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re: 10 Best Defensive Baseball Players of All-Time-

Posted on 2/23/12 at 9:56 am to
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12467 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Ken Griffey

Absolutely
quote:

Ichiro Suzuki

Absolutely not. Very overrated as a player IMO.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 10:04 am to
Ichiro is a better OF than Griffey was IMO, though he plays an easier position.
Posted by Pilot Tiger
North Carolina
Member since Nov 2005
74021 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Ichiro is a better OF than Griffey was IMO, though he plays an easier position.
yeaaa I'm going to have to go ahead and sorta disagree with you on that one. yeaaa.

Even if I accept it, it's a flawed comparison. It's like saying Pujols is a better infielder than Starlin Castro. Even if it's true, you can't compare a 1B to a SS just because they are both infielders
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 10:11 am to
quote:

Even if I accept it, it's a flawed comparison. I


It is flawed.

But Griffey's fielding plaudits are widely overrated, IMO. He had a flair for the dramatic, and the catch he made where he broke his wrist is, to this day, the best catch I've ever seen.

But by any advanced metric, Griffey doesn't rank. His career Defensive runs saved is -51. He's not even in the top 400 of Total Runs saved.

Ichiro is 30th, all time. His DRS is 113.

Of course, his arm is figured into these, so that is part of it.

If Ichiro is overrated for anything, it's his hitting prowess, IMO.
Posted by dukke v
PLUTO
Member since Jul 2006
216469 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 10:26 am to
quote:

1. Ozzie 2. Brooks Robinson 3. Andruw 4. Clemente 5. Mays 6. Mazeroski 7. Bench 8. Kaline 9. Vizquel 10. Pudge



A very good list.
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12467 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 10:35 am to
I'm gonna disagree. I don't think there's any way Ichiro is a better fielder than Griffey. I've watched both play my entire life and I don't think it's even close. Ichiro has a rocket arm, but has never even dove for a ball once in his life. I've even seen him flat out misread balls and drop routine ones every once in a while. And when I say that Ichiro is overrated, I mean that in terms of an all-time great fielder. I think he is one of the better ones that is currently playing, but no way all time.

Also, I haven't done hardly any research into how the defensive ratings are calculated, but every time I see them brought up, I've seen people dispute them saying that they aren't very accurate. What's the deal with those things? If a guy like Ichiro has one of the best outfielders I've ever seen in Franklin Gutierrez next to him, does that help his rating at all? And yes, I would rate Gutierrez above Ichiro any day of the week.
This post was edited on 2/23/12 at 10:36 am
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 11:01 am to
quote:

but has never even dove for a ball once in his life.


Probably because he doesn't have to.

quote:

I've even seen him flat out misread balls and drop routine ones every once in a while.


Well, everyone messes up. Andruw Jones is the best defensive CF ever IMO, and I'm sure he dropped a can of corn in his day. Willie Mays tripped and fell in CF for the Mets. It happens.

quote:

Also, I haven't done hardly any research into how the defensive ratings are calculated, but every time I see them brought up, I've seen people dispute them saying that they aren't very accurate. What's the deal with those things?


I mentioned this in a thread yesterday, but a lot of the problems with the advanced defensive metrics is on the micro level. From a macro perspective, they are generally accurate. People are still tinkering with them to figure out how exactly to do it accurately on a year-to-year basis.

Joe Sheehan stated on MLB network the other night that Defensive Runs saved uses both the zone rating system that is popular, but also uses eyeball evaluation component. This is particularly helpful for a 1B. So let's say a guy may have a more limited range. Well UZR would say that guy blows. But DRS takes into account when a guy digs a bad throw out of the dirt. I can't find anything to verify this (I haven't spent a lot of time researching it online), but I trust that Sheehan wouldn't just pull that out of his arse.

I don't really care for UZR, because there is such crazy fluctuation. I fail to see how a guy could really go from best at his position to awful and back to awesome and back to awful like 6 times in his career. Of course, there are a lot of elements at play when fielding.

But DRS and +/- and Total Zone Runs seem to stay a lot more consistent (in my experience of combing through them).

quote:

If a guy like Ichiro has one of the best outfielders I've ever seen in Franklin Gutierrez next to him, does that help his rating at all? And yes, I would rate Gutierrez above Ichiro any day of the week.


Well, Gutierrez is amazing. If he could hit at all, he'd be an AS. If he could maintain his 2009 production level, he'd be one of the best players in baseball, IMO.

