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Posted on 5/3/11 at 7:34 am to meauxjeaux2
Damn, I wonder if the path I use down I-55 will be affected. Tennessee and MO seem to be north of the real flooding, while the parts of I-55 in Mississippi are a little further away from the interstate
Posted on 5/3/11 at 7:38 am to LSU1018
quote:
Damn where do they evacuate the prisoners to?
North Baton Rouge.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 7:38 am to Keys Open Doors
I-55 is WAY away from the MS river in Mississippi. If the river floods I-55 in Mississippi we better all be building arks as we will need them.
If the levees broke in Arkansas or possibly MO, I-55 could POSSIBLY be flooded, but I would still say unlikely.
If the levees broke in Arkansas or possibly MO, I-55 could POSSIBLY be flooded, but I would still say unlikely.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 7:54 am to Da Hammer
Yeah, once you get further south than Memphis, I-55 gets pretty far apart. One of the articles I saw had something about a warning for Cape Girardeau though...
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:19 am to Keys Open Doors
Yeah my cousin lives in New Madrid not very far from Cape and they've all evacuated. They said that the warning is for Cape also.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:22 am to Geauxtiga
Sorry to jump in so late but I don't check this board very often. In 73 the Corps only opened the Morganza floodway because Old River was getting ready to give way. Rumor has it that they nearly lost Morganza, too. A real concern is that once the river gets that high, the levee could give way at any point and whereever it would break, you would have a major flood for several miles inland then additional flooding as the water ran south. Just because you are on relatively high ground will not make a lot of difference if you are near a breach. This is nothing to joke about and if the river will be higher than in 1973, we are nearing a very dangerous period.
If Old River gives out, you could lose I-10 over the Atchafalaya swamp and south Louisiana east of the Atchafalaya would be essentially cut off from that part of the state to the west of the river. The effects of a flood of that scale would make Katrina look like a sideshow, mainly because it would affect the state's economy for decades. But think of the effects on people who live in the area that would flood.
This is serious and you should be paying close attention to river levels.
If Old River gives out, you could lose I-10 over the Atchafalaya swamp and south Louisiana east of the Atchafalaya would be essentially cut off from that part of the state to the west of the river. The effects of a flood of that scale would make Katrina look like a sideshow, mainly because it would affect the state's economy for decades. But think of the effects on people who live in the area that would flood.
This is serious and you should be paying close attention to river levels.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:36 am to lsugrldej8
Damn, were they told when they could expect to come back? I am assuming they were evacuated because of the levee that was blown up recently by the Army Corps of Engineers.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:38 am to Keys Open Doors
I was told the COE has upped the Crest to 64.5 feet for May 15th in Greenville. 1927 (which caused the largest crevasse on the Mississippi in the flood just North of Greenville) measured 65.4. There are rumors that they might up this to 70', albeit simply rumors at this point. Baton Rouge might get the benefit of a major break somewhere in Arkansas or Northeast Louisiana as I'm betting there are some low spots in those levees somewhere. This is quickly turning into a major event.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:40 am to TigerDog83
Yeah,this thread needs the sticky right now.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:42 am to meauxjeaux2
quote:
Mississippi River flood is Going to be BIG...and BAD
Yeah,this thread needs the sticky right now.
I requested last night.
