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Started By
Message
1
Posted on 1/26/20 at 8:46 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
Odds back up to 54%.
two others have them under 20 still.
Looking like a 3 way race.
Spurs
Memphis
Pels
They all play each other 3 or 4 times.
I keep waiting for the supposed thunder selling spree. Maybe not happening.
Posted on 1/26/20 at 8:54 pm to CelticDog
quote:
I keep waiting for the supposed thunder selling spree. Maybe not happening.
Aren't the thunder in the repeater tax? That tax rate is pretty high. Playoff revenue for the first round is probably around $5 million, maybe less if you only get 2 games. They can probably get much more tax relief from a trade than they'd make from a first round exit.
However, they are currently 7 games ahead of the 9 seed. If they can bank enough wins before the trade deadline they may be able to cut their tax bill and get playoff revenue too. So even if trading is motivated by money, that motivation will also make them wait until the last minute to execute a trade.
This post was edited on 1/26/20 at 8:55 pm
Posted on 1/26/20 at 9:14 pm to TigerinATL
Right now the fight for the last spot has the following projections:
Pelicans- 39-43
Portland- 37-45
San Antonio- 34-48
Memphis- 34-48
Pelicans- 39-43
Portland- 37-45
San Antonio- 34-48
Memphis- 34-48
Posted on 1/26/20 at 9:36 pm to CaptainJ47
thanks for absolutely nothing trash arse pacers
Posted on 1/26/20 at 10:07 pm to jprdbulldog20
Interestingly enough the model showed Portland was favored by 4 to win this game. Doesn’t change the odds but man a Portland loss would have been nice.
Posted on 1/26/20 at 10:08 pm to CaptainJ47
portland might be having their best shooting game of the season. and this man lillard just doesnt miss shots anymore. its insane
Posted on 1/27/20 at 8:39 am to CaptainJ47
quote:
Right now the fight for the last spot has the following projections:
Pelicans- 39-43
Portland- 37-45
San Antonio- 34-48
Memphis- 34-48
do again after trade deadline.
And do they give odds?
You'd expect whopping odds for 34 win teams.
I will bet 10k at those long odds (25-1, lol) that both memphis AND spurs exceed 34.
Bookmarked.
Im ready to lay 10k on the two team.parlay.
Its just 538 though.
Not a real bookie.
This post was edited on 1/27/20 at 8:43 am
Posted on 2/1/20 at 12:27 am to CelticDog
down to 43% frick dame and portland
This post was edited on 2/1/20 at 12:29 am
Posted on 2/1/20 at 1:11 am to CaptainJ47
quote:
Right now the fight for the last spot has the following projections:
Pelicans- 39-43
Portland- 37-45
San Antonio- 34-48
Memphis- 34-48
So they think Memphis, who won 11 games in January alone, is only going to win 10 more games the rest of the year? Got it.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 3:09 am to iwyLSUiwy
That seams low; however, Memphis has 18 of their remaining 33 games against teams with a winning record (current playoff teams) and 6 of their 15 games against teams with losing record are against the Pels, Blazers, and Spurs.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 9:03 am to Colonel Flagg
Just updated the OP. Portland’s win against LAL hurt our chances.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 9:15 am to CaptainJ47
I’m not worried about other teams. The whole reason we’ve felt we had a chance was a 3 fold combination of the team finally gelling, getting Zion back, and the schedule easing. The Pels will need to win at a high rate to get in, but those 3 factors should let them do it. The Pels don’t need other teams to stumble, they need to hit their stride.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 10:30 am to CaptainJ47
I remain cautiously optimistic
Posted on 2/1/20 at 10:34 am to TigerinATL
11 of our last 33 games are against teams currently above .500. 8 more of those are against Phx, Por, SAS and Mem. That leaves 14 games against teams with losing records that we need to win.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 11:43 am to Mystictiger
they likely need all 8 of those games to have a chance.
it’s a tall order but at least we should have meaningful games all the way to the end
it’s a tall order but at least we should have meaningful games all the way to the end
Posted on 2/1/20 at 11:44 am to cgrand
quote:
Clint Capela expected to be out Sunday vs. Pelicans, Mike D'Antoni said.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 12:17 pm to cgrand
Houston game will be interesting. They are playing super small ball...but they have no advantage when we play with Zion at the 5. He can bully them but still guard their "big" guys. If Jrue is on and refs call a good game, I think we win
Posted on 2/1/20 at 12:39 pm to Milesahead
quote:
Jrue is on and refs call a good game, I think we win
i venture to say if jrue is on, pels win vs any team, anywhere, if the others just hit avg.
Posted on 2/1/20 at 12:42 pm to CelticDog
quote:
i venture to say if jrue is on, pels win vs any team, anywhere, if the others just hit avg.
pretty much
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