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re: Can I start getting excited about Cameron Johnson yet?

Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:13 pm to
Posted by CP3forMVP
Member since Nov 2010
14936 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:13 pm to
frick it I’m getting excited
Posted by lsujag
Member since Jan 2012
2328 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:17 pm to
Was coming to post about the drafting of seniors. They can basically offer pennies on the dollar to these players. As long as they sign, the team keeps the money. Wouldn’t be surprised to see someone like Johnson drafted to start the eleventh. Nationals have a lot of money to play with now
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
12423 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:19 pm to
Wait until the clock strikes 12. We have been down this road too many times before.
Posted by SpencerRob
Pass Christian, MS
Member since May 2008
1143 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:20 pm to
You have to wait until after round 15. Teams will draft HS kids in rounds 11-15 that they will try to sign with savings from rds 1-10. Kids drafted in rds 11-15 still sign at a 93% rate.
Posted by Herman
PRAIRIEVILLE, La
Member since Feb 2018
677 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:28 pm to
Do not get excited. Just stop please stop. A team will circle back around and most kids don't stay firm to their number
Posted by Alex Box Lives On
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
572 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:39 pm to
quote:

Kids drafted in rds 11-15 still sign at a 93% rate.


I’m assuming this statistic is primarily years without NIL factored in though, right?
Posted by LSUcajun77
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2008
21285 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:48 pm to
They’re saving money right now picking college kids on the cheap so they can offer a high school later on with bonus money.

Cam is going to get drafted and offered a million +
It’s all about if he sticks with the large number that pushed him down this road, or just accepts the offer.

Only an opinion I could be wrong and some else has a better one
This post was edited on 7/10/23 at 5:50 pm
Posted by Jax-Tiger
Port Saint Lucie, FL
Member since Jan 2005
24772 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

They’re saving money right now picking college kids on the cheap so they can offer a high school later on with bonus money.

Cam is going to get drafted and offered a million +


Why not just draft him in the slot that pays him a million plus. Why play games with the seniors? Don't they risk losing the rights to him to someone else? They can draft the seniors later.
Posted by SpencerRob
Pass Christian, MS
Member since May 2008
1143 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:05 pm to
It’s for the two years of the 20 round draft - 2021 and 2022
Posted by Hold That Tiger 10
Member since Oct 2013
21110 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:10 pm to
quote:


Why not just draft him in the slot that pays him a million plus. Why play games with the seniors? Don't they risk losing the rights to him to someone else? They can draft the seniors later


I'm just making up numbers here, but I'm just using an example to try to help you understand.

Cam Johnson - I will sign for 3.5 mill. If not I'm going to college.

MLB team - we would like to take you in round X, and the slot value there is 1.5 mill. Would you take 1.5 mil?

Cam Johnson - no

MLB team is now not going to risk drafting a player early that they don't feel is worth as much as they are asking. So they draft another prospect that agrees to sign.

MLB team grabs some seniors, with no leverage and save up some money. Mlb team now comes in rounds 11-20 and draft Cam Johnson. At that spot they can draft someone who likely doesn't snif the mlb ever, or get a legit prospect in round 14. They go back to negotiating, and hope that Cam lowers his cost, or you have saved up enough in earlier rounds to meet him closer to what he wants.
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278543 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:11 pm to
The majority of players taken Rd11-20 will be college players.


The overwhelming majority will not make over $125-150k



Less than 1% of the players remaining will get $1mil
Posted by Asleepinthecove
Member since Jan 2023
936 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:13 pm to
We saw what 99 did from the left side for Florida in the last game. 99 means nothing if you can’t control it. Hopefully CJ will have better control than JC showed because that will lose more games than it will win.
Posted by Tigerpride18
Lakewood Colorado
Member since Sep 2017
29525 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:28 pm to
Yeah let’s compare him to one game by a different pitcher.

I’ll be happy if he’s a weekend starter as a freshman
This post was edited on 7/10/23 at 6:30 pm
Posted by GooseCreekMafia
Member since Jun 2017
679 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:30 pm to
I have my fingers crossed he makes it to LSU
Posted by 3rdPart Tiger
Member since Oct 2007
6211 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Hopefully CJ will have better control than JC showed because that will lose more games than it will win.


JC the Golden Spikes finalist?

I’ll take that.
Posted by Tiger Ryno
#WoF
Member since Feb 2007
103133 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 6:59 pm to
IMG kid. ABOUT NOTHING BUT HIMSELF.
Posted by justice
Member since Feb 2006
54585 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:02 pm to
quote:

Hopefully CJ will have better control than JC showed because that will lose more games than it will win.
a freshman taking 2nd in the golden spike award. I’ll take that all day. Don’t be fricking stupid
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61954 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:06 pm to
quote:

a freshman taking 2nd in the golden spike award. I’ll take that all day. Don’t be fricking stupid


He was a sophomore, and he wasn’t a Golden Spiked finalist because he was Florida’s #3 starter.

I don’t think Cam Johnson will hit 31 home runs for us.
Posted by Metaloctopus
Louisiana
Member since Nov 2018
5906 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:11 pm to
Mac Marshall made it hard for me to ever feel comfortable about a player making it to campus. I still get excited, though.

I know the vast majority here remember what happened with Marshall, but in case anyone is new to this, he was one that got drafted late, said he was coming to campus, showed up for a brief time, if I remember correctly, and then decided to leave the program and go to junior college so that he could re-enter the draft the following year.


That's my "worry" at this point. I just hope the kid actually wants to come to LSU if he doesn't get his number, and doesn't go to a junior college.
Posted by TepperDaGuru
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2013
1122 posts
Posted on 7/10/23 at 7:19 pm to
Yeah you can, until next year when he walks a batter or 2. Then we as “fans” can shite all over him.
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