Apparently the mods dont think that the largest flood since 1927, and maybe bigger than that deserves any attention.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:42 am to meauxjeaux2
RIVER STAGE FORECASTS (A)BV
STATION FS 7PM 12HR ....F O R E C A S T..... (B)LO
STG CHG 0503 0504 0505 0506 0507 CREST/DATE FS
OHIO RIVER
SMITHLAND TW 40 53.5 +0.8 54.3 54.7 55.0 54.7 54.2 55.0 05/05A
PADUCAH 39 54.2 +0.8 55.0 55.3 55.5 55.3 54.7 55.5 05/05A
BROOKPORT 37 56.4E MSG 57.1 57.4 57.5 57.3 56.6 57.5 05/05A
GRAND CHAIN 42 62.0 +0.6 62.3 62.4 62.3 62.2 61.7 62.3 05/03A
CAIRO 40 61.6 +0.6 60.5 60.0 59.9 59.7 59.4 61.8 05/03A
MISSISSIPPI RIVER
CAPE GIRARDEAU 32 46.2 +0.1 46.2 45.4 44.5 43.9 43.1 Cresting
THEBES 33 45.5 +0.3 45.3 44.4 43.5 42.8 42.1 Cresting
NEW MADRID 34 46.4 +0.5 47.1 48.6 49.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 05/06A
TIPTONVILLE 37 47.4E MSG 47.9 49.2 50.6 51.4 51.5 51.7 05/06P
CARUTHERSVILLE 32 45.3 +0.3 45.6 47.3 48.6 49.1 49.5 49.5 05/06P
OSCEOLA 28 43.1 +0.5 43.6 44.3 45.0 45.6 46.2 47.5 05/08A
MEMPHIS 34 42.8 +0.7 43.1 44.2 45.1 45.8 46.5 48.0 05/10A
HELENA 44 49.9 +0.6 50.6 51.6 52.6 53.6 54.3 56.0 05/12A
ARKANSAS CITY 37 42.2 +0.4 43.1 44.3 45.6 47.0 48.6 53.5 05/14A
GREENVILLE 48 53.4 +0.4 54.0 55.2 56.3 57.6 58.9 64.5 05/15A
VICKSBURG 43 45.4 +0.3 46.1 47.1 48.0 49.2 50.3 57.5 05/18A
NATCHEZ 48 50.7 +0.4 51.2 52.1 53.1 54.0 54.9 65.0 05/20A
RED RIVER LNDG 48 51.9 +0.5 52.2 53.3 54.3 55.0 56.2 65.5 05/21A
BATON ROUGE 35 34.4 +0.4 34.9 35.7 36.6 37.3 38.3 47.5 05/21P A.05/03P
DONALDSONVILLE 27 24.4 +0.4 24.9 25.4 26.2 26.9 27.5 36.0 05/21P A.05/06P
RESERVE 22 18.8 +0.4 19.1 19.6 20.2 20.8 21.3 25.0 05/22A A.05/13A
NEW ORLEANS /17/ 13.7 +0.3 13.9 14.4 14.7 15.2 15.6 17.0 05/22A
STATION FS 7PM 12HR ....F O R E C A S T..... (B)LO
STG CHG 0503 0504 0505 0506 0507 CREST/DATE FS
OHIO RIVER
SMITHLAND TW 40 53.5 +0.8 54.3 54.7 55.0 54.7 54.2 55.0 05/05A
PADUCAH 39 54.2 +0.8 55.0 55.3 55.5 55.3 54.7 55.5 05/05A
BROOKPORT 37 56.4E MSG 57.1 57.4 57.5 57.3 56.6 57.5 05/05A
GRAND CHAIN 42 62.0 +0.6 62.3 62.4 62.3 62.2 61.7 62.3 05/03A
CAIRO 40 61.6 +0.6 60.5 60.0 59.9 59.7 59.4 61.8 05/03A
MISSISSIPPI RIVER
CAPE GIRARDEAU 32 46.2 +0.1 46.2 45.4 44.5 43.9 43.1 Cresting
THEBES 33 45.5 +0.3 45.3 44.4 43.5 42.8 42.1 Cresting
NEW MADRID 34 46.4 +0.5 47.1 48.6 49.6 50.0 50.0 50.0 05/06A
TIPTONVILLE 37 47.4E MSG 47.9 49.2 50.6 51.4 51.5 51.7 05/06P
CARUTHERSVILLE 32 45.3 +0.3 45.6 47.3 48.6 49.1 49.5 49.5 05/06P
OSCEOLA 28 43.1 +0.5 43.6 44.3 45.0 45.6 46.2 47.5 05/08A
MEMPHIS 34 42.8 +0.7 43.1 44.2 45.1 45.8 46.5 48.0 05/10A
HELENA 44 49.9 +0.6 50.6 51.6 52.6 53.6 54.3 56.0 05/12A
ARKANSAS CITY 37 42.2 +0.4 43.1 44.3 45.6 47.0 48.6 53.5 05/14A
GREENVILLE 48 53.4 +0.4 54.0 55.2 56.3 57.6 58.9 64.5 05/15A
VICKSBURG 43 45.4 +0.3 46.1 47.1 48.0 49.2 50.3 57.5 05/18A
NATCHEZ 48 50.7 +0.4 51.2 52.1 53.1 54.0 54.9 65.0 05/20A
RED RIVER LNDG 48 51.9 +0.5 52.2 53.3 54.3 55.0 56.2 65.5 05/21A
BATON ROUGE 35 34.4 +0.4 34.9 35.7 36.6 37.3 38.3 47.5 05/21P A.05/03P
DONALDSONVILLE 27 24.4 +0.4 24.9 25.4 26.2 26.9 27.5 36.0 05/21P A.05/06P
RESERVE 22 18.8 +0.4 19.1 19.6 20.2 20.8 21.3 25.0 05/22A A.05/13A
NEW ORLEANS /17/ 13.7 +0.3 13.9 14.4 14.7 15.2 15.6 17.0 05/22A
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:44 am to The Boat
JUST CURIOUS...IS THERE SOME SORT OF SCHEDULE THAT PREDICTS WHEN THIS MASS OF WATER WILL REACH SOUTH LOUISIANA AND/OR HOW INTENSE IT WILL BE? 
