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Kenpom predicts 3 conference wins for mens hoops

Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:30 am
Posted by bloupe2
Member since Apr 2011
2857 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:30 am


This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 7:33 am
Posted by jpainter6174
Boss city
Member since Feb 2014
5281 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:32 am to
ouch, 12 game slide would be rough
Posted by mikethetigerdc
DC
Member since Sep 2018
192 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:36 am to
What a joke
Posted by Tiger2tiger97
Member since Jul 2021
664 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:37 am to
Damn that would be brutal
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 7:40 am
Posted by Mats86
Member since Mar 2021
3577 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:42 am to
I kind of like us in a few more games. But if we don’t come away with one against Florida or A&M in January, starting out winless for that many games will have this place so toxic
Posted by Big Gorilla
Bossier City
Member since Oct 2020
5452 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:42 am to
quote:

What a joke


Have you seen them play. Doubt they win more then 6 so it’s pretty reasonable to think only 3.

After what started last spring I was thinking zero. As in big donut so 6 is a huge win for a team that had no players just this year.
Posted by Big4SALTbro
Member since Jun 2019
14801 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:42 am to
I like MM but our recruiting will have to improve and our hype of bball needs to improve. Bball is a afterthought to Scotty
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 7:44 am
Posted by S
RIP Wayde
Member since Jan 2007
155408 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:57 am to
quote:

starting out winless for that many games will have this place so toxic


It’ll be low hanging fruit for those who claim to not even care about basketball or better yet, the “i can only focus on one sport at a time” crowd

I think we can get about 6-ish wins
Posted by Aforem7
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2019
871 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:59 am to
quote:

What a joke


I mean to be fair this isn't a guy sitting there picking the games. It's a computer algorithm that is using the kenpom rating to determine the outcomes and considering our OOC schedule was weaker and the games were close our ranking is low. I also may be looking at it wrong but that shows us winning three games but then shows our final record as 18-13 (6-12) so really confused as to what the actual prediction is
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 8:02 am
Posted by Tiger Ugly
Baton Rouge
Member since Jul 2008
14475 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 7:59 am to
I'm going to say 7 or 8.
Posted by timlan2057
In the Shadow of Tiger Stadium
Member since Sep 2005
16761 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:02 am to
Where are you getting three?

This is predicting six SEC wins.
Posted by IM_4_LSU
Augusta, GA
Member since Mar 2014
8993 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:05 am to
I don't think we only win 3 SEC games. 7-10 games is much more realistic.
Posted by KamaCausey_LSU
Member since Apr 2013
14482 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:15 am to
Won't be much separating the middle of the pack SEC teams with projected 1 possession games against Florida, Georgia, Mizzou, and A&M.

Current bracketology has 7 SEC schools in and that's probably a reasonable cutoff this season.
Posted by MrJimBeam
Member since Apr 2009
12259 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:18 am to
I don't have high expectations for the team this year. If they can go .500 in SEC play, that's probably overachieving. Hopefully they can prove me wrong.
Posted by Tiger1988
Houston
Member since May 2016
24228 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:22 am to
That sounds about right. I figured ~18 but that was my P&G glasses prediction.
Posted by Pnels08
Member since Jul 2014
9179 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:30 am to
96th ranked offense, if it were to finish that, that would be the worse offense ranking in the past 10 years I think
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 8:35 am
Posted by The Seaward
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2006
11346 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:42 am to
quote:

but then shows our final record as 18-13 (6-12) so really confused as to what the actual prediction is


If you add up the win probabilities, it equals 6 wins. KenPom projects us to be favored in 3 games, not actually just win 3.

If a computer system thought you had a 49% chance to win every game you played, it would expect you to be close to a .500 team, not go winless.
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 8:46 am
Posted by sp22
Member since Jan 2019
725 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:43 am to
Took this many comments for someone to notice it’s projecting 6 not 3 lmao
Posted by GumboPot
Member since Mar 2009
118680 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:43 am to
Not unexpected. This is a total rebuild year.
Posted by NorthEndZone
Member since Dec 2008
11271 posts
Posted on 12/28/22 at 8:44 am to
7 games against clear top 5 of SEC will be very difficult. One win would be nice.

6-5 in the other 11 games.

7-11 finish.
This post was edited on 12/28/22 at 8:54 am
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