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Half of Lumber Dealers Now Sit on Excess Inventory in the U.S.

Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:17 am
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167618 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:17 am
quote:

(Bloomberg) -- Almost half of U.S. lumber dealers and manufacturers reported excess inventories last month, a sharp turnround from a few months ago, when supplies ran so low they sparked price surges. In July, 49% of building-material dealers and manufacturers said they had excess lumber capacity, while none described their levels as “very tight,” in a survey by John Burns Real Estate Consulting

Lumber prices have come down from records in May, when sawmills were caught off guard with low inventories amid a surge in home building and renovation. Producers have since increased output, and a shortage of other building supplies such as siding and windows has slowed the pace of construction.


LINK

Yea go buy windows right now and get back to me. Just got a quote on my house just the windows with no install and it was nearly $18K for 25 windows. On top of that, the lead time is 2 months.
Posted by theunknownknight
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
57449 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:18 am to
Waiting for prices to go up again due to fake false supply issues

So many liars and thieves out there in business today
Posted by diat150
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2005
43730 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:22 am to
What sucks is I was in line to build but I dont trust the leadership in the state and have moving companies on speed dial.
Posted by BottomlandBrew
Member since Aug 2010
27177 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:22 am to
I'm a glass fabricator. We don't do windows, but we do insulating units and heavy glass stuff like shower doors. We've never been busier. For now, glass supply is still stable. There are rumblings that it's about to get tight, but I've heard those rumblings for 16 months now.
Posted by kciDAtaE
Member since Apr 2017
15946 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:27 am to
Should have worn your mask
Posted by boddagetta
Moulton
Member since Mar 2011
9999 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:29 am to
Welp, there goes my weekend. I've been using lumber prices as an excuse to put off re-doing my boat dock.
Posted by The Third Leg
Idiot Out Wandering Around
Member since May 2014
10056 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:32 am to
I hope they all bought heavy near the apex and a price war breaks out soon. frick that entire industry.
Posted by Mor Miles
Member since Apr 2017
422 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:36 am to
quote:

$18k for 25 windows

That’s cheap. I paid $1000/window for wood windows last year.

Lead time was ~6 months. Bought in March, installed in September. Relief Windows fwiw.
Posted by LegendInMyMind
Member since Apr 2019
55063 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:49 am to
quote:

Almost half of U.S. lumber dealers and manufacturers reported excess inventories last month, a sharp turnround from a few months ago, when supplies ran so low they sparked price surges.

I keep reading this, but as I've mentioned before, supply didn't really seem to be the problem at just about all the places I've done business with over the past year. Both Lowe's and Home Depot stayed better stocked over the past year than I've seen in years. It wasn't just their normal inventory, either. Stuff I've never been able to find at Lowe's started showing up, like untreated 4×4s. Stuff they usually only carried some of was stacked to the rafters. Home Depot was more or less the same way. Both were still pulling and stacking contractor orders the whole time, too. The local mill/hardware store I do business with wasn't hit very bad, either, though it is harder to tell as they've given preference to builders more than individuals for years, but they still had most everything I went after.

I know it is anecdotal, but in my experience, supply wasn't the problem.
Posted by Ralph_Wiggum
Sugarland
Member since Jul 2005
10690 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 7:50 am to
My mom's neighbor who manages a lumber yard told me to wait on fixing my mom's fence or putting a new one up. Says next year it should cost half.
Posted by LSUJML
BR
Member since May 2008
46919 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 8:08 am to
quote:

Just got a quote on my house just the windows with no install and it was nearly $18K for 25 windows.


Well, that project goes to the back of the list

That’s insane
Posted by Slingscode
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
1880 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 8:18 am to
Great news. I'm getting ready to build a house.
Posted by Strannix
District 11
Member since Dec 2012
49092 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 8:52 am to
25 windows???? I have a 4k+ square foot house with a lot of windows and its like 15 windows......
Posted by bee Rye
New orleans
Member since Jan 2006
33970 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 9:01 am to
quote:

On top of that, the lead time is 2 months.


don't hold your breath on the 2 months
Posted by dbeck
Member since Nov 2014
29453 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 9:07 am to
quote:

Yea go buy windows right now and get back to me. Just got a quote on my house just the windows with no install and it was nearly $18K for 25 windows. On top of that, the lead time is 2 months.


Window baw truck nuts [ON] | off
Posted by wildcat3189
Clemson
Member since Jan 2013
58 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 9:19 am to
We’ve been soliciting quotes for 29 windows for our house. $19k on the low-end, $40k on the high-end. We’ve had lead times of 10 weeks to 6 months.
Posted by LSU Coyote
Member since Sep 2007
53390 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 9:20 am to
quote:

Yea go buy windows right now and get back to me. Just got a quote on my house just the windows with no install and it was nearly $18K for 25 windows. On top of that, the lead time is 2 months.

Windows are different than lumber.

But yes, everything for our projects has increased lead tiems.
Posted by VernonPLSUfan
Leesville, La.
Member since Sep 2007
15979 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 9:21 am to
The beef and used car market took the lumber dealers slack.
Posted by PUB
New Orleans
Member since Sep 2017
18355 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 1:42 pm to
Not bad from what I saw 2 months ago. Who gave you the quote?
Posted by BregmansWheelbarrow
Member since Mar 2020
2674 posts
Posted on 8/13/21 at 2:33 pm to
Stines in swla bought up a ton of inventory at peak price. A contractor buddy of mine told me the other day that he was getting bids on lumber to build a home for a client and stines was $30,000 more expensive than any of the other places he got bids from. Their shite is going to be sitting there a while.
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