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:46 am to bigeasygreg
I just posted it right above your post.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:47 am to meauxjeaux2
I RA'd for one earlier
Hopefully the COE can keep their heads straight and make the right decisions. A wrong decision will have major implications. The river wants to move, and convincing a river to do other than what it wants to do is tricky business that can end badly. We'll see the morganza opened soon I'm sure.
That much water is a hell of a thing to contend with.
Hopefully the COE can keep their heads straight and make the right decisions. A wrong decision will have major implications. The river wants to move, and convincing a river to do other than what it wants to do is tricky business that can end badly. We'll see the morganza opened soon I'm sure.
That much water is a hell of a thing to contend with.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:48 am to TheWiz
quote:
HELENA 44 49.9 +0.6 50.6 51.6 52.6 53.6 54.3 56.0 05/12A
ARKANSAS CITY 37 42.2 +0.4 43.1 44.3 45.6 47.0 48.6 53.5 05/14A
GREENVILLE 48 53.4 +0.4 54.0 55.2 56.3 57.6 58.9 64.5 05/15A
VICKSBURG 43 45.4 +0.3 46.1 47.1 48.0 49.2 50.3 57.5 05/18A
NATCHEZ 48 50.7 +0.4 51.2 52.1 53.1 54.0 54.9 65.0 05/20A
RED RIVER LNDG 48 51.9 +0.5 52.2 53.3 54.3 55.0 56.2 65.5 05/21A
These are the ones that look really bad, although I'm not a professional like Scottie and some of the others that have posted previously.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:52 am to CptBengal
It's been interesting watching the ATCH Delta guage. Quite amazing to see the channelization of the water and how its disperses once it reaches the delta. The guage is only running .5 ft above normal predicted which some of that can be attributed to southerly winds.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:56 am to DownshiftAndFloorIt
quote:
We'll see the morganza opened soon I'm sure.
take it for what it's worth. 2 weeks ago i was traveling from marksville to new roads via highway 1. and they were moving the crane on the morganza spillway locks back and forth along it's tracks. at that time, there was no water at the locks. it may be a precaution to make sure everything is operational.
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:56 am to bigeasygreg
quote:
JUST CURIOUS...IS THERE SOME SORT OF SCHEDULE THAT PREDICTS WHEN THIS MASS OF WATER WILL REACH SOUTH LOUISIANA AND/OR HOW INTENSE IT WILL BE?
quote:
BATON ROUGE 35 34.4 +0.4 34.9 35.7 36.6 37.3 38.3 47.5 05/21P A.05/03P DONALDSONVILLE 27 24.4 +0.4 24.9 25.4 26.2 26.9 27.5 36.0 05/21P A.05/06P RESERVE 22 18.8 +0.4 19.1 19.6 20.2 20.8 21.3 25.0 05/22A A.05/13A NEW ORLEANS /17/ 13.7 +0.3 13.9 14.4 14.7 15.2 15.6 17.0 05/22A
Crest date is in bold... And wtf with the dancing banana?
Posted on 5/3/11 at 8:58 am to CptBengal
quote:
Apparently the mods dont think that the largest flood since 1927
Worst then the midwest flood of the 90's?
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