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re: Is Kyle Schwarber a Hall of Fame inductee?

Posted on 6/28/26 at 11:10 pm to
Posted by MasterAbe1
Member since Oct 2016
7203 posts
Posted on 6/28/26 at 11:10 pm to
He’s got a shot if he gets to 500 bombs. Compared to another DH in Harold Baines, his stats are much better albeit Harold is a very debatable entrance anyway.
Posted by CRDNLSCHMCPSN11
Member since Dec 2014
18484 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:05 am to
I've never thought of him as a great player except for last year. He's only had 3 seasons of 3 or more WAR. But 500 home runs may get him there. But he's 33. And some players quickly deteriorate around that age.
This post was edited on 6/29/26 at 3:36 am
Posted by SCLibertarian
Conway, South Carolina
Member since Aug 2013
42652 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 6:21 am to
He's this generation's version of Dave Kingman.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19099 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 6:59 am to
He has played his best baseball the last 2 plus years. Before that he was an extreme 3-outcome guy that hit around .200 most of the time.....even Dave Kingman had a better BA in comparison.

Banning the shift helped him and he just started hitting for average better in general - and I know BA is not valued anymore but if he would put a resume before the Hall voters with a .210 career average that would have stood out like a sore thumb. He hit .197 in 160 games in 2023.

He seems to be one of those somewhat rare folks that peak in their mid-30's. If he can keep up the pace of what he is doing now for another say 4 years, he'll have a shot.
Posted by UltimateHog
Thailand
Member since Dec 2011
69869 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 7:18 am to
Zips had him projected at 41HR this year and he just hit MLB leading 30th. He is on pace to break the Phillies single season record of 58 by Howard.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
45405 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 9:36 am to
Dave Kingman
Posted by nicholastiger
Member since Jan 2004
57169 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 9:47 am to
Kyle Schwarber is the ninth player in MLB history to hit 30-plus home runs in each of their first 5 seasons with a franchise. He is the third to do so in National League history, joining Albert Pujols and Barry Bonds.

the list:
Miguel Cabrera
A Rod (PEDS)
Big Papi Ortiz (rumored PEDS)
Pujols (rumored PEDS)
Manny Ramirez (PEDS)
Bonds (PEDS)
Foxx (no drug testing at time)
Ruth (no drug testing at time)
Posted by Bigdawgb
Member since Oct 2023
4557 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 9:48 am to
quote:

Career .232 hitter that almost certainly ends up lower, OPS in good-not-great territory (.853), and DH?



This is the comment I came to make, if Schwarber sticks around 5 more years (to get 500 hrs) his OPS will probably be closer to the .800-.820 range.

For a DH, that's pretty whelming

That said, his 2 best years have been his last 2, if he's turned a corner he could still make us look silly

This post was edited on 6/29/26 at 9:49 am
Posted by Schmelly
Member since Jan 2014
16413 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 10:00 am to
quote:

He’s got a shot if he gets to 500 bombs


He easily gets to 500 unless injuries start soon. He’s @370 right now with no signs of slowing down
Posted by HuskyPanda
Philly
Member since Feb 2018
2506 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 1:11 pm to
500 home runs is almost a lock for HOF. He could end this season at or near the 400 mark.

He has a low batting average and he's not a great defender. He would have to get to 500 to to even sniff a HOF ballot.
Posted by lsupride87
Member since Dec 2007
112518 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 1:19 pm to
The only guys eligible not in the hall with 500 HRs are all steroid guys. Feels like he is in if he hits 500


Not in with 500 HR

Barry Bonds
* Alex Rodriguez
* Sammy Sosa
* Mark McGwire
* Rafael Palmeiro
* Manny Ramirez
* Gary Sheffield
Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
62110 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 1:32 pm to
quote:

Is Kyle Schwarber a Hall of Fame inductee?


Posted by High C
viewing the fall....
Member since Nov 2012
62110 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 1:56 pm to
quote:

He has a low batting average and he's not a great defender. He would have to get to 500 to to even sniff a HOF ballot.


This is why I would have a huge problem with him getting in. Baseball is so much more than hitting home runs. I hate to see their value continuing to rise as time goes on.
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
19099 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

This is why I would have a huge problem with him getting in. Baseball is so much more than hitting home runs. I hate to see their value continuing to rise as time goes on.


He does take a lot of walks and always has, which - for those comparing him Kingman - Kingman did not walk a lot and did not make it to 500 homers.

The comparison to Kingman does ring true in comparing ratio of homers to other hits, and his struggles finding a place to play in the field and anything close to a mediocre level. But he does get on base at higher clip when you figure the walks in.

But yeah as others have said he's going to have to get over 500 to be considered and maybe keep his average at a better level his last 4-5 years to sniff it.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
14267 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:29 pm to
quote:

The only guys eligible not in the hall with 500 HRs are all steroid guys. Feels like he is in if he hits 500


A lot of people use this as the argument for KS but they ignore the fact that most every player with 500 HRs also had other attributes that were very good or great. Most players who hit 500 are really great hitters. Schwarber is not .

His closest comp might end up being Harmon Killebrew who still has him by 20 points in career BA and 30 in career OBP and WAR by nearly 40 right now. The WAR discrepancy will obviously decrease but the others likely won’t
This post was edited on 6/29/26 at 3:39 pm
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
63722 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:32 pm to
Yeah I’m don’t think he would get in at 500 HR, and reaching that is going to be a very tall task at this point being realistic about it.

It would be different if he were just DHing in the back half of his career
This post was edited on 6/29/26 at 3:34 pm
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
74011 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:51 pm to
Schwarber is basically a worse version of Giancarlo Stanton and Jim Thome. Tons of strikeouts, tons of home runs. But his career BA is significantly worse than both. Thome also at least played an actual position way more and got to 600 HRs.

It's kind of amazing that 1/3 of Schwarber's career hits are HRs

The only people not in the HOF w 500 career HRs are steroid guys, so Schwarber would be a great test subject for that should he get to that milestone
This post was edited on 6/29/26 at 3:52 pm
Posted by ShaneTheLegLechler
Member since Dec 2011
63722 posts
Posted on 6/29/26 at 3:54 pm to
Yeah I would be fascinated to see what happens if he does. I don’t think he would get in if he just clears it, but who knows.

I am of the opinion that when Father Time comes for him and the bat speed begins to decline, the drop off will be steep and swift.
Posted by ned nederlander
Member since Dec 2012
6108 posts
Posted on 6/30/26 at 9:11 am to
People talk about Steph Curry being this transformative player whose style changed the game.

It’s time for Adam Dunn to get his due as the modern mlb archetype.
Posted by TigerintheNO
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2004
45405 posts
Posted on 6/30/26 at 9:21 am to
Adam Dunn one of the worst arms in MLB history

quote:

and now the trailers over the same time period.

Brian Giles – -19.5 runs
Juan Pierre – -16.3 runs
Jermaine Dye – -13.5 runs
Shawn Green – -12.3 runs
Adam Dunn – -12.2 runs
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