I'm not certain if they calculate the effect of playing next to someone. I'm sure they have some sort of way to try, but I would guess some of that would be psychological and impossible to measure.

eta: And the advanced metrics don't differ THAT wildly from most common perspectives. The major guy originally was Jeter, who most now concede was never a great shortstop (sure handed, but limited range). Griffey is a guy that won a lot of GG's but doesn't rank out well advanced wise.
This post was edited on 2/23/12 at 11:04 am
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290886 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 11:41 am to
quote:

Of course, there are a lot of elements at play when fielding.



this is an understatement. It's why you cant trust any of them.


variable on top of variable on top of variable
Posted by Baloo
Formerly MDGeaux
Member since Sep 2003
49645 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 1:12 pm to
There’s a lot reasons not to trust defensive metrics, but the biggest has to do with the fact that fielding is inherently collaborative. Let’s say you have a shortstop with incredible range – isn’t he going to take balls away from the third baseman? Wouldn’t that same third baseman, with absolutely no improvement, make more outs if he played with a worse shortstop? And then there’s the whole groundball/flyball pitcher dynamic. Or how there just aren’t many fielding outs to go around when a strikeout pitcher is on the hill.

Which is why I love the 1970s Orioles (well, I love them for lots of reasons, but they are a great defensive stat Quality Check). You’ve got Brooks and Belanger. You show me numbers that promote one at the expense of the other – you’ve got a flawed system. At the end of the day, I like systems that rate the simple act of making outs. I’m a huge fan of Range Factor. It’s flawed for the reason mentioned, but it rewards players simply for making outs – which is the name of the game.

Team wide, Defensive Efficiency is stunningly simple and logical. But you have the problem of dividing credit.

Also, I remember Cal getting ripped when I was a kid for lack of range because he didn’t dive. And his out totals were huge. Diving shows the limits of your range. Cal was just there. Cal’s defensive rep has done a 180, but for you youngins’… baseball writers insisted Cal was a subpar defender until they finally realized he was good in the mid-90s, right as his range had evaporated.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
76373 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

The only reason maz is in the HOF is because of his glove and his famous HR against the yankees. His bat was pretty terrible and he was inducted by the veteran's committee 30 years after he retired



Whoops. My bad, I was posting semi-drunk last night, and I meant Yaz, not Maz.
Posted by FightinTigersDammit
Louisiana North
Member since Mar 2006
46425 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 2:01 pm to
He's mostly forgotten, but Cesar Cedeno could cover some centerfield..And Clemente's arm was totally legit
Posted by Zach
Gizmonic Institute
Member since May 2005
117591 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 2:09 pm to
quote:

Clemente was the best defensive OF of all time. His arm was incredible.


I saw him play against the Astros. We went to the game early to watch batting and fielding practice. In fielding practice the coach, located around the mound hit a high fly to deep RF with his fungo bat and yelled "second base" to Clemente.

The SS moved over to second and crouched down behind it like a catcher waiting to receive a pitch.
Clemente caught the ball on the warning track and fired a throw to the SS UNDERHANDED..like a fast pitch softball player.

The ball split the bag, two feet off the ground. The SS yelled "Stee-rike!"

All the pirate players just laughed and shook their heads in disbelief.
Posted by bddwolfpack
NYC
Member since Sep 2010
9407 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 2:11 pm to
Clemente

My favorite player
Posted by TDawg1313
WA
Member since Jul 2009
12467 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

OBUDan

Good response
quote:

Probably because he doesn't have to.

I've read that diving increases your range anywhere from 6-12 feet. No matter how fast you are, you can always increase your range a little bit by diving.
quote:

Well, everyone messes up. Andruw Jones is the best defensive CF ever IMO, and I'm sure he dropped a can of corn in his day. Willie Mays tripped and fell in CF for the Mets. It happens.

True.

And I can't really comment on defensive ratings because I don't know enough form a decent argument on them.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
76373 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:17 pm to
quote:

bddwolfpack



Sorry on the mix up, I was wondering why you were so down on a helluva hitter like Yaz.
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
76373 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:20 pm to
quote:

I've read that diving increases your range anywhere from 6-12 feet. No matter how fast you are, you can always increase your range a little bit by diving.



This used to be a huge argument between the SABER people and normal Red Sox fans. Ells would make all these amazing catches, while JD Drew would seemingly make a bunch of easy catches. The problem was, Ells range used to be garbage because he couldn't read a ball off a bat and would generally run the wrong direction, forcing him to make diving catches on balls that JD would have made easily. JD Drew's defense has always been criminally underrated, not that I think he is even in sniffing range of top 10 RFers of all time.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290886 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:23 pm to
my thing with defensive metrics, like i mentioned before, are the many variables that come into play.

To start off, im not going to pretend i know the nuances of each metric. But, I can't imagine they take into account all of the variables i am about to list.


- Positioning; a lot of the players on the field, both infielders and OF's are moved with each at bat, shoot, some pitch by pitch, by the coaches. If the coach has them out of position to reach a ball, why are they penalized? Well of course you don't know who is totally responsible. Coach? Player?

