re: Last 20 games...

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this team isn’t sniffing omaha baw. need to learn how to throw strike and play defense. sadly it’s too late in the year to fix those major impediments

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Omaha is still very likely.

We MAY drop out of #1, but we're still gonna be top 4 easy. Probably no lower than #2. Will win our home series against Miss State, very likely win the series at UGA. We lost a road series against a mid-tier SEC team, that made it to Omaha last year.

You stay top 8, you stay as host for both Regional and Super Regional play. Playing at home gives us a big advantage, being the 1 seed in a regional means you play a #4 seed game one, that we can win without throwing Skenes. We then face the second best team without their ace, against Skenes. So very likely we make it through the regional.
Super Regional is a 3 game series; it will be at the Box, against a team no better than what we've faced in the SEC; say Kentucky, Bama, Tennessee level. We also very likely take that, just as we did beat those teams at home.

First weekend of Omaha becomes the challenge. You can't hide your pitchers against anyone. Skenes wins his game, we still likely take 1 of 2 with the rest of our weekend rotation. But starting with game 4 of that, we're gonna be very challenged, and will need all the bats to win slugfests.

If we make it out of that, to the Finals, it's a 3 game series again. I think the strategy then is to play for a sweep.
Without Skenes, you don't have the arms to try to win 2 games against a top team. So you don't bother trying, you pitch everyone to win one of them, and trust Skenes to get the other.

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IMO if this team makes it to Omaha, the ceiling is 2-2.

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It's one thing to criticize the team and another to spout idiotic predictions. There have been much worse teams than this one win it all. There is no "ceiling". If not LSU, then who do you think is the favorite to win it? Wake? Maybe, but history is against an ACC winning it all. South Carolina, Vandy, Florida, Arkansas? All those teams have issues too.

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If not LSU, then who do you think is the favorite to win it?

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I hate to even mention this, but Tennessee is going to be a very dangerous team.

They haven't had the year expected of them, and Dollander has been beat up a few times (especially early), but they're built for a run. They've got a deep bullpen, and if they can make it out of the first 2 games, the deeper they go the more the advantage swings to them. Look at what they did with LSU (who was hot then)- lost relatively close games to start the series, then lit us up on game 3.
They're the type of team that can climb out of the loser's bracket.

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How many runs per game have we scored in the last 20?

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Average LSU score - 8.1
Average opponent score - 6.9

Median LSU - 7.5
Median opponent - 6.0

Compare that to Arkansas, who has a similar record in the last 20:

Average Ark score - 7.6
Average Ark opponent - 5.15

Median Ark - 6.0
Median Ark opp - 5.0

Its not supposed to be easy.

Please go find a beach and bury your head deep enough to muffle your bitching.

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Does it take 50 years of sports knowledge to realize that is dogshit?

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nah, it takes 50 years of baseball knowledge to tell everyone else it's just baseball

It was just last season that Ole Miss really showed folks how baseball works. You get hot at the right time, you can win it all.