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re: 5 wins? Do we really think the team is no better this season?

Posted on 5/19/25 at 7:59 am to
Posted by Donkus
Shreveport
Member since Feb 2013
1198 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 7:59 am to
Being in the NFC South makes the floor 4 wins. I think we do a bit better and go 6-10. The team will have an identity by mid-season and CKM is creative enough to use the teams strengths.
Posted by moneyg
Member since Jun 2006
59455 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:08 am to
Our defense could take a significant step back.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
47384 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:13 am to
quote:

Suntiger


So you have them losing to the Panthers and Falcons at home but beating them on the road?

I don’t see how that makes any sense.
Posted by Doug_H
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Sep 2013
2459 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:35 am to
(7) Wins total is my mark.
3 Wins=Splitting division games with ATL, CAR, TB
4 Wins=Splitting with ARI, SEA, NYG, NE, CHI, LAR, NYJ, TEN

Position Groups 2024 vs 2025:
Better=RB, OL, S, STs, Coaching
Worse=QB, LB
Same=WR, TE, DE/Edge, IDL, CB

QB=Worse. But not by a lot. Carr was above average, Rattler/Haener were subpar. Expect Shough/Rattler to be worse than Carr, but better than the Rattler/Haener games last season.

RB=Better. Kamara is a year older, but Edwards-Helaire should be a good spell back, if Miller gives us anything it'll be better than last season, we'll see if Neal can provide anything

WR=Same. If injuries can hold off, this should be better.

TE=Same.

OL=Better. Fuaga should get better, Banks should be an improvement over Penning, Penning should continue to improve. McCoy & Ruiz should be the same. Radunz should be better than the backups we had to use

DE/Edge=Same. Granderson should be same, Young should improve 1 more year removed from neck injury. Anything from Foskey or Diggs is a plus. All depends on new scheme.

IntDL=Same. Shepherd, Saunders, Ridgeway are what they are. Can Davon Godchaux, Kristian Boyd & Vernon Broughton be an improvement? Jordan & Bresee depend on scheme.

LB=Worse. Davis already lost a step last year. Werner still needs to improve. Can Danny Stutsman, Jaylon Ford, Isaiah Stallbird, or D'Marco Jackson provide anything better than depth & STs?

OCB=Same (due to 23 injuries). Adebo & Lattimore are better on paper but they only played 7 games each. Alontae Taylor & Isaac Yiadom figure to be #1/#2. Taylor has to be more consistent. Is Yiadom a 17 game NFL boundary corner starter? Can Rico Payton build on what we saw last year and earn meaningful snaps? Can rookie Quincy Riley earn the #3CB spot? Where does Kool-Aid fit best, S, or slot, or boundary CB?

SLCB=Kool-Aid, Riley, Amade, Mathieu; who's best in the slot?

S=Better. Reid should be an improvement. Mathieu may regress. Howdon, Amadie, Gray are what they are. Can Jonas Sanker earn a role?

STs=Better. Grupe should continue to improve. Hayball also should, or Burnip will beat him out

Coaching=Better. Basically has to be upgrade over Dennis Allen & Darren Rizzi
Posted by Sauce Castieaux
Asheville, NC.
Member since Nov 2015
5440 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 8:56 am to
There are no "easy" games with this team right now.

And it's killing me to say this at the moment because I dont like the guy, but Carr was far and away better than anything QB we have on this roster right now.

The defense has plunged off a cliff last year so you cant expect them to bail us out like they have in the past.

But just because we may be a 5 win team doesn't make it the same situation.at least this year we have a QB to develop and a HC getting his feet wet.

5 win development team > than a 5 win crash out
Posted by Orndorf2
Member since Jun 2020
51 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:00 am to
I believe we should be able to get more than 5. However, there isn't a lot of room for missteps.

I expect coaching to be better with an offensive minded HC. DA was awful and Kubiak wasn't very good at making adjustments. He had the same issues in Minnesota. Start off with a good 1st QTR plan but once the defense made adjustments the rest of the game the offense would struggle.

Only way I see the Saints winning 5+ is if our running game is strong which can setup deep play action passes. And if the defense with the new scheme is better than what they look like on paper.

Don't expect too many come from behind wins.
Posted by partywiththelombardi
Member since May 2012
11659 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:03 am to
Retarded GM
Rookie coach, QB
30 year old RB, no proven depth
Injury prone WRs
Injury prone TEs
Lots of dead cap
Lots of over 30 plus star players and some that no longer play like it

Long and short is the rebuild is finally underway and the results from this year aren't about wins.

Not everyone gets to draft a LSU QB in round 1 and overnight change their franchise. Even if Shough is good....it wont show up in wins most likely this season
Posted by Weekend Warrior79
Member since Aug 2014
19177 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:19 am to
quote:

Long and short is the rebuild is finally underway and the results from this year aren't about wins.

I want to believe this, but it won't hit until the trade deadline and they don't make any major moves/trades. It looks like they had started some of the necessary moves last offseason, then they tried to trade for D Adams. Maybe that's why Gayle forced the situation and "made" Loomis fire DA. Force him to accept a rebuild instead of constantly trying to get that last piece of the puzzle.

