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re: 5 wins? Do we really think the team is no better this season?
Posted on 5/19/25 at 7:59 am to Handsome Pete
Posted on 5/19/25 at 7:59 am to Handsome Pete
Being in the NFC South makes the floor 4 wins. I think we do a bit better and go 6-10. The team will have an identity by mid-season and CKM is creative enough to use the teams strengths.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:08 am to Handsome Pete
Our defense could take a significant step back.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:13 am to Suntiger
quote:
Suntiger
So you have them losing to the Panthers and Falcons at home but beating them on the road?
I don’t see how that makes any sense.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:35 am to Handsome Pete
(7) Wins total is my mark.
3 Wins=Splitting division games with ATL, CAR, TB
4 Wins=Splitting with ARI, SEA, NYG, NE, CHI, LAR, NYJ, TEN
Position Groups 2024 vs 2025:
Better=RB, OL, S, STs, Coaching
Worse=QB, LB
Same=WR, TE, DE/Edge, IDL, CB
QB=Worse. But not by a lot. Carr was above average, Rattler/Haener were subpar. Expect Shough/Rattler to be worse than Carr, but better than the Rattler/Haener games last season.
RB=Better. Kamara is a year older, but Edwards-Helaire should be a good spell back, if Miller gives us anything it'll be better than last season, we'll see if Neal can provide anything
WR=Same. If injuries can hold off, this should be better.
TE=Same.
OL=Better. Fuaga should get better, Banks should be an improvement over Penning, Penning should continue to improve. McCoy & Ruiz should be the same. Radunz should be better than the backups we had to use
DE/Edge=Same. Granderson should be same, Young should improve 1 more year removed from neck injury. Anything from Foskey or Diggs is a plus. All depends on new scheme.
IntDL=Same. Shepherd, Saunders, Ridgeway are what they are. Can Davon Godchaux, Kristian Boyd & Vernon Broughton be an improvement? Jordan & Bresee depend on scheme.
LB=Worse. Davis already lost a step last year. Werner still needs to improve. Can Danny Stutsman, Jaylon Ford, Isaiah Stallbird, or D'Marco Jackson provide anything better than depth & STs?
OCB=Same (due to 23 injuries). Adebo & Lattimore are better on paper but they only played 7 games each. Alontae Taylor & Isaac Yiadom figure to be #1/#2. Taylor has to be more consistent. Is Yiadom a 17 game NFL boundary corner starter? Can Rico Payton build on what we saw last year and earn meaningful snaps? Can rookie Quincy Riley earn the #3CB spot? Where does Kool-Aid fit best, S, or slot, or boundary CB?
SLCB=Kool-Aid, Riley, Amade, Mathieu; who's best in the slot?
S=Better. Reid should be an improvement. Mathieu may regress. Howdon, Amadie, Gray are what they are. Can Jonas Sanker earn a role?
STs=Better. Grupe should continue to improve. Hayball also should, or Burnip will beat him out
Coaching=Better. Basically has to be upgrade over Dennis Allen & Darren Rizzi
3 Wins=Splitting division games with ATL, CAR, TB
4 Wins=Splitting with ARI, SEA, NYG, NE, CHI, LAR, NYJ, TEN
Position Groups 2024 vs 2025:
Better=RB, OL, S, STs, Coaching
Worse=QB, LB
Same=WR, TE, DE/Edge, IDL, CB
QB=Worse. But not by a lot. Carr was above average, Rattler/Haener were subpar. Expect Shough/Rattler to be worse than Carr, but better than the Rattler/Haener games last season.
RB=Better. Kamara is a year older, but Edwards-Helaire should be a good spell back, if Miller gives us anything it'll be better than last season, we'll see if Neal can provide anything
WR=Same. If injuries can hold off, this should be better.
TE=Same.
OL=Better. Fuaga should get better, Banks should be an improvement over Penning, Penning should continue to improve. McCoy & Ruiz should be the same. Radunz should be better than the backups we had to use
DE/Edge=Same. Granderson should be same, Young should improve 1 more year removed from neck injury. Anything from Foskey or Diggs is a plus. All depends on new scheme.
IntDL=Same. Shepherd, Saunders, Ridgeway are what they are. Can Davon Godchaux, Kristian Boyd & Vernon Broughton be an improvement? Jordan & Bresee depend on scheme.
LB=Worse. Davis already lost a step last year. Werner still needs to improve. Can Danny Stutsman, Jaylon Ford, Isaiah Stallbird, or D'Marco Jackson provide anything better than depth & STs?
OCB=Same (due to 23 injuries). Adebo & Lattimore are better on paper but they only played 7 games each. Alontae Taylor & Isaac Yiadom figure to be #1/#2. Taylor has to be more consistent. Is Yiadom a 17 game NFL boundary corner starter? Can Rico Payton build on what we saw last year and earn meaningful snaps? Can rookie Quincy Riley earn the #3CB spot? Where does Kool-Aid fit best, S, or slot, or boundary CB?
