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re: Sally - Moving towards Georgia - Potential for Significant Flooding

Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:51 am to
Posted by The Cool No 9
70816
Member since Jan 2014
9975 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:51 am to
The worst misses BR it appears
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 4:52 am
Posted by SomethingLikeA
Member since Jul 2013
1113 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:57 am to
BR might get some wind.
Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
7993 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 4:58 am to
What about New Orleans. Are we still looking good this morning?
Posted by Goodell Clown
Member since Mar 2019
165 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:04 am to
With the current track, I don’t see much effect at all in New Orleans, especially not to the Metairie area

Gonna make that 4am Emergency Alert look even smarter
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:05 am
Posted by SomethingLikeA
Member since Jul 2013
1113 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:04 am to
It's a wide cone this morning considering we're within 24 hours from significant impacts.

Wait for the smarter posters to chime in when they wake up. Some of these guys know their stuff.
Posted by back9Tiger
Mandeville, LA.
Member since Nov 2005
14206 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:11 am to
Uh, that’s not the case at all unless this thing still stays tilted.
Posted by Tigermama1417
Member since Jan 2020
20 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:19 am to
So the 4am update is at 87.3W - complete weather idiot here - but that seems way ahead of schedule to meet that mark, right?
This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 5:24 am
Posted by SECbro
Member since Aug 2018
683 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:21 am to
Last night had a wobble north and then west. Now it’s back on schedule. The storm is still a mess which makes it harder to nail down. I still think it is MS in the end. Could shift towards MS/AL line but another west wobble could make that bend a little deeper across the tip of LA and the mouth of the river.

The small differences seem silly but 30 miles can be the difference between a few inches and 2 feet of rain.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
10572 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:40 am to
I still don’t see an eye. Guessing that’s because there isn’t one. Most of the weather is well off to the East of center.

Models looking fairly tight on a ms/la landfall between pearlington and Long Beach ms at low to midrange cat 1. Guessing bay St. Louis .

Weather is mild by me. Some slight gusts very far apart.

I expect weather by me to deteriorate from midnight through the entire day and night tomorrow as Sally goes by very slowly.


This post was edited on 9/14/20 at 6:15 am
Posted by LawrenceD
Thibodaux
Member since Sep 2019
439 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:41 am to
(no message)
This post was edited on 7/20/21 at 1:00 pm
Posted by East Coast Band
Member since Nov 2010
62960 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 5:57 am to
Any concerns about how slow it's forecast to move over land?
Posted by BRgetthenet
Member since Oct 2011
117755 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:00 am to
Duke ran out of blow? Thought that baw was staying up all night....
Posted by Swagga
504
Member since Dec 2009
16223 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:06 am to
So if current track holds Metairie is looking at some wind and rain but nothing crazy?
Posted by Dlab2013
Pineville, Luzianna
Member since Jun 2013
9219 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:09 am to
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28567 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:09 am to
Marco expectations
Posted by StringedInstruments
Member since Oct 2013
18512 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:19 am to
I might have to thank Sally when this is all said and done. Heavy rain scheduled for Birmingham Wed/Thurs then four days of sunny, mid 70s highs, and mid 50s lows.

Posted by DhanTigers212
Member since Dec 2014
7993 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:25 am to
This is once again another nothing burger for New Orleans. Schools should be open. We may see some light rain showers.
Posted by STEVED00
Member since May 2007
22398 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:27 am to
So I’m guessing the storm centers of circulation didn’t line up as expected?

Obviously this is my completely uneducated guess based solely on me being able to see what appears to be 2 areas spinning next to each other on the radar.
Posted by Roll Tide Ravens
Birmingham, AL
Member since Nov 2015
43018 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:28 am to
quote:

Any concerns about how slow it's forecast to move over land?

Should allow it to dump a ton of rain.

Posted by SomethingLikeA
Member since Jul 2013
1113 posts
Posted on 9/14/20 at 6:29 am to
You know they can't close schools the morning of a school day right?

Yeah it sucks but they make those calls 24 hours in advance in case this storm wobbles back west, just 20 or 30 miles.

I'm not disagreeing with you but it's essentially blood on their hands if Braydenn and Jaylin have to be picked up early from school to evacuate with not enough warning.
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