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re: Mississippi River Flooding - Links & Pictures in 1st Post

Posted on 5/8/11 at 7:58 am to
Posted by PrincessLeia
Baton Rouge
Member since Apr 2011
51 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 7:58 am to
Is the flooding in St. Francesville caused by the opening of the Morganza? If so, I don't get it, Morgnaza is on the west bank and St. Francesville is on the east bank. Am I misunderstanding something?
This post was edited on 5/8/11 at 7:59 am
Posted by ike221
Loo A Vul
Member since Aug 2006
13888 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 8:05 am to
The flooding in St. Francisville, they are talking about, is mainly Cat Island and Bayou Sara area

Morganza spillway is directly across on the Westbank of the River. I'm not positive Morganza will lead to the Flooding in St. Francisville. Seems like it should decrease the water. I think its just from high water. Same way it will be in Baton Rouge with Morganza opening
Posted by ike221
Loo A Vul
Member since Aug 2006
13888 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 8:11 am to
Is La 1 across the spillway closed today? I was thinking about riding across the New Audubon Bridge in St. Francsiville and then too Morganza
This post was edited on 5/8/11 at 8:18 am
Posted by FlagLake
"Da Ship"
Member since Feb 2006
2480 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Is La 1 across the spillway closed today? I was thinking about riding across the New Audubon Bridge in St. Francsiville and then too Morganza


Everything is still open. Made that trip yesterday but going from West ot East instead. The new bridge is impressive.
Posted by lsufan1971
Zachary
Member since Nov 2003
24227 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 8:27 am to
quote:

Everything is still open. Made that trip yesterday but going from West ot East instead. The new bridge is impressive.


Did the same. It was hard for me to get my bearings once we got on the west side. Seems like you would be east of New roads not west once you crossed the bridge.
Posted by TaserTiger
Houston
Member since Dec 2008
391 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 8:45 am to
Good Morning all - ScottieP, LSUDad, anyone else -

How many gates were opened (initally, maximum) at the Morganza Locks structure in 1973?

My memory tells me that 12 were opened in '73 at the beginning and the USACE admitted they opened too many to begin with. Mentioned this in another thread. All this time I thought that about 12 was the max. they opened. But I'm sure my memory is failing me 38 years later.....

All the pics I have seen (see Links in 1st post on page 1 of this thread as consolidated by RummelTiger) show that only about 14 gates were open (of 125 total gates per Links). I have seen the same 14 gates open in another link of USACE pics in 1973, but I cannot find in any Googled links where the USACE states how many gates were opened. The USACE website only mentions that the "Morganza Locks were partially opened in '73". Thanks for the info, USACE. BTW, as an engineer I totally support USACE!!!!

MrLSU posted on p. 84:
quote:

Only 42 of the 126 gates were opened on the Morganza in 1973. USACE are saying at least 100 of the 126 will probably be utilized for this flood.

I think he got this info from the Advocate:

Advocate article

Where did she get her info from? I know, this is a super rhetorical question. See, that's one of many problems with media - they don't need to provide links or disclose sources. They are purportedly the "link" - LOL - hahahaha. 'Nuff said on media and their "sources".....

Kajungee posted on p. 94:
quote:

I do not think they have opened any now that the forebay is filling. They only opened 20 something in 73.


His/Her statement is as legit as anybody else's statement. I have seen other posters say anywhere from 20% to 50% of the gates will be opened, while Ms. Amy of the Advocate writes her article (I'm assuming she is quoting her source) and reports that as much as 100 gates (80%) will be opened. Conjecture is subjective.

My question (admittedly to assist the conjecture ) really is: "how many gates were really opened in '73?".

Having been previously totally wiped out by a flood equivalent of hurricane high water surge (low lying area of coastal Baytown, Texas in 1982 - 7 foot waterline as measured later in my house), my prayers are out to low-lying residents. Get your most important belongings and get to high ground - you can always start over, but play it smart and keep yourself and your loved ones safe. This looks like it may be a bad one to many of you guys.

I was also (like many people) trying to gage the extent of flooding (over the various types of containment levees, breaches of same, backwater flooding, etc.) if the full extent of the 600,000 cfs of the Morganza Locks rating were to be released.

My uneducated estimate is that even if 100 of the gates were opened, the spillway would be the same level as the River. Note this would be a raging torrent of water and (with the much shorter distance to the Gulf) would tend to float MC out into the Bay. Just my take. That is to say, USACE, is 600,000 cfs still a good estimate? Them's some big gates.

I've seen them from up close from downstream fishing after they were closed in '73. Fabulous fishing. That's a story for later - trying to stay positive. For now, them's some big gates!!!!

But I digress - TIA for any legitimate, official links (or other credible insider USACE info) re. how many gates were actually opened in '73....


This post was edited on 5/8/11 at 8:50 am
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20882 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 9:08 am to
[quote]I have been reading this thread since page 1. I am currently offshore out of Venice. I come in the 18th. I live outside of Shreveport. I would like for me and my 9 year old to go ride through Vicksburg/Natchez areas so she can see history. Does anyone know which roads I should take so we can get a good view of the water? I know we can go over the bridges in both cities but I am not familiar with the back roads in that area. I plan on taking alot of pics and will update them asap.


