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I read a bunch of COVID-19 scientific articles today
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:30 pm
Here are the main takeaways:
It is difficult to stop because the symptoms usually aren’t debilitating. The infected typically just feel a little “under the weather”, so they don’t self-quarantine.
Almost 20% of carriers have no symptoms, yet they are contagious.
It will continue to spread and is likely to become a common late winter “bug” with pockets of outbreaks worldwide.
It is believed that 40% of the world’s population will be exposed to Covid-19 within the next year.
Despite reports to the contrary, a vaccine hasn’t been developed. The closest thing to a vaccine at the moment is from a small pharm firm which has only copied part of the disease’s RNA which “could” prove useful in creating a vaccine.
Only CA, NE, and IL currently have the ability to test.
While not as deadly, Covid-19 is very closely related to SARS, so researchers are hoping shelved SARS research can be used to combat coronavirus.
It appears to be deadly in folks whose immune systems overreact for unknown reasons.
It is difficult to stop because the symptoms usually aren’t debilitating. The infected typically just feel a little “under the weather”, so they don’t self-quarantine.
Almost 20% of carriers have no symptoms, yet they are contagious.
It will continue to spread and is likely to become a common late winter “bug” with pockets of outbreaks worldwide.
It is believed that 40% of the world’s population will be exposed to Covid-19 within the next year.
Despite reports to the contrary, a vaccine hasn’t been developed. The closest thing to a vaccine at the moment is from a small pharm firm which has only copied part of the disease’s RNA which “could” prove useful in creating a vaccine.
Only CA, NE, and IL currently have the ability to test.
While not as deadly, Covid-19 is very closely related to SARS, so researchers are hoping shelved SARS research can be used to combat coronavirus.
It appears to be deadly in folks whose immune systems overreact for unknown reasons.
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 10:38 pm
18
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:33 pm to Eli Goldfinger
Yeah, scary stuff
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:33 pm to Eli Goldfinger
40% of the world's population? 
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:33 pm to Eli Goldfinger
Thanks. That’s actually good info. However, what or where is “NB”?
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:40 pm to Eli Goldfinger
I was thinking that US officials getting worried right now was a bit overblown but then a few hours ago the city of San Francisco declared a State of Emergency ahead of this and that made me think of the risk the homeless, opiod-addicted populations in San Fran, LA and Seattle cause.
Here you have populations of THOUSANDS with shite for immune systems, who are in close proximity to one another, who always feel "a little under the weather" and who share lots of things (clothes, furniture, needles, etc). The areas where they are thickest (read: areas where people are paid to clean human feces off the sidewalks) have the potential to be a worst-case scenario for COVID-19.
If we have major problems from this virus, those groups will be where the worst of it comes from.
Here you have populations of THOUSANDS with shite for immune systems, who are in close proximity to one another, who always feel "a little under the weather" and who share lots of things (clothes, furniture, needles, etc). The areas where they are thickest (read: areas where people are paid to clean human feces off the sidewalks) have the potential to be a worst-case scenario for COVID-19.
If we have major problems from this virus, those groups will be where the worst of it comes from.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:41 pm to Eli Goldfinger
From abstract from recent study:
Persistence of coronaviruses on inanimate surfaces and their inactivation with biocidal agents
Persistence of coronaviruses on inanimate surfaces and their inactivation with biocidal agents
quote:From LINK https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0195670120300463/
Currently, the emergence of a novel human coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, has become a global health concern causing severe respiratory tract infections in humans. Human-to-human transmissions have been described with incubation times between 2-10 days, facilitating its spread via droplets, contaminated hands or surfaces.
. . . The analysis of 22 studies reveals that human coronaviruses such as Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome (SARS) coronavirus, Middle East Respiratory Syndrome (MERS) coronavirus or endemic human coronaviruses (HCoV) can persist on inanimate surfaces like metal, glass or plastic for up to 9 days, but can be efficiently inactivated by surface disinfection procedures with 62–71% ethanol, 0.5% hydrogen peroxide or 0.1% sodium hypochlorite within 1 minute.
. . . .
This post was edited on 2/25/20 at 11:01 pm
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:42 pm to Eli Goldfinger
And 2,700 have died from it compared to the 14,000 that have died from the flu?
