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re: Beryl Thread - the clean up begins...
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:26 pm to 50_Tiger
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:26 pm to 50_Tiger
quote:
They keep shifting north which makes me have to worry about driving back to DFW on Sunday
Need that hot high pressure sitting over the Southeast to stay put for awhile longer.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:26 pm to NorthEndZone
Give me a A
Give me a V
Give me a N
Give me a I
What does that spell....rainfall and a bit of relief
Give me a V
Give me a N
Give me a I
What does that spell....rainfall and a bit of relief
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:28 pm to dukke v
yeah very sorry man - we give you shite, but never want anything bad for you and yours.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:31 pm to Duke
quote:
A stronger storm in the Gulf is going to feel the northern pull at the mid-levels better. A stronger storm off Jamaica is likely to be farther north, go off the Yucatan farther north with less interaction and be stronger in the gulf.
Need Jamaica to weaken it and push it more to the Yucatan which further wears it down.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:31 pm to rds dc
The hurricane's gonna scrape Haiti and do millions of dollars worth of improvements
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:32 pm to NorthEndZone
NWS goes with theTVCN blend I think but people that know what they are talking about can confirm
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:34 pm to fr33manator
quote:
The hurricane's gonna scrape Haiti and do millions of dollars worth of improvements
Clintons finna eat like it’s 2010 all over again.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:37 pm to Duke
We got any clarity on the ridge yet? I've seen some say they expect it'll remain in place long enough. Others say it's supposed to move east by the weekend .
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:42 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Looks clear to break down/slide east by Sunday as a trough digs into the middle of the country.
The window is gonna be open, but the storm has to be deep (read: strong) enough to feel the tug. Most of the stuff pushing into Mexico isnt because the ridge stays in place but because the model has it so weak it stays riding the shallow trades due West.
The window is gonna be open, but the storm has to be deep (read: strong) enough to feel the tug. Most of the stuff pushing into Mexico isnt because the ridge stays in place but because the model has it so weak it stays riding the shallow trades due West.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:43 pm to Lsuhoohoo
Just looking at the forecast the temps are supposed to decrease with an increase in rain chances starting Thursday. Compare that to today where it’s 100 and no rain.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:46 pm to Honest Tune
quote:
I take my PPL lessons from a baw that used to fly hurricane hunters. He has ice water in his veins for sure.
Goggle Jeff Masters Hurricane Hugo. Dude wrote his story of when they flew into Hugo way back when (before all of todays technology) as Hurricane Hunters and they almost didn't make it out. Initial estimation of its strength were way off and had a hellava time getting out. He quit shortly thereafter. Good read if it's still out there.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:49 pm to fr33manator
Needs to sink Haiti and be done.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:49 pm to Cosmo
quote:
NWS goes with theTVCN blend I think but people that know what they are talking about can confirm
One of the interesting subplots so far is that the NHC OFCL was consistently south of the TVCN. So, they have slowly been adjusting north and are now pretty closely aligned with the consensus guidance.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:53 pm to GeauxOn
quote:
The keys does sounds like great idea though, didn't think of that. I just needed to have a hotel lined up for when we land tonight.
Loews is . . . kind of a conference and family hotel.
See if you can stay at the Setai, the 1 hotel or the Faena on miami beach to finish out a nice honeymoon.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:53 pm to Dixie2023
quote:
Needs to sink Haiti and be done.
Hank Johnson has entered the chat.

Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:55 pm to GeauxOn
quote:
So if that fella from lake Chuck reads this board and remembers talking to a guy wearing a PlayStation button up shirt, thank you!
Posted on 7/2/24 at 2:58 pm to proger
quote:
In Tulum right now. Scheduled to fly out Thursday midday. fingers crossed flights arent cancelled
Manager just swung by and gave us evacuation plans for Thursday night/Friday if needed. I started freaking out and looked at flights out tomorrow but nothing available out of Tulum airport. Cancun flights out tomorrow are a price gouge of over $3k a ticket.
Took a deep breath and looked at the forecast map again. Thursday at 2pm it should still be a decent ways out.
This post was edited on 7/2/24 at 2:59 pm
Posted on 7/2/24 at 3:01 pm to sosaysmorvant
quote:
Goggle Jeff Masters Hurricane Hugo. Dude wrote his story of when they flew into Hugo way back when (before all of todays technology) as Hurricane Hunters and they almost didn't make it out. Initial estimation of its strength were way off and had a hellava time getting out. He quit shortly thereafter. Good read if it's still out there.
Yea this is definitely up my alley, thanks for the recommendation.
Posted on 7/2/24 at 3:03 pm to proger
Since our area was the last to take a major hit in LA, I voulunteer either the extreme southeast portion or anything west of Da Berry to take the next one if it has to be "us"
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