Get through camp without trying to make a major move, and I will agree they have finally accepted their fate and are working to rebuild.
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9865 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:46 am to
I think 4-7 wins is the real range for this team. We have a very easy schedule. Last year we had the worst coaching staff in the league, and really bad injury luck. If the team is even 25% less injured, and the coaches are even just mediocre, this team will be just as good, if not slightly better. I don't personally think there's any way this team is 0-17 or 1-16 or 2-15 unless Kellen Moore absolutely blows and the team is really injured again.
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9865 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Retarded GM
Rookie coach, QB
30 year old RB, no proven depth
Injury prone WRs
Injury prone TEs
Lots of dead cap
Lots of over 30 plus star players and some that no longer play like it


Literally all of this was true last year except instead of a rookie coach we had the worst NFL Head coach of the last 25 years, and the team won 5 games
Posted by paulb52
Member since Dec 2019
5925 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:07 am to
Yes.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
73365 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:09 am to
If your teams needs 20 things to go right for you to have a good season, that means you have a bad team


quote:

New defensive coordinator and scheme, new players like Reid and Godchaux. Lattimore wasn't a factor last year and Adebo was hurt early so DBs are a wash at worst compared to 2024. Older Demario and Honey Badger, sure, but that doesn't mean they fall off a cliff from last year. DL the same or better.


You still have no playmakers and pass rush. Bad CB room. “Coaching and scheme” can’t mask all these deficiencies

quote:

So? That happened last year. If we get anything from Olave this season it's a step up


You want to dismiss that our top two WRs are injury prone? It’s a bad room even with a healthy Olave

quote:

Also same as last year, except now we at least have Devin Neal as well.


Same as last year on a 5 win team is never good. RB won’t be the problem but we still don’t have a RB that really scares a defense

quote:

Same healthy starter this year. Moreau coming off an injury does not make this unit appreciably different than last year


Moreau played more snaps than Johnson last year. Nonetheless this is the worst TE room in the league

quote:

This part I can't argue. If Shough plays like Rattler did last year, we're fricked. Is that what you're expecting?


QB is the main driver of any team success. Rookie QBs are generally unsuccessful year 1


Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9865 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:57 am to
quote:

Same as last year on a 5 win team is never good.


I agree with this if someone is trying to argue this team will make the playoffs. That is not happening unless Moore is a god tier coach or Shough/Rattler become great players.

But there are a lot of people arguing this team will be the worst in the league, and I just don't see it.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Bay St Louis, MS
Member since Jan 2006
73365 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 11:46 am to
Who are the worst teams in the league? Some have unstable QB rooms and decent rosters, some have decent QBs and so so rosters, not many have unstable QB rooms and below average rosters (us). Us, CLE, TEN stand out to me as bad



And look, I like the direction we are heading with the coaching hires and Carr retiring. But you are at least another draft and Free Agent cycle away from really refreshing this team. Likely will take two more years, if we are being honest. And of course the QB is the main elephant in any room
Posted by St Augustine
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
68970 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 11:56 am to
quote:

Older Demario and Honey Badger, sure, but that doesn't mean they fall off a cliff from last year. DL the same or better.


Demario’s is now VERY old for an nfl player and is very close to falling off a cliff age. As is honey badger for his position.

My biggest thing is just how tenuous the skilled position players are. The WR and RB groups are both extremely thin for presumably a very green QB.

It’s way more likely than not that it’s a very rough year for us even if we’re not playing terrible.

Usually whenever someone posts that they think it will be tough sledding the just get downvoted to shite. My question is where are the wins coming from outside of one of the two QBs just really playing above expectations? Everyone else is likely getting better as well. What’s the winning formula look like for our current roster that gets us to 9/10 wins and the division?
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 12:03 pm
Posted by Rand AlThor
Member since Jan 2014
9865 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

My question is where are the wins coming from outside of one of the two QBs just really playing above expectations?


I agree with your post but I'd point this out...the Rattler team last year almost beat the Bucs at the end of the year with a dogshit coaching staff and half of the roster hurt.

We have games against

Giants
Pats
Bears
Bucs 2x
Falcons 2x
Panthers 2x
Jets
Titans


None of these teams were particularly good last year (the Bucs I guess were decent). Again I'm not coming close to arguing this team will be a playoff team but I'd say 4-7 wins against this easy schedule isn't crazy. I find it very unlikely we lose all of these games unless Moore is a terrible coach or we're very injured again.
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 12:14 pm
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
14861 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 5:09 pm to
5?
The oddsmakers have us at one. The Giants at home.
Posted by burke985
UGANDA
Member since Aug 2011
26925 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 5:18 pm to
I really don't care if they win five or 15 games. NFL is fake and rigged anyway it's just entertainment but at least they can be good entertainment you know that's what I hope for now.
This post was edited on 5/19/25 at 5:19 pm
Posted by Handsome Pete
Member since Apr 2019
1831 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 6:57 pm to
quote:

5? The oddsmakers have us at one. The Giants at home.


Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
14861 posts
Posted on 5/19/25 at 10:56 pm to
The pre season lines have us as underdogs in every game except the Giants at home.

For the over and under, I think 5 is about right. The big unknown is the quarterback situation.
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