Throw all that out of the window, how do they pinpoint the exact positioning of the fielder on every batted ball? It is pretty much impossible. Is it a small area in which they are positioned that is pinpointed? I mean there is such a small window on some balls that are catchable which makes even the tiniest variable important.

- Field conditions. Do they take into account turf vs natural grass? High grass infields vs short grass infields? Hard infield dirt to soft dirt? Not exactly as important in the OF, but longer grass could slow down the fielder's tract to the ball, especially when comparing to turf/artificial grass.

If Jimmy Rollins is playing on a fast infield surface in Philly and can't get to a ball, but Starlin Castro playing on the high Wrigley grass can get to the same ball, does that make Castro the better fielder? Do they even take that into account?


- The baseball. Can they track the velocity of the ball? Would be pretty hard to accurately do so, IMO. A properly positioned infielder may not be able to touch a ball because it is hit so hard, even though he was in position to make a play. Maybe a ball hit just 2-3 MPH slower would be catchable.

CAn they track balls hit with top spin? Those ball's take off once they hit the ground. They may look like a normal ground ball, but any infielder can tell you that a ball with top spin can only be noticed by that specific fielder, even though it looks like a normal ground ball. They scoot through the hole much quicker.

Can they measure the slice on a ball? Both in the infield and OF? A left handed hitter slicing a 1 or 2 hop lazy line drive through the 3B/SS hole is not the same as a righthanded hitter hitting one through that same hole, at the same speed and same trajectory. The one off the righthanded bat very well could be caught, but the lefthanded slice is pushing away from the fielder. Same example with an OF. A lefty slicing a ball in the gap or down the left field line can find a hole that some righthanded hits would not.

- Weather conditions. Day games battling the sun vs night games. Night games with high skies. West coast games with setting suns and shadows. Domes with white roofs. Wind. Precipitation.

Any of the above can affect jump on fly balls for outfielders. A lot of times we are talking a split second on some balls. It doesn't mean the OF doesn't get good jumps. It could just mean he cant see it. The slickness of the ball for infielders regarding throwing to 1st base. The way a ball takes off on wet grass.

- the speed of the runner. slow hit ground balls that a runner can either beat out or force a bad throw, or no throw at all. say an infielder fumbles the ball out his glove in a rush to make the play. Errors are arbitrary as it is. A dribbler to 3B by a catcher is an routine play. The same exact dribbler to 3B by Juan Pierre may not be.


Like I said, i don't know much about the stat, but if they can incorporate all of that then they have themselves one hell of a stat. It's easy to say that "oh they are just used to compare players". bullshite. No ball is hit the same, no field is managed the same, no weather forecast is the same, no batter is the same, etc etc.

Sure i might get ragged on for not being a believer in defensive metrics, but I watch enough baseball to tell me with my naked eye who is a good fielder and who isnt. It may sound cocky, oh well. Im just not one to throw out things like "Roberto Clemente was the best fielder in history".... ok, I didnt see him. He may have been. By all accounts he was great. But I'm not going to say he "shits on so and so" because defensive metrics say so. Or "Andruw Jones shits on Griffey". Come on. THat's your reasoning? This board just makes me mad some times. Everyone leaning on stats that other people compute. Many that are just plain silly. I miss the days when you can just talk baseball, man on man.

/end rant. Thats not directed at you, Baloo. Just general thoughts.
This post was edited on 2/23/12 at 3:27 pm
Posted by Jcorye1
Tom Brady = GoAT
Member since Dec 2007
76373 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:42 pm to
quote:

Like I said, i don't know much about the stat, but if they can incorporate all of that then they have themselves one hell of a stat. It's easy to say that "oh they are just used to compare players". bullshite. No ball is hit the same, no field is managed the same, no weather forecast is the same, no batter is the same, etc etc.


I gotta think the law of huge numbers start to take place eventually.
Posted by OBUDan
Chicago
Member since Aug 2006
40723 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

There’s a lot reasons not to trust defensive metrics, but the biggest has to do with the fact that fielding is inherently collaborative. Let’s say you have a shortstop with incredible range – isn’t he going to take balls away from the third baseman? Wouldn’t that same third baseman, with absolutely no improvement, make more outs if he played with a worse shortstop? And then there’s the whole groundball/flyball pitcher dynamic. Or how there just aren’t many fielding outs to go around when a strikeout pitcher is on the hill.


From my understanding, DRS is attempting to combat that, which is why they incorporate an "eyeball" element. But I could be way off.
Posted by Lester Earl
3rd Ward
Member since Nov 2003
290886 posts
Posted on 2/23/12 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

I gotta think the law of huge numbers start to take place eventually.




yea, maybe for computing FLD%.
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