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re: Baseball Preview: 2019 Edition (Feb 10th- Pro Prospects & SEC Predictions)

Posted on 2/1/19 at 2:53 pm to
Posted by tigger42day
Just south of Mizery
Member since Oct 2004
7469 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 2:53 pm to
It is always a great day when we start the Adam4848 Baseball report!! It means that the season is right around the corner!!! Thanks Adam!!!

Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12391 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 2:59 pm to
quote:

Or thinking that stolen bases count towards total bases. That's a crowd favorite.



I did? I don't recall that but I am sure you will be able to provide proof since you dig through my old comments.

quote:

Or predicting Toine to hit 6 HRs. Or us getting a national seed last year.


LINK

Antoine Duplantis
Projection: 0.340 Avg, 45 R, 11 2B, 5 HR, 40 RBI, 40 SB
Actual: 0.333 Avg, 45 R, 10 2B, 2 HR, 42 RBI, 16 SB

Zach Watson
Projection: 0.320 Avg, 30 R, 8 2B, 10 HR, 40 RBI, 18 SB
Actual: 0.316 Avg, 42 R, 14 2B, 5 HR, 27 RBI, 13 SB

Josh Smith
Projection: Josh Smith - 0.275 Avg, 38 R, 11 2B, 6 HR, 30 RBI, 8 SB
Actual: He got hurt, only played 6 games, so my projections did not really matter cause they were actually based on a 56-game regular season.


So please ignore the fact that I nearly nailed Antoine Duplantis stat line using nothing more than PREDICTIONS, and concentrate on how I said he would hit 5 when he only hit 2.
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12391 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 3:04 pm to
quote:

Hess tweaked a groin and is shutdown at the moment. Hoping to be back by opening day, but PM a bit concerned.



Where was this posted? I am not calling you out, I am just asking for a source cause that would suck
Posted by Blueprint
Member since Apr 2018
2187 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 3:09 pm to
Adam, you are the man.
Posted by ProjectP2294
West St. Louis County
Member since May 2007
78503 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 3:36 pm to
Just small tidbit about our first opponent, ULM. They hired Southern Miss pitching coach Michael Federico as their head coach this past offseason. In an effort to make over the roster, they went VERY heavy on JUCOs in recruiting. Almost the entire team is made up of JUCO transfers.

There are a few good ones from LSUE but I don't know much about any of the other ones.

Our second opponent, Army, is considered the class of their conference by D1Baseball and Pefect Game. Both sites have them picked to win the Patriot League.

Air Force brings in College HR Derby winner and future fighter pilot Nic Ready. He set a record for HRs at TDA park for the HR derby last year. He started for Air Force the last time we played them.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
41057 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 3:58 pm to
My body is ready
Posted by bubbz
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2006
23118 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 4:46 pm to
Tad, this was posted on Twitter by local beat writer Brody Miller and James Moran.

Tad I’m not a person who is going to come in here and make shite up.
This post was edited on 2/1/19 at 4:53 pm
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
134905 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 4:54 pm to
Good info about ULM, Army & Air Force,
Posted by A Menace to Sobriety
Member since Jun 2018
32531 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 4:56 pm to
LOVE LOVE LOVE LOVE LOVE this thread. Thanks Adam.
Posted by Sampson
Thailand
Member since Mar 2012
25066 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 5:38 pm to
Trophy hunting season is about to commence. I like this team a lot. A lot a lot.
Posted by josh336
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
83052 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 6:37 pm to
Oh shite, i forgot you predicted 40 stolen bases for dups, think i called you on that in the thread. What algorythms do you use?
Posted by Sampson
Thailand
Member since Mar 2012
25066 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 6:51 pm to
Not to deviate from tad’s shenanigans but Dups has officially replaced Brandon Larson’s 20 year plus reign as my #1 all time baseball BFF
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12391 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 8:07 pm to
quote:

Tad I’m not a person who is going to come in here and make shite up.



That's why I said I wasn't calling you out. I was just asking cause I couldn't find anything that said CPM was worried. I saw where he was shut down but that CPM was not worried about it and he would be ready for season.
Posted by tadelatt
Buga Nation
Member since Jan 2010
12391 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 8:11 pm to
quote:

Oh shite, i forgot you predicted 40 stolen bases for dups, think i called you on that in the thread. What algorythms do you use?



The 40 was a straight up hope based on previous leaders and hitters like Bregman and Stevenson. I was hoping he would use his speed to his advantage to help his draft status out but he just never really got the chance to as I thought, it was a rdiculous prediction but I saw Bregman explode in his final season and really thought AD would too.

I take a look at what they previously have done and break it down by a per game average and also who they played against, whether it was on the road or at home, etc...

I overdo the research but I love LSU baseball and... why not?
Posted by StickD
Houston
Member since Apr 2010
11834 posts
Posted on 2/1/19 at 8:54 pm to


I'll be watching how the catcher and corners do.

Oh and I hope Smith is fully recovered and back to his old self.
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
27577 posts
Posted on 2/2/19 at 2:07 am to
quote:

Adam4848
good stuff as always. I have high hopes for this year.
Posted by Ryan3232
Valet driver for TD staff
Member since Dec 2008
27577 posts
Posted on 2/2/19 at 2:17 am to
quote:

TrueTigerTale
quote:

????????
Such a pathetic first post to a historic tigerdroppings baseball preview.

frick you TTT.
Posted by rupert45
Member since May 2013
635 posts
Posted on 2/2/19 at 8:49 am to
Thanks Adam
Posted by LSUSoulja08
Member since Oct 2007
16969 posts
Posted on 2/2/19 at 11:42 am to
Why the frick is this not stickies yet? :mad:
Posted by eelsuee
2B+!2B
Member since Oct 2004
4551 posts
Posted on 2/2/19 at 4:53 pm to
Since they won't sticky this, I need it in my post history so I can find it.
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