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re: 18-19 Tank Watch - 3 Way Tie for 7th

Posted on 4/10/19 at 9:26 pm to
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 9:26 pm to
If Memphis lands at 8, then all that needs to happen is one team to jump them and they fall to 9 and it conveys. Or they could get 9th slot and jump into top 4.

Bottom line, the random drawing is kind of important but still, nothing will be known until May 14th
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 9:39 pm to
How do you do a three way tiebreaker?
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 9:58 pm to
It's a random drawing. Personally, I will be rooting for it to finish - Pels, Grizz, Mavs.
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:04 pm to
So 33% chance to finish 7th and 50% chance of 8th
Posted by Crewz
Member since Jun 2014
5093 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:08 pm to
Honestly, if we don't move into the top 3, I don't care as much about us as I care about the Cavs losing their pick and the Grizzlies keeping theirs.

I would happily take 9th today if you told me Dallas will send theirs to Atlanta and Memphis will keep theirs and draft 7th or 8th. Of course, the dream is to move into top 3. I'm just saying, I don't care about picking 7 or 9 as much as I care about those other things.
Posted by eyeran
New Orleans
Member since Dec 2007
22096 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:20 pm to
quote:

I would happily take 9th today if you told me Dallas will send theirs to Atlanta and Memphis will keep theirs and draft 7th or 8th. Of course, the dream is to move into top 3. I'm just saying, I don't care about picking 7 or 9 as much as I care about those other things.

+1
Posted by ShamelessPel
Metairie
Member since Apr 2013
12720 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:32 pm to
quote:

So 33% chance to finish 7th and 50% chance of 8th


That’s some Steiner math you got going on there.
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:35 pm to
Isn't Dallas pick top 5 protected so they will definitely convey?
Posted by LesGeaux45
Member since Nov 2009
9232 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:37 pm to
Not if they move into the top 4. So ideally we want them to finish 9th in the random draw so they have slightly lower odds of that happening.
This post was edited on 4/10/19 at 10:38 pm
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:38 pm to
quote:

That’s some Steiner math you got going on there.


Three names in the hat. 33% chance of being pulled. 2 names left, 50% chance of being pulled.
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:40 pm to
quote:

Not if they move into the top 4. So ideally we want them to finish 9th in the random draw so they have slightly lower odds of that happening.


Thanks!
Posted by Toula
504
Member since Dec 2006
35399 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:49 pm to
quote:



Three names in the hat. 33% chance of being pulled. 2 names left, 50% chance of being pulled.


That's not how this works my man.

By this logic you are saying 33% chance at 7, 50% chance at 8, 100% chance at 9
This post was edited on 4/10/19 at 10:50 pm
Posted by Pelefraan 1
Member since Jan 2018
6706 posts
Posted on 4/10/19 at 10:52 pm to
What am I doing wrong?

This is assuming none of the three get pulled early
This post was edited on 4/10/19 at 10:55 pm
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