- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:28 pm to deltaland
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:28 pm to deltaland
I think it’s a fair observation from you Delta. If the Ridge pushes in like Duke said it should suppress its northern movement but if it doesn’t then getting close to Cancun is definitely not out the question.
0
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:28 pm to deltaland
quote:
I’m not wishcasting it was an honest observation that apparently others agree with.
You are still quite an a-hole though, that hasn’t changed
Cosmo is on a mission to out all the wishcasters this season. Let him simmer......
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:39 pm to Duke
quote:
Ridge should flex some today and flatten Beryl's trajectory some.
The last recon fix showed that starting to happen. Yesterday, models showed a weaker system taking a SW jog later today. That SW jog appears to be off the table and now both the HMON & HWRF show a Cozumel impact. This probably doesn't matter much, but because of the shape of the Texas coast, it could result in the system getting as far north as Port Aransas vs. Port Isabel.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:41 pm to LegendInMyMind
Cozumel is the demarcation line. A Cozumel landfall takes a final Mexico landfall off the table, south of there keeps the possibility open. Satellite imagery shows a strengthening storm. Certainly not one that’s weakening rapidly like intensity guidance suggests.
This post was edited on 7/4/24 at 1:43 pm
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:50 pm to rds dc
quote:
and now both the HMON & HWRF show a Cozumel impact. This probably doesn't matter much, but because of the shape of the Texas coast, it could result in the system getting as far north as Port Aransas vs. Port Isabel.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:53 pm to Zephyrius
The environment isn’t all that bad. Why it’s been able to at least maintain strength. Marginal shear, not a lot of dry air. Ocean heat content is great. Not surprising it’s fighting.. surprising intensity guidance has it plummeting through this environment.
Track guidance has almost been perfected. Intensity guidance leaves a lot to be desired.
Track guidance has almost been perfected. Intensity guidance leaves a lot to be desired.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 12:55 pm to rds dc
quote:
The last recon fix showed that starting to happen.
You can see it on the IR loop. It starts out looking more NW then takes a pretty significant western turn at the end. Also looks to be tightening up a bit
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:02 pm to deltaland
Winds down 5 to 110 mph, pressure up 3 to 974 mb, direction still 285 degrees at 2 pm ET
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:06 pm to The Boat
It’s about to enter a fairly favorable environment prior to the Yucatán and immediately after emerging into the gulf.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:12 pm to deltaland
quote:
Wut? Ensembles are actually taking any northern gulf solutions out This will be a south Texas, north Mexico system
Wuuuuuuuuuuuuut? Your reading comprehension sucks. I said it would take a northern jog which it has. If you read my other post it clearly states that it would move up toward Texas than what was originally projected. Try again dipshit.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:20 pm to Zephyrius
Us Rockport folks are watching closely, going to be a mad dash in the last 24 hours it appears like Harvey was. Hoping for MX / US border impact and a run up the Rio, dumping much needed rain in South and Central Texas. The blue shed is ready for whatever comes.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:22 pm to The Boat
quote:
Winds down 5 to 110 mph, pressure up 3 to 974 mb, direction still 285 degrees at 2 pm ET
New recon is up. Sat appearance continues to improve (?? is that a dry slot or an eye??). I think they will either find a stable or maybe even a strengthening system vs. the last recon.
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:25 pm to rds dc
Was gonna say was that an eye on IR or not
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:27 pm to rds dc
On tropical tidbits only HH i see in the air right now is them doing an upper level/dropsone mission
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:30 pm to rds dc
That's an eye, baby...
[/img]
[/img]Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:30 pm to lsuman25
quote:
On tropical tidbits only HH i see in the air right now is them doing an upper level/dropsone mission
Ah, I missed the mission purpose. I guess that gives Beryl more time to prove my guess correct
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:34 pm to rds dc
All the information you provide in these threads, you are allowed to miss at least one mission from them.
This post was edited on 7/4/24 at 1:36 pm
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:36 pm to Dixie2023
quote:
Lootie is legand!
That's Looter Vandross. Mid 2000's he was on the Fark board here.
This post was edited on 7/4/24 at 1:40 pm
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:39 pm to RummelTiger
Certainly seems like an eye trying to pop now...
18:15Z vs 18:25Z
18:15Z vs 18:25Z
Posted on 7/4/24 at 1:43 pm to tigerbutt
quote:
Try again dipshit.
Such language! Why, I'd never......
Page 73 of 218
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News