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:43 pm to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
It is believed that 40% of the world’s population will be exposed to Covid-19 within the next year.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 10:52 pm to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
It appears to be deadly in folks whose immune systems overreact for unknown reasons.
Like Lupus which is an overactive immune system?
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:21 pm to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
It appears to be deadly in folks whose immune systems overreact for unknown reasons.
Damn. So psoriasis folks would fall in that group I think. Lots of those out there.
Posted on 2/25/20 at 11:27 pm to Eli Goldfinger
How about Iran?
Why are so many dying there?
No one knows.
Why are so many dying there?
No one knows.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 12:23 am to Eli Goldfinger
This is a health crisis.
We should ban all undocumented foreigners.
We should ban all undocumented foreigners.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 1:22 am to Eli Goldfinger
The country I live in just got the first confirmed case 2 days ago and now there are over 40 confirmed cases. The government has shut down schools for a month as of this morning. The first patient happened to be a bus driver. Incoming flights have been restricted. Not sure if it's an overreaction but the government here are taking no chances.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 8:07 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Here are the main takeaways
You are more likely to get the flu than you are coronavirus.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 8:29 am to Eli Goldfinger
I heard that the USA, flu-related deaths in 2017 was 80,000; that was the record. Imagine the effect of a more contagious (mild symptoms, more transmission), with no vaccine. A lot of people take the Flu Shot; I do, can't afford not to work.
Also, China produces NINTETY SEVEN % of our antibiotics; a ton of flu induced, pneumonia is fought with antibiotics. I don't know how long it takes for antibiotic production mechanisms to get up and running here in our Nation...but they had better be on it.
Further, all people being treated for cancer with chemo (weakens immune system; antibiotics commonly prescribed along with Chemo therapy) are going to be highly vulnerable.
Aids...weakened immune system? People with transplants taking rejection drugs? Any and all patients who are dependent on antibiotics to tip the survival scale?
Sounds to me like anybody - young or old - where antibiotics means survival...is at a risk a lot higher than the current numbers reflect. Those Homeless communities in major Urban populations are going to go away. They'll flood the hospitals; ICU and Respirators availability will be in short supply. And who in their right mind is going to a hospital anyway; when a stay there would be a virtual guarantee for CV infection.
Bottom line. Ugly stuff. A ton of folk will succumb to this Virus. The current numbers are no where near what we can expect in the near future.
God have mercy.
Also, China produces NINTETY SEVEN % of our antibiotics; a ton of flu induced, pneumonia is fought with antibiotics. I don't know how long it takes for antibiotic production mechanisms to get up and running here in our Nation...but they had better be on it.
Further, all people being treated for cancer with chemo (weakens immune system; antibiotics commonly prescribed along with Chemo therapy) are going to be highly vulnerable.
Aids...weakened immune system? People with transplants taking rejection drugs? Any and all patients who are dependent on antibiotics to tip the survival scale?
Sounds to me like anybody - young or old - where antibiotics means survival...is at a risk a lot higher than the current numbers reflect. Those Homeless communities in major Urban populations are going to go away. They'll flood the hospitals; ICU and Respirators availability will be in short supply. And who in their right mind is going to a hospital anyway; when a stay there would be a virtual guarantee for CV infection.
Bottom line. Ugly stuff. A ton of folk will succumb to this Virus. The current numbers are no where near what we can expect in the near future.
God have mercy.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 9:52 am to Eli Goldfinger
Do any of the articles give advice to Democrats WRT how to hype the danger and blame Trump for the problem? Because they really need COVID-19 to wreck shite if they are to have a chance to beat Trump in Nov.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 9:54 am to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
It is believed that 40% of the world’s population will be exposed to Covid-19 within the next year.
This doesn't pass the smell test.
Posted on 2/26/20 at 11:10 am to Eli Goldfinger
What are the symptoms?
Are they flu-like?
ETA: just did a quick google search and here's an article from The Atlantic:
LINK
Are they flu-like?
ETA: just did a quick google search and here's an article from The Atlantic:
quote:
You’re Likely to Get the Coronavirus
LINK
This post was edited on 2/26/20 at 11:13 am
Posted on 2/26/20 at 5:32 pm to Eli Goldfinger
quote:
Despite reports to the contrary, a vaccine hasn’t been developed.
There is a trial vaccine being used, but one for public use is approx a year out.
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