re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...

Posted by rds dc

Member since Jun 2008

21479 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 5:36 pm to lsuman25

Very impressive convective burst ongoing with Beryl. The tops of those clouds have temporarily obscured the reforming eye. That is typically a sign of strengthening.

Posted by t00f

Not where you think I am

Member since Jul 2016

102071 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 5:44 pm to rds dc

NHC has again done a fine job

Posted by purple18

Lafayette

Member since Aug 2009

1772 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 5:51 pm to t00f

quote:
NHC has again done a fine job

The last few years, their 5 day tracks have been excellent. Rapid intensification is still hard to predict

Posted by VanRIch

Wherever

Member since Sep 2007

11762 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 5:55 pm to purple18

There’s a smaller NOAA jet that seemed to do a flyby of Beryl. What is their mission?

Posted by LSUfonte

South Texas

Member since Jan 2004

8299 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 6:01 pm to VanRIch

I’m live from Isla Mujeres. Updates to follow……

Posted by ApisMellifera

SWLA

Member since Apr 2023

763 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 6:31 pm to VanRIch

quote:
There’s a smaller NOAA jet that seemed to do a flyby of Beryl. What is their mission?

They take measurements of the surrounding area to get a better understanding of what the steering patterns may look like.

Posted by Dire Wolf

bawcomville

Member since Sep 2008

40291 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 6:41 pm to purple18

quote:
The last few years, their 5 day tracks have been excellent. Rapid intensification is still hard to predict

So much so that I feel retarded trying to watch models and think I am smart

Posted by cgrand

HAMMOND

Member since Oct 2009

48739 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:07 pm to proger

quote:
Took a deep breath and looked at the forecast map again. Thursday at 2pm it should still be a decent ways out.

wonder if this guy is still in tulum…looks like and early Fri morning direct hit

Posted by TheOcean

#honeyfriedchicken

Member since Aug 2004

45892 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:26 pm to cgrand

We have a house in tulum...I'm not too worried about it

Posted by Rize

Spring Texas

Member since Sep 2011

19348 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:30 pm to TheOcean

quote:
We have a house in tulum...I'm not too worried about it

I need the rain at my place in South Texas.

Posted by Tarps99

Lafourche Parish

Member since Apr 2017

12622 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:35 pm to Rize

quote:
I need the rain at my place in South Texas.

At the way the path keeps shifting it may give south Texas a nice Hawk Tuah.

This post was edited on 7/4/24 at 7:36 pm

Posted by Cosmo

glassman's guest house

Member since Oct 2003

131437 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:37 pm to TheOcean

quote:
We have a timeshare in tulum...I'm not too worried about it

FIFY

Posted by lsuman25

Erwinville

Member since Aug 2013

43290 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:38 pm to Cosmo

First pass by te HH found the pressure at 964

Posted by yellowfin

Coastal Bar

Member since May 2006

98931 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:38 pm to Rize

Rain now would make for a great dove season

Posted by rds dc

Member since Jun 2008

21479 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:38 pm to rds dc

quote:
I guess that gives Beryl more time to prove my guess correct

VDM pinned at 964

Posted by TheOcean

#honeyfriedchicken

Member since Aug 2004

45892 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:43 pm to Cosmo

Timeshare!?!?!

Hell, no. I've got a villa with three pools.

Not even joking

Posted by Bobby OG Johnson

Member since Apr 2015

33461 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:48 pm to rds dc

Posted by BayouBengal

Member since Nov 2003

28291 posts

Posted on 7/4/24 at 7:51 pm to LSUfonte

quote:
Live from isla mujeres

Make sure you got limes and Modelos.