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re: 18-19 Tank Watch - 3 Way Tie for 7th
Posted on 4/8/19 at 11:34 am to cgrand
Posted on 4/8/19 at 11:34 am to cgrand
I fricking love Jrue. He should get all actual power that AD supposedly had. Hes super intelligent, I'd bet his opinions are far more valuable than a young "superstar" with stars in his eyes.
0
Posted on 4/8/19 at 11:41 am to cgrand
Jrue is honestly such a breath of fresh air. On and off the court.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 11:47 am to Crazed2APoint
quote:
Just a guess on the Wednesday or Thursday thing? Or do you have sources? (insert that ESPN sources dude gif here)
I think it will be Thursday. They are going to want to steal a news cycle with the hire. They have to get momentum for season ticket marketing push shortly after the Pels season ends. After the playoffs start, they will have competition for headlines. I think there may be play-in games, speculation on Wed still, so Thurs is my bet for the anouncement.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 12:00 pm to Fun Bunch
Was apparently on his podcast.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 12:12 pm to TeddyPadillac
quote:
This makes no sense. How can you sit in 6the place and have a 37% chance at a top 4 pick? What are the chances of the 5 teams ahead of you? Is this out of 200%?
I don't think you understand how math works lol
Posted on 4/8/19 at 12:21 pm to ShamelessPel
quote:
Wrong.
The bulk of your team last night are on minimal deals
Jah isn’t some stud anyway. There’s a reason why he signed for nothing and signed a team friendly deal. quote:
Wrong. They played their starting PG, coincidentally a player who would fit into the "next contract" if you knew jack or shite about this team
You mean future free agent starting PG Elfrid Payton?
quote:
Elfrid Payton - 39 minutes Okafor - 35 minutes Clark - 35 minutes, but I'll give you this one, you can't sit both Payton and Clark. We don't have the bodies.
Yeah opposing teams are really sweating when these guys are on the floor across from them. That’s a real group of winners. Sorry I’m wrong.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 1:12 pm to CocoLoco
quote:Any speculation as to who it may be or how the interviews have gone?
Could be speculation from Kumar. I saw someone on twitter mention him saying he thinks they will announce it today. That seems a bit early, but who knows
This post was edited on 4/8/19 at 1:15 pm
Posted on 4/8/19 at 1:17 pm to RUFshreve
quote:
I don't think you understand how math works lol
explain it to me.
How can 14 teams all have a chance at winning something, but their odds added up together don't equal 100%.
If you add up the odds of winning the first pick of each team, it equals 100%.
Why is it different for odds to land a top 4 pick?
4 teams have about a 50% chance at landing a top 4 pick, how can you say that out loud and it make sense?
Posted on 4/8/19 at 1:27 pm to TeddyPadillac
The numbers slightly decrease from 100% each time because you are having to remove the team who won a previous slot from the totals.
If Phoenix hits the lottery the first four draws, they’re still only getting one pick instead of slots 1-4.
If Phoenix hits the lottery the first four draws, they’re still only getting one pick instead of slots 1-4.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 1:53 pm to TeddyPadillac
quote:Because you are talking about the odds of getting a top 4 pick. There are 4 possibilities, so the total of all the odds will equal 400%.
explain it to me.
How can 14 teams all have a chance at winning something, but their odds added up together don't equal 100%.
If you add up the odds of winning the first pick of each team, it equals 100%.
Why is it different for odds to land a top 4 pick?
4 teams have about a 50% chance at landing a top 4 pick, how can you say that out loud and it make sense?
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:07 pm to teke184
That doesn’t help explain that at all.
How can 4 people all have 50% odds to win something?
How can 4 people all have 50% odds to win something?
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:15 pm to TeddyPadillac
Because there are going to be four right answers, not just one.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:17 pm to TeddyPadillac
Let’s go extreme. Imagine there are only four teams. Each would have a 100% chance of being top four. A total of 400% across the four.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:31 pm to TeddyPadillac
quote:
This makes no sense. How can you sit in 6the place and have a 37% chance at a top 4 pick? What are the chances of the 5 teams ahead of you? Is this out of 200%?
So I get what you're saying and the answer is probabilities are complicated. I think I found a calculator that answers the question though. I input the odds for the 6th seed getting 1-4 and it says there's a 32% chance that any 1 of the 4 events (winning the lottery) occurs.
Here's a link if you want to play around with it. Just make sure you change it to %
LINK
This post was edited on 4/8/19 at 2:34 pm
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:43 pm to teke184
quote:
The numbers slightly decrease from 100% each time because you are having to remove the team who won a previous slot from the totals.
At which point the remaining odds prorate. The sum of probabilities is always 100%.
Posted on 4/8/19 at 2:50 pm to teke184
quote:
The numbers slightly decrease from 100% each time because you are having to remove the team who won a previous slot from the totals.
The relevant total was 1000 chances, not 100%.
quote:
If Phoenix hits the lottery the first four draws, they’re still only getting one pick instead of slots 1-4.
The Suns will have 156 of 1000 possible balls. If they get the first pick, the remaining teams odds would increase by a factor of 1000/(1000-156) = 1.1848. The Knicks odds of getting the 2, then become 250/844 = 29.6%. Cleveland's chance at 2 becomes 199/844 = 23.6%. And so on. There are a total of 844 chances split between the remaining teams, thus 100%.
ETA - I just realized I used the old odds there.
This post was edited on 4/8/19 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 4/9/19 at 6:16 pm to Crazed2APoint
Not that it really matters much at this point but KD and Klay aren’t playing tonight. Steph will be though
Posted on 4/9/19 at 6:38 pm to Macintosh504
Wizards and Grizzlies both up double digits at the end of the 1st.. Mavs playing the Suns can they all win and we lose?
Posted on 4/9/19 at 6:46 pm to Charlito
quote:
Wizards and Grizzlies both up double digits at the end of the 1st.. Mavs playing the Suns can they all win and we lose?
the Wizards are tank MASTERS. So I'm pretty confident they'll still lose. maybe the basketball gods will look down on use with favor and help us out. we shall see
BUT Irving, Tatum, Gordon, & Smart are all out for the Celtics.......
AND this is Dirk's last home game.....
AND the Grizz are up by 20 in the second quarter.....
This post was edited on 4/9/19 at 6:51 pm
Posted on 4/9/19 at 6:53 pm to DeionDeion
Are we sure we want to select higher? It’s very realistic we wind up with Grizzlies pick so we want them in the top 8.
I’m perfectly content selecting from nine hole if it means that Grizzlies pick doesn’t convey this year.
Given these two options:
We select 7th and 9th (we get grizz pick)
Or
We select 9th and grizz pick doesn’t convey
I’ll take the second option since I think the value of a rolled over grizz pick is higher than 7th pick in this draft.
I’m perfectly content selecting from nine hole if it means that Grizzlies pick doesn’t convey this year.
Given these two options:
We select 7th and 9th (we get grizz pick)
Or
We select 9th and grizz pick doesn’t convey
I’ll take the second option since I think the value of a rolled over grizz pick is higher than 7th pick in this draft.
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