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re: 1/25-1/26 2026 Major Deep South Winter Storm Thread
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:45 pm to Sus-Scrofa
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:45 pm to Sus-Scrofa
They've doubled our forecast low for Monday night from what it was yesterday morning. It has gone from 4° to 8°.
1
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:47 pm to LegendInMyMind
This post was edited on 1/22/26 at 3:50 pm
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:48 pm to LaBR4
That's kind of wild when you think about it.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:49 pm to Duke
quote:
Duke
Any thoughts on Austin area forecast?
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:50 pm to LaBR4
Well if the GRAF is right, Baton Rouge isn't safe from the freezing rain as precip lingers on Sunday. That moves the freezing line through BR much earlier than other models I've seen
Posted on 1/22/26 at 3:55 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
quote:
Why is it needed with this storm? I've lived in states where it stays below 20 most of the winter, never insulated them and never had a problem. Is this a southern thing?
Ever think that houses are built differently where it stays below 20 most of the winter as opposed to houses in the Deep South?
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:00 pm to DeltaDoc
quote:
For the North Mississippi Delta, this feels like the potential to approximate the 1994 ice storm.
It was March of 1993. I wasn't in MS, but we were without power for a week. Some went a lot longer.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:00 pm to jchamil
quote:
Ever think that houses are built differently where it stays below 20 most of the winter as opposed to houses in the Deep South?
Sure but hose bibbs? I lived in south Carolina when it got around 0 degrees too and never had it happen.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:14 pm to AUstar
"In February 1994, an ice storm froze the Mississippi Delta. Widespread damage to powerlines, paired with lingering, dangerous cold left about 750,000 people in the dark, some for up to a month"
There was a huge blizzard for a lot of mid Atlantic and parts of the south in March of 1993 that you might be thinking about.
There was a huge blizzard for a lot of mid Atlantic and parts of the south in March of 1993 that you might be thinking about.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:17 pm to SUB
quote:
Any thoughts on Austin area forecast?
We're gonna be right on the edge. Northwest parts may get some icing but I'd expect things to clear up quickly here unless theres a southern shift in the model.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:17 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
I lived in TN and recall both 93 blizzard and ice storm the following year sounds right
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:18 pm to DoctorWorm
18z gfs kinda fricks Houston
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:29 pm to holdmuh keystonelite
quote:
Sure but hose bibbs? I lived in south Carolina when it got around 0 degrees too and never had it happen.
It really depends on your type plumbing and how well it is insulated. We have an old pier and beam home that we re-plumbed with all Pex, but for about a foot long section of PVC leading to the hydrant/faucet. I didn't replace it with a Pex one, and left the foot long piece, but insulated it well (I thought). Three years ago we had a multi-day cold with highs in the upper twenties, didn't get above freezing for over a week. On Christmas Eve I turned on the water to brush my teeth in the bathroom closest to the outside wall where that hydrant is. I knew right away. It is the north side of the house and the sun had warmed just enough to melt the ice plug, the water pressure dropped and I felt the vibration of the rushing water under my feet.
Fortunately, I have a cutoff right off my back porch, or I would have had to run to the road down our long driveway to cut it off there and the crawlspace would have been a mess. I ran to Lowe's and fought the crowd of others in the plumbing section, grabbed a couple Pex end plugs, came back home, capped it in about 10 minutes, and still made the family dinner on time.
After it warmed up I replaced that hydrant with a Pex hydrant and deleted the section of PVC that failed me.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:47 pm to DVinBR
My cousin is in Shreveport they might get an inch of ice and they’d be fricked if so
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:52 pm to Mr Roboto
quote:
Well if the GRAF is right, Baton Rouge isn't safe from the freezing rain as precip lingers on Sunday.
This is something to watch for those areas to the south of the projected ice threat.
It is typical for cold at the surface to come in faster and colder than models are good at handling. The NAM used to be really good at seeing this.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 4:52 pm to JumpingTheShark
Yeah I’m really worried for my north MS/Tennessee friends
This thing is gonna frick some people up
This thing is gonna frick some people up
Posted on 1/22/26 at 5:12 pm to JumpingTheShark
quote:
My cousin is in Shreveport they might get an inch of ice and they’d be fricked if so
I live near Ruston and it’s pretty much the same thing over here. I’m prepared fine but I don’t think people really understand how this is gonna work. That weight gets on the lines and trees and it’s not going to melt until Wednesday or Thursday. So the power going out threat will get bigger and bigger each day for almost 5 days. Not to mention the power crews won’t be able to do anything until the roads are passable.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 5:25 pm to AUstar
It did $50 million worth of improvements in the Delta.
Posted on 1/22/26 at 5:29 pm to Mr Roboto
Can you please post the run? Thank you!
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