SLCB=Kool-Aid, Riley, Amade, Mathieu; who's best in the slot?
S=Better. Reid should be an improvement. Mathieu may regress. Howdon, Amadie, Gray are what they are. Can Jonas Sanker earn a role?
STs=Better. Grupe should continue to improve. Hayball also should, or Burnip will beat him out
Coaching=Better. Basically has to be upgrade over Dennis Allen & Darren Rizzi
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:56 am to Handsome Pete
There are no "easy" games with this team right now.
And it's killing me to say this at the moment because I dont like the guy, but Carr was far and away better than anything QB we have on this roster right now.
The defense has plunged off a cliff last year so you cant expect them to bail us out like they have in the past.
But just because we may be a 5 win team doesn't make it the same situation.at least this year we have a QB to develop and a HC getting his feet wet.
5 win development team > than a 5 win crash out
And it's killing me to say this at the moment because I dont like the guy, but Carr was far and away better than anything QB we have on this roster right now.
The defense has plunged off a cliff last year so you cant expect them to bail us out like they have in the past.
But just because we may be a 5 win team doesn't make it the same situation.at least this year we have a QB to develop and a HC getting his feet wet.
5 win development team > than a 5 win crash out
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:00 am to Handsome Pete
I believe we should be able to get more than 5. However, there isn't a lot of room for missteps.
I expect coaching to be better with an offensive minded HC. DA was awful and Kubiak wasn't very good at making adjustments. He had the same issues in Minnesota. Start off with a good 1st QTR plan but once the defense made adjustments the rest of the game the offense would struggle.
Only way I see the Saints winning 5+ is if our running game is strong which can setup deep play action passes. And if the defense with the new scheme is better than what they look like on paper.
Don't expect too many come from behind wins.
I expect coaching to be better with an offensive minded HC. DA was awful and Kubiak wasn't very good at making adjustments. He had the same issues in Minnesota. Start off with a good 1st QTR plan but once the defense made adjustments the rest of the game the offense would struggle.
Only way I see the Saints winning 5+ is if our running game is strong which can setup deep play action passes. And if the defense with the new scheme is better than what they look like on paper.
Don't expect too many come from behind wins.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:03 am to Handsome Pete
Retarded GM
Rookie coach, QB
30 year old RB, no proven depth
Injury prone WRs
Injury prone TEs
Lots of dead cap
Lots of over 30 plus star players and some that no longer play like it
Long and short is the rebuild is finally underway and the results from this year aren't about wins.
Not everyone gets to draft a LSU QB in round 1 and overnight change their franchise. Even if Shough is good....it wont show up in wins most likely this season
Rookie coach, QB
30 year old RB, no proven depth
Injury prone WRs
Injury prone TEs
Lots of dead cap
Lots of over 30 plus star players and some that no longer play like it
Long and short is the rebuild is finally underway and the results from this year aren't about wins.
Not everyone gets to draft a LSU QB in round 1 and overnight change their franchise. Even if Shough is good....it wont show up in wins most likely this season
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:19 am to partywiththelombardi
quote:
Long and short is the rebuild is finally underway and the results from this year aren't about wins.
I want to believe this, but it won't hit until the trade deadline and they don't make any major moves/trades. It looks like they had started some of the necessary moves last offseason, then they tried to trade for D Adams. Maybe that's why Gayle forced the situation and "made" Loomis fire DA. Force him to accept a rebuild instead of constantly trying to get that last piece of the puzzle.
Get through camp without trying to make a major move, and I will agree they have finally accepted their fate and are working to rebuild.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:46 am to Handsome Pete
I think 4-7 wins is the real range for this team. We have a very easy schedule. Last year we had the worst coaching staff in the league, and really bad injury luck. If the team is even 25% less injured, and the coaches are even just mediocre, this team will be just as good, if not slightly better. I don't personally think there's any way this team is 0-17 or 1-16 or 2-15 unless Kellen Moore absolutely blows and the team is really injured again.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:48 am to partywiththelombardi
quote:
Retarded GM
Rookie coach, QB
30 year old RB, no proven depth
Injury prone WRs
Injury prone TEs
Lots of dead cap
Lots of over 30 plus star players and some that no longer play like it
Literally all of this was true last year except instead of a rookie coach we had the worst NFL Head coach of the last 25 years, and the team won 5 games
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:09 am to Handsome Pete
If your teams needs 20 things to go right for you to have a good season, that means you have a bad team
You still have no playmakers and pass rush. Bad CB room. “Coaching and scheme” can’t mask all these deficiencies
You want to dismiss that our top two WRs are injury prone? It’s a bad room even with a healthy Olave
Same as last year on a 5 win team is never good. RB won’t be the problem but we still don’t have a RB that really scares a defense
Moreau played more snaps than Johnson last year. Nonetheless this is the worst TE room in the league
QB is the main driver of any team success. Rookie QBs are generally unsuccessful year 1
quote:
New defensive coordinator and scheme, new players like Reid and Godchaux. Lattimore wasn't a factor last year and Adebo was hurt early so DBs are a wash at worst compared to 2024. Older Demario and Honey Badger, sure, but that doesn't mean they fall off a cliff from last year. DL the same or better.
