Hayekian serf

He’s a talented horse, no doubt. But it’s tough for me to fully trust one who’s been facing softer company out west in those smaller fields.

It looks like we might get something in the low 23-and-change range—and if we do, he should be right where he wants to be, barring any early chaos.

East Avenue is a horse that is a wildcard, I don’t quite get the dismissal. His effort in the Blue Grass might’ve been one of the most impressive runner-up finishes I’ve seen in a Derby prep. He carved out a suicidal pace going 1 1/8 and still only lost by a nose. The horse may finally be getting on par with expectations.

I think there’s a real good shot we get a price this year especially with two Baffert’s soaking up money.

I should have all the final fractions loaded today for each horse, and I’m especially interested in digging into the sustained pace numbers.

The card for the day is awesome man. Race 8 is going to be great.

Why would you have thought that? He's an insufferable young man.

The sports media hyped him up so they could cash in on the coverage of him slipping.

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More importantly, horses to throw some money on?

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The Derby’s a total crapshoot, man. You’ve got 20 horses going a distance they’ve never run before, against a field size they’ll never see again — and for most of them, they won’t ever do either again for the rest of their careers.

Anyone saying they know who’s going to win is kidding themselves. Betting horses has been my side gig for a few years now — and while I can make educated guesses that pay off over time, the Derby is a total minefield.

Journalism will almost certainly go off as the favorite, and probably deserves to.
Hopefully the Baffert horses soak up a ton of money and give us some great value elsewhere.

I think there’s a good shot we get a price this year. I’m comfortable tossing about 10 of them… though in a chaotic race like the Derby, even the ones you toss can sometimes benefit from some crowded field shenanigans or a wild pace.

I haven’t finished breaking it down with the MPH/Sartin method yet — I’ll update this post once I do.

But soak it in, man. It’s going to be awesome. Hopefully we get good weather. I still haven’t made it to the Derby yet myself. The family and I were at Churchill for their fall meet and had a blast. Did Saratoga last summer too.

One day we’ll check the Derby off the list.

Draft grades the day after the draft are stupid and anyone who puts weight into them isn’t very bright either.

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ooof…. I was about to say “you took your wife to the masters?!” I love my wife and all but she probably isn’t in the top ten on the list of people I’d rather hang out with at a sporting event

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She used to get passes through her old company, so I was lucky enough to go the Sunday Tiger won. I’m not even much of a golf fan, but after being there that day, I don’t think I’ll ever feel the need to go again — it was that good.

Later on, when we hit the lottery and were able to sell the tickets, we jumped on it. I was blown away by how much we got for them — and they weren’t even tournament day passes.

Man I hope so.

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DRAFT SHEDEUR

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Hell no

Don’t touch either, but especially Sanders

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For years we paid school taxes and covered the expenses of homeschooling.

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I concur.

If Ron’s wife is the nominee, he very well could win

Is there anything left in Hollywood besides squeezing every last dollar out of every franchise—usually with talent nowhere near the level of the original creators?