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I’ve been holding out on buying a vehicle due to rates. Should I keep waiting or buy?

Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:52 pm
Posted by FlexDawg
Member since Jan 2018
12812 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 2:52 pm
My luck there would be a crash right after I bought.
Posted by lynxcat
Member since Jan 2008
24133 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:05 pm to
Nothing indicates rates dropping for awhile.
Posted by Thundercles
Mars
Member since Sep 2010
5031 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:08 pm to
Rates are looking to remain steady for the next year, and even then they won't go back down to the absurd lows as before.

Manufacturers might have promo rates in the next few months depending on the model you're looking at.
Posted by Sir Saint
1 post
Member since Jun 2010
5322 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:28 pm to
New or used? If new, finance through the manufacturer with the promo rates.

Back in the golden days, you used to be forced to choose between manufacturer/dealer rebates (which could be $10,000+ off MSRP) OR promo financing, but you couldn't do both. Nowadays, you aren't getting much of anything off MSRP so the promo financing is a no-brainer with rates at >7%.
Posted by Santiago_Dunbar
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2021
212 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:51 pm to
I’m in the same boat. The plan was to hold out until mid-24 to get a gently used 22-23 Tundra but my 2014 F150 needing a new trans. has accelerated that plan.

It does look like used prices have dipped a bit though
Posted by TorchtheFlyingTiger
1st coast
Member since Jan 2008
2115 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:55 pm to
Keep waiting and use the time to build your cash stack while collecting ~5% interest in a HYSA then pay cash. Then once you have the cash, it's likely going to be harder for you to just blow it all on a depreciating asset.
Posted by Rize
Spring Texas
Member since Sep 2011
15762 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 3:58 pm to
quote:

My luck there would be a crash right after I bought.


Just refi if the rates crash. It’s not like you have to pay a few thousand to refi.
This post was edited on 8/28/23 at 4:01 pm
Posted by tigeralum06
Member since Oct 2007
2788 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 9:23 pm to
quote:

it's likely going to be harder for you to just blow it all on a depreciating asset.


Is this even still accurate? I can probably sell my vehicle for more than I paid for it.
Posted by Cajun367
S. Louisiana
Member since Oct 2017
1928 posts
Posted on 8/28/23 at 10:46 pm to
quote:

2014 F150 needing a new trans. has accelerated that plan.


Why a new trans is a Hella of lot cheaper than a new truck. Hell rebuild the engine while you're at it.
Posted by Warfox
B.R. Native (now in MA)
Member since Apr 2017
3134 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 4:31 am to
quote:

Why a new trans is a Hella of lot cheaper than a new truck. Hell rebuild the engine while you're at it.


This is my logic. I have a DD Altima that has 130k miles only unknown is CVT Tranny starting to hint at potential problems.

I’ll throw a brand-new trans in her all day long vs. purchasing a new vehicle.
Posted by Hayekian serf
GA
Member since Dec 2020
2513 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:49 am to
Rates are not going lower any time soon. At least not for any duration of time.

I would expect them to rise more over the years.

If you are going to wait, I’d save as much as you can with the hopes of paying cash if possible or at the very least a large down payment.

You can get over 5.25 on a 16 month cd through banks like Synchrony and just under 5 on some lower term CDs.
You can get 4.5 in a high held savings.

While you wait save and earn something.

If you are going to pay higher rates for a loan you may as well use those same high rates to save.

Just a humble idiot’s thoughts.
Posted by tide06
Member since Oct 2011
11143 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 9:17 am to
I’d argue vehicle cost inflation outweighs any potential minor rate drops.

Short of expecting a major price collapse due to a downturn I don’t see why you would wait.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51489 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:37 am to
Are you needing to buy something new or are you just wanting to?
Posted by lowhound
Effie
Member since Aug 2014
7508 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 10:45 am to
The rates aren't scaring me as much as the overvalued vehicles. I'm not buying a truck over $50k, sorry. I'll drive my current ride over 200k miles before I do that, even if I have to drop a new tranny in it.
Posted by Suntiger
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
32946 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

The rates aren't scaring me as much as the overvalued vehicles. I'm not buying a truck over $50k, sorry.


Do you expect prices to drop? When was the last time prices dropped on goods?
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
51489 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 3:27 pm to
quote:

When was the last time prices dropped on goods?


2018.

quote:

Do you expect prices to drop?


Not for a while, but eventually a breaking point will be hit because you can't inflate indefinitely without repercussions. We're in an environment where dealers are offering 72 and 84 month loans just so some people can afford vehicles. If prices keep rising, the more people who need those terms (or even longer terms) will grow. As that happens, it's inevitable that consumers find alternatives (more taking public transportation, going to motorcycles or trykes, etc) which hampers demand enough for prices to come down. The real questions here are what will it take for that to happen and when?
Posted by Santiago_Dunbar
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2021
212 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 4:26 pm to
Maybe I’m looking at this incorrectly, but for me it’s a time/inconvenience issue. If I have a high mileage vehicle that requires diagnosing and repairing progressively worse issues a few times a year, it’s probably time to make a change.

It might be cheaper to drive it until the wheels fall off but having a truck that spends half it’s time in the shop ain’t my bag
Posted by weadjust
Member since Aug 2012
15088 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 6:20 pm to
quote:

It might be cheaper to drive it until the wheels fall off but having a truck that spends half it’s time in the shop ain’t my bag


I can count the number of hours my 2006 Tundra has been in the shop on one hand
Posted by Santiago_Dunbar
Atlanta, GA
Member since Feb 2021
212 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 7:02 pm to
Hence the requirement to go Toyota on this next one haha. I got a good 200k problem-free miles out of the F150 but she’s hit a wall.

Don’t get me started on the ‘99 Ram I had before..talk about transmission issues.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68289 posts
Posted on 8/29/23 at 7:50 pm to
quote:

Do you expect prices to drop? When was the last time prices dropped on goods?



Vehicle prices have nowhere to go but down IMO over the next 6-12 months. Dealerships are starting to get heavily inventoried and the only way out of that is discounting and moving inventory eventually.

Bubble is bursting for auto dealers, even if it's a slow bleed to it. These prices will not be this inflated for much longer, regardless if makers themselves keep raising up MSRP's to ridiculous levels, eventually people say enough is enough and dealers cant let huge inventories stay on lot with the interest rates they are paying for those.
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