Staring this week there will road closures all around Natchez and Vicksburg. Parts of Hwy 61 will be underwater. Parts of Hwy 49 will be underwater. Parts of Hwy 84 will be in danger of flooding west of Vidalia. The last time the river was this high(1927) the levee broke at greenville and you could take a boat from Vicksburg to Monroe.

Do you and you kid a favor. Save the sight seeing tour for the grand canyon and be safe and smart. Stay as far away from this shite as you can.
This post was edited on 5/8/11 at 9:12 am
Posted by Golfer
Member since Nov 2005
75052 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 9:16 am to
quote:

Seems like you would be east of New roads not west once you crossed the bridge.
uhhh you are east of new roads
Posted by TigahRag
Sorting Out OT BS Since 2005
Member since May 2005
132775 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:04 am to
i see opening morganza lowers the BR projection from 47.5' to 45.5' .. which gives some breathing room .. feel bad for the farmers that will lose crops along the spillway .. but i guess they had a nice 38-year run ..
Posted by LSUDad
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
62540 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:22 am to
quote:

. feel bad for the farmers that will lose crops along the spillway .. but i guess they had a nice 38-year run ..


They know this every year going in. It is sad to see, along with homes/camps.

Just about everyone is gonna feel this.
Posted by TigahRag
Sorting Out OT BS Since 2005
Member since May 2005
132775 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:28 am to
yeah, i guess that is just the risk you take and eventually time just runs out .. i saw an aerial photo of the acreage that will be flooded and there really is a lot of agricultural development that will take a hit .. guess it is kind of a "land giveth and land taketh away" scenario ..
Posted by Purple Spoon
Hoth
Member since Feb 2005
20882 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:33 am to
The farmers themselves will be fine. Most carry insurance for disaster loss and the others will likely be able to file for disaster assistance. Whether they have flood insurance on their homes and equipment is another story.
Posted by Bojangles
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2008
2092 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:36 am to
Hwy 84 not flooding unless a levée breaks
Posted by LSUDad
Still on the move
Member since May 2004
62540 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:37 am to
quote:

The farmers themselves will be fine. Most carry insurance for disaster loss and the others will likely be able to file for disaster assistance.


This...

This river problem will have an effect on everything from Food to the cost of gas at the pump.

Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93627 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:41 am to
quote:

If that quote is true, we just hit a whole new realm of "oh frick"


Holy shite! Has this been verified?
Posted by TheFinalWord
New Smyrna Beach, FL
Member since Nov 2008
2347 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 10:44 am to
I have not read this whole thread. Can someone tell me the expected effect of the flood on Baton Rouge, and the spots that could be potentially flooded (if any).

Posted by Bulletproof Lover
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
1900 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 11:05 am to
The Mississippi River levee system throughout Concordia Parish will be shut down to all vehicular traffic as of 6 p.m. Sunday, according to Sheriff Randy Maxwell.

Maxwell said the La. 5th District Levee Board made that decision early today (Saturday, 5-7-11).
"All levee traffic will be shut down completely," Maxwell stated. "This includes owners of camps, commercial fishermen -- everyone." He added that the order from the Levee Board additionally calls for all vehicles to be removed from the Mississippi River levee system.

Maxwell said that the Concordia Parish Sheriff's Office boat patrols of the Minorca and Deer Park areas will begin today

LINK
Posted by RummelTiger
Official TD Sauces Club Member
Member since Aug 2004
93627 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 11:25 am to
quote:

Supposed to look like?
Rivers flood. Have been doing so forever. That's what they do periodically.



Yes, but they 'normally' stay within their banks, thus that is what the river is 'supposed' to look like.
Posted by LSU2001
Cut Off, La.
Member since Nov 2007
2388 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 11:47 am to
My family has a camp in Bayou Pigeon on Grand River. It is outside of the spillway levee but sits on the bank of Grand River. Can anyone tell me where to find info on expected impact of the flood outside of the basin's protection levees?
I see Belle River and Stephensville are being asked to self evacuate.

LINK
Residents of Stephensville/Belle River Area Urged to Self-Evacuate


The St. Martin Parish Sheriff's Office is urging residents in the Stephensville-Belle River area to self-evacuate. This is due to the impending high water levels expected from the rising Mississippi and Atachafalaya Rivers. All valuables should be moved to higher ground prior to evacuation. All water, gas, and electricity should be shut off at the main source. The Sheriff's Department is urging residents to make provisions for animals and pets. Those that do decide to evacuate are encouraged to leave early and to take photographs of any property left behind. They are also urged to take all insurance policies they may have.

A public meeting regarding the potential flooding issues for Stephensville and Belle River will be held Monday night at 6:30 P.M. at Stephensville Elementary School. St. Martin Parish Government Officials will be present to discuss preventative measures.

For more information, visit www.stmartinohsep.org.
Posted by White Roach
Member since Apr 2009
9666 posts
Posted on 5/8/11 at 11:52 am to
Go few pages back. Several links are posted showing the projected flood (with estimated water depths) from opening the Morganza and a map for the Natchez/Vidalia area.
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