb, WNW at 285 degrees. No westward turn today.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:09 pm to The Boat
Idk if it’s just me but Beryl looks a little better the last few hours
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:10 pm to rds dc
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:11 pm to schwartzy
Storms are doing a better job of wrapping around the center
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:16 pm to Odysseus32
quote:
Everytime I check they say the storm is trending further north than they predicted.
No its not… the cone has been honed in on Tx/Mex border and still is for the past 2 days
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:21 pm to Lsut81
They have been saying there is a chance it could go further north than originally thought.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:23 pm to Lsut81
quote:Is it safe to say the Florida panhandle is off the table??
the cone has been honed in on Tx/Mex border and still is for the past 2 days
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:24 pm to RummelTiger
quote:My son’s f-i-l did two stints there.
Well, and DARPA...
He couldn’t tell us what he couldn’t tell us.
RIP old buddy….
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:28 pm to rds dc
Wish we had the HH in Beryl right now
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:33 pm to lsuman25
Speak of the devil new plane fixing to take off from Keesler 
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:34 pm to RummelTiger
The plane that is over Beryl now is doing an upper/level dropsone misison
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:35 pm to TxWadingFool
quote:
The blue shed is ready for whatever comes.
I have a t-shirt from back then, saying "the blue shed lives"
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:38 pm to LSURussian
The Blue Shed can never leave.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:39 pm to LSURussian
1/10
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:49 pm to Lsut81
quote:
Everytime I check they say the storm is trending further north than they predicted.
quote:
No its not… the cone has been honed in on Tx/Mex border and still is for the past 2 days
It's been riding the northern edge of the cone for the last 24 hours. It looks likely to come onshore on the Yucatan on the northern edge of the cone from 5 pm yesterday. About an 80 mile coastline shift in 24 hours. You can't extrapolate that down the entire cone but it's been a trend today.
To put 80 miles in perspective in the US, an 80 mile change on a storm in the Gulf would be a 24 hour change from Galveston to Cameron.. which would be pretty significant.
5 pm 7/3
5 pm 7/4
This post was edited on 7/4/24 at 7:22 pm
Posted on 7/4/24 at 4:57 pm to Quidam65
quote:
The Blue Shed can never leave.
It should have a federally recognized plaque.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 5:02 pm to The Boat
It's gone through another successful EWRC
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