re: EVERY way too early CFP top 12 lists exclude LSU

When they can show that they can play defense this will change. Right now they cannot do that.

I think if the conference had stayed put we would probably be right there year in and out. If the SEC gets three teams it's going to be interesting. Georgia will be in, but with Texas and Oklahoma coming in, Ole Miss having a banner year in the portal, and the completely unknown that is Alabama next year, there will be four five teams fighting for the two spots in the SEC besides UGA.

Good

I would be ecstatic if we somehow made it. I don’t think we’re there this year, and that’s ok.


I think this will be our “worst” year of the next 5-10 years. After this season, I hope we’re in almost every year and will expect to be.


People will melt, but I assume this is a small step back year. To be expected based on losing Jayden and defense likely not quite there yet.

Future is very bright though …

LSU's defense was complete shite last season. Yes, there is and entirely new coaching staff. Yes, we all THINK that will produce significant improvement. But until that actually happens the LSU defense is not going to get the benefit of the doubt. On offense LSU lost the Heisman trophy winner who, at times, was a one-man show offensively. No player in college football was more dynamic. Not even close. We all think Nussmeier can be good. But it's not reasonable to expect he will immediately step in an match Daniels' production. Aside from Daniels, BTJ and Nabers are gone. Both will be first round picks. Who knows? Daniels, Lacy, Hilton, etc could be just as good. But, again, they will have to prove it at LSU before they get the benefit of the doubt. Then, you take into account the OC of the #1 offense left after last season as well.

NONE of that means LSU can't make the CFP. It's just that I understand why people make be taking a wait-and-see approach. In year 1 expectations were low and Kelly exceeded them. In year 2 expectations were high and LSU blew them with a horrible defense. So no one can really be certain of what LSU will be.

Now, if you want to argue teams like Alabama and Michigan have similar uncertainties because of HC changes, I agree. But given both program's consistent level of success over the past 3 years or some compared to LSU that's probably why you see them get the benefit of the doubt in PREDICTIONS.

The good news is you don't have to get upset by it because it literally doesn't matter.

If Tulane makes the playoffs and LSU doesnt every head will explode

quote:

---

seriously doubt LSU will make the CFP in 2024. I see us as maybe 9-3 in 2024. Our ascent will begin in 2025, IMO.

---

I don’t think this is the year we win it all, but I think it’s fair to expect a shot at the 12 team playoff.

Yes we do need a late transfer DT, but I think the offense has a chance to be very good + I can’t imagine that the defense is worse than last year with the assembled staff.

They won’t be the best defense in the country, but they may do enough to have us in position to win every game (assuming the offense reaches its potential).

This is probably an 8-4 year. The defense is still a huge liabilty. Ole Miss, Bama, UGA, and UT are more talented this year

Mistake

Tulane? Wtf, I don't think you know what you're talking about.