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Who_Dat_Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2015
5761 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
The season can be separated in 3 parts.

Part 1 - Started off 6-22.

Part 2 - if we win tomorrow that puts us at 18-9 since in the 27 games from that point on going into the all star break.

Part 3 - post all star break we have the easiest remaining schedule in the league with 27 games left. If we go 18-9 to close out the season that’ll give us a winning record of 42-40 and should be enough for the 8 seed.

It’s going to be fun rooting for this team and we’ve seen huge improvement. I think they get to at least 42 wins.



Soggymoss
Member since Aug 2018
3929 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
@ Blazers
@ Lakers
@ Mavs
@ Jazz
@ Clips
@ Grizz
@ Spurs
VS 6ers

That's the only ones I could see losses, Lakers won't win all 4 against us

We could drop 2 more in there and still be 42-40 (my prediction where we end)

Our schedule is so fricking beneficial though, we could finish as high as 45-37 if we steal a couple of those games



GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5807 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

We could drop 2 more in there and still be 42-40 (my prediction where we end)


That's about right. There will still be a couple of WTF games where we come out with low energy and our shots aren't falling and we lose to inferior competition. Everyone has those.


CelticDog
LSU Fan
Member since Apr 2015
30528 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

There will still be a couple of WTF games where we come out with low energy and our shots aren't falling and we lose to inferior competition. Everyone has those.





i hope not.

There will surely be games wherein an opponent is on fire and nothing but netx10.



shel311
Nicholls St. Fan
McKinney, Texas
Member since Aug 2004
75236 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

i hope not.
There's like 28 games left.

We're not going to win every game we should win and lose every game we should lose.


saints5021
USA Fan
Slidell
Member since Jul 2010
8292 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
Agreed. Even if they don't make the playoffs, it is going to be an exciting finish


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iwyLSUiwy
Southern Fan
I'm your huckleberry
Member since Apr 2008
25926 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.


southdowns84
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2009
263 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.


I felt the same way until I looked at who Memphis is playing moving forward.


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Mystery
USA Fan
Member since Jan 2009
8185 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
The beauty of our extremely weak schedule in late March and then April, is that most of those teams will be tanking or checked out even more than they are now.

Get it to a game or so by March 15th and I don't see how we can't get it.


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Who_Dat_Tiger
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2015
5761 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.


It’s a win-win for the pels either way.


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Bronc
Member since Sep 2018
1769 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.



Memphis has one of the toughest schedules going forward, Portland one of the easiest.

Memphis needs to win tonight IMO.

Memphis will rack up their losses after the break when they have to play LAL twice on the back end of a back to back, @LAC, @Hou, and still 2 games against us.


jprdbulldog20
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2013
7922 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
up to 53%


GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5807 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
But we'll take a big hit in their model if we lose tomorrow. They are giving us a 68% chance to win, so our playoff odds will drop a lot if we don't win.

I hope BI can play.


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GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5807 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
Opportunity drops with tonight's loss, but not as much as I thought. Playoff chances:

Pels 46%
Blazers 36%
Grizz 12%
Spurs 3%
Kings 2%
Suns 1%
This post was edited on 2/13 at 9:53 pm


supe12sta12z
Tiger Town
Member since Apr 2012
2557 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
I’m guessing our percentages will rise and drop based on what Portland does.


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Fun Bunch
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
New Orleans
Member since May 2008
68162 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
It’s shocking to me that the Grizz have that low a chance.

They have a big lead and are playing great. Sometimes it doesn’t matter how strong a schedule is. Some young teams are just too dumb to know they are supposed to lose.


GOP_Tiger
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2005
5807 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
As of right now, both us and the Blazers are projected to finish 40-42. We'd get the #8 on the tiebreaker.

Their model has the Grizzlies finishing at 37-45.


jprdbulldog20
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2013
7922 posts
 Online 

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
randomly got bumped up to 57%. ill allow it


Baron
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Dec 2014
341 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
Has to be from the Blazer’s not giving a timeline still on Lillard’s groin. Must be projecting him to miss more time than originally estimated


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CelticDog
LSU Fan
Member since Apr 2015
30528 posts

re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
quote:

Sometimes it doesn’t matter how strong a schedule is


we will see in a few days.

4 road games.

3 are arguably vs top 3 favorites to win west.
lakers, clippers. rockets.
lakers game is 2nd of back to back.

memphis wins back to back and then we can talk about the schedule not mattering.
This post was edited on 2/20 at 2:15 pm


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