You still have no playmakers and pass rush. Bad CB room. “Coaching and scheme” can’t mask all these deficiencies
quote:
So? That happened last year. If we get anything from Olave this season it's a step up
You want to dismiss that our top two WRs are injury prone? It’s a bad room even with a healthy Olave
quote:
Also same as last year, except now we at least have Devin Neal as well.
Same as last year on a 5 win team is never good. RB won’t be the problem but we still don’t have a RB that really scares a defense
quote:
Same healthy starter this year. Moreau coming off an injury does not make this unit appreciably different than last year
Moreau played more snaps than Johnson last year. Nonetheless this is the worst TE room in the league
quote:
This part I can't argue. If Shough plays like Rattler did last year, we're fricked. Is that what you're expecting?
QB is the main driver of any team success. Rookie QBs are generally unsuccessful year 1
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:57 am to GynoSandberg
quote:
Same as last year on a 5 win team is never good.
I agree with this if someone is trying to argue this team will make the playoffs. That is not happening unless Moore is a god tier coach or Shough/Rattler become great players.
But there are a lot of people arguing this team will be the worst in the league, and I just don't see it.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 11:46 am to Rand AlThor
Who are the worst teams in the league? Some have unstable QB rooms and decent rosters, some have decent QBs and so so rosters, not many have unstable QB rooms and below average rosters (us). Us, CLE, TEN stand out to me as bad
And look, I like the direction we are heading with the coaching hires and Carr retiring. But you are at least another draft and Free Agent cycle away from really refreshing this team. Likely will take two more years, if we are being honest. And of course the QB is the main elephant in any room
And look, I like the direction we are heading with the coaching hires and Carr retiring. But you are at least another draft and Free Agent cycle away from really refreshing this team. Likely will take two more years, if we are being honest. And of course the QB is the main elephant in any room
Posted on 5/19/25 at 11:56 am to Handsome Pete
quote:
Older Demario and Honey Badger, sure, but that doesn't mean they fall off a cliff from last year. DL the same or better.
Demario’s is now VERY old for an nfl player and is very close to falling off a cliff age. As is honey badger for his position.
My biggest thing is just how tenuous the skilled position players are. The WR and RB groups are both extremely thin for presumably a very green QB.
It’s way more likely than not that it’s a very rough year for us even if we’re not playing terrible.
Usually whenever someone posts that they think it will be tough sledding the just get downvoted to shite. My question is where are the wins coming from outside of one of the two QBs just really playing above expectations? Everyone else is likely getting better as well. What’s the winning formula look like for our current roster that gets us to 9/10 wins and the division?
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 12:03 pm
Posted on 5/19/25 at 12:13 pm to St Augustine
quote:
My question is where are the wins coming from outside of one of the two QBs just really playing above expectations?
I agree with your post but I'd point this out...the Rattler team last year almost beat the Bucs at the end of the year with a dogshit coaching staff and half of the roster hurt.
We have games against
Giants
Pats
Bears
Bucs 2x
Falcons 2x
Panthers 2x
Jets
Titans
None of these teams were particularly good last year (the Bucs I guess were decent). Again I'm not coming close to arguing this team will be a playoff team but I'd say 4-7 wins against this easy schedule isn't crazy. I find it very unlikely we lose all of these games unless Moore is a terrible coach or we're very injured again.
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 12:14 pm
Posted on 5/19/25 at 5:09 pm to Handsome Pete
5?
The oddsmakers have us at one. The Giants at home.
The oddsmakers have us at one. The Giants at home.
Posted on 5/19/25 at 5:18 pm to Handsome Pete
I really don't care if they win five or 15 games. NFL is fake and rigged anyway it's just entertainment but at least they can be good entertainment you know that's what I hope for now.
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 5:19 pm
Posted on 5/19/25 at 6:57 pm to geauxpurple
quote:
5? The oddsmakers have us at one. The Giants at home.

Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:56 pm to Handsome Pete
The pre season lines have us as underdogs in every game except the Giants at home.
For the over and under, I think 5 is about right. The big unknown is the quarterback situation.
For the over and under, I think 5 is about right. The big unknown is the quarterback situation.
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