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Started By
Message
re: Delta Wave coming to and end in Louisiana: Rt value trending down 8/5 UPDATE
Posted on 7/30/21 at 4:51 pm to gizmothepug
Posted on 7/30/21 at 4:51 pm to gizmothepug
quote:
thought a virus got weaker because it wants to live, it can’t live if it kills everyone. I don’t know shite but that’s what I thought.
It doesn't have any wants. It's not capable of thought. Some variants are more suited for survival than others. A variant that killed it's host quickly would not spread as efficiently. However, Covid has a fairly long incubation period so there's not as much pressure to mutate into a more benign form. Same reason HIV with a nearly 100% fatality rate if not treated, has not become less deadly.
0
Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:07 pm to lsupride87
Update versus yesterday, calculation versus projection?
The stuff you posted yesterday or the day before from that website indicated that [ETA] Louisiana's Rt peaked at 1.88 a few days or maybe a week ago, and Rt was 1.80 that day or the day before, with some error bars (i.e., estimates of statistical uncertainty).
The stuff you posted today from that website indicates that [ETA] Louisiana's Rt peaked at 1.61 on July 18-20, and Rt was 1.58 on July 28, without any error bars.
I am genuinely interested: how are they calculating this / can you explain this change? Did they get / incorporate new data? When / how often do they get / incorporate new data? Do they project when [ETA] Louisiana's Rt will get back below 1.0? Thanks.
The stuff you posted yesterday or the day before from that website indicated that [ETA] Louisiana's Rt peaked at 1.88 a few days or maybe a week ago, and Rt was 1.80 that day or the day before, with some error bars (i.e., estimates of statistical uncertainty).
The stuff you posted today from that website indicates that [ETA] Louisiana's Rt peaked at 1.61 on July 18-20, and Rt was 1.58 on July 28, without any error bars.
I am genuinely interested: how are they calculating this / can you explain this change? Did they get / incorporate new data? When / how often do they get / incorporate new data? Do they project when [ETA] Louisiana's Rt will get back below 1.0? Thanks.
This post was edited on 7/30/21 at 5:11 pm
Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:18 pm to NOLATiger163
quote:
I am genuinely interested: how are they calculating this / can you explain this change? Did they get / incorporate new data? When / how often do they get / incorporate new data? Do they project when [ETA] Louisiana's Rt will get back below 1.0? Thanks.
Does the way LA reports probable cases and then adjusts have impact on this. It seems LDH massages the data quite a bit between the stuff they do with backlogged cases, and how the report probables.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 5:54 pm to RogerTheShrubber
quote:
It isn't 600 degrees outside and everyone is indoors together
Everyone is outside in CO.
Everyone outdoors in CO was my point, my sentence was confusing
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:19 pm to lsupride87
Even in the financial world only far left views have report a possibility of this negatively affecting us…media viewership goes down when the world isn’t burning.
Posted on 7/30/21 at 6:57 pm to Klark Kent
Death Rate lags case rate by at least 2 weeks
Posted on 7/30/21 at 7:01 pm to Devilsturn
Surprisingly, the most even keel news I hear in covid is on CNBC mornings when they bring in Scott Gottlieb (former Head of FDA and on Pfizer board). Yes, he supports vaccines but also can have a discussion with someone who disagrees and appreciate their perspective. He notes earlier this week that Delta variant cases were flattening and possibly dropping in England, and the US should follow similar suit in a few weeks as we have similar vaccines and vaccine participation.
Posted on 7/31/21 at 11:14 am to LSUJML
Call your pcp and they will direct you where to go for testing. Do NOT clog up er's unless you are very sick, breathing issues etc.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:20 pm to lsupride87
We are getting close to this surge no longer expanding
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:22 pm to lsupride87
The Delta variant also ended fairly quick in the UK compared to other surges. I think some other states are showing the same thing so hopefully this is true.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:31 pm to lsupride87
i actually clicked through each parish and unless i missed one 2 out of 64 parishes are already under a Rt of 1. I know that's not many but i imagine that number is going to start increasing quite quickly. At least 6 others were under 1.20 so they may be under 1 very soon.
These were based on yesterday's number fwiw, not todays.
These were based on yesterday's number fwiw, not todays.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:34 pm to bbap
Which parishes were the 2 and 6 you saw?
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:37 pm to lsupride87
Looks like this is happening at the perfect time, so Governor Sloth can say that he is the one responsible for it.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:45 pm to tunechi
[/url][/img]Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:53 pm to LSUGUMBO
That website is weird, sometimes it lets me see updates before others can.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:57 pm to bbap
Whats the other website, besides the one gumbo just posted?
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:57 pm to bbap
quote:
That website is weird, sometimes it lets me see updates before others can.
This.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 2:59 pm to josh336
quote:
Whats the other website, besides the one gumbo just posted?
i think everyone is using the same website, it just acts kind of weird during an update.
By 5 or so everyone will be able to see 8/1 data.
Posted on 8/2/21 at 3:29 pm to lsupride87
couple of stupid questions.
1) With Delta presumably ending or waning. Is there news of a E variant yet?
2) Are the older variants still prevalent? Like could you still catch the B variant even now?
1) With Delta presumably ending or waning. Is there news of a E variant yet?
2) Are the older variants still prevalent? Like could you still catch the B variant even now?
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