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Message
re: 538 Predicts Chances Surging 67% Chance for the Playoffs as of 2/22
Posted on 2/12/20 at 11:05 am to GOP_Tiger
Posted on 2/12/20 at 11:05 am to GOP_Tiger
The season can be separated in 3 parts.
Part 1 - Started off 6-22.
Part 2 - if we win tomorrow that puts us at 18-9 since in the 27 games from that point on going into the all star break.
Part 3 - post all star break we have the easiest remaining schedule in the league with 27 games left. If we go 18-9 to close out the season that’ll give us a winning record of 42-40 and should be enough for the 8 seed.
It’s going to be fun rooting for this team and we’ve seen huge improvement. I think they get to at least 42 wins.
Part 1 - Started off 6-22.
Part 2 - if we win tomorrow that puts us at 18-9 since in the 27 games from that point on going into the all star break.
Part 3 - post all star break we have the easiest remaining schedule in the league with 27 games left. If we go 18-9 to close out the season that’ll give us a winning record of 42-40 and should be enough for the 8 seed.
It’s going to be fun rooting for this team and we’ve seen huge improvement. I think they get to at least 42 wins.
1
Posted on 2/12/20 at 11:11 am to Who_Dat_Tiger
@ Blazers
@ Lakers
@ Mavs
@ Jazz
@ Clips
@ Grizz
@ Spurs
VS 6ers
That's the only ones I could see losses, Lakers won't win all 4 against us
We could drop 2 more in there and still be 42-40 (my prediction where we end)
Our schedule is so fricking beneficial though, we could finish as high as 45-37 if we steal a couple of those games
@ Lakers
@ Mavs
@ Jazz
@ Clips
@ Grizz
@ Spurs
VS 6ers
That's the only ones I could see losses, Lakers won't win all 4 against us
We could drop 2 more in there and still be 42-40 (my prediction where we end)
Our schedule is so fricking beneficial though, we could finish as high as 45-37 if we steal a couple of those games
Posted on 2/12/20 at 11:57 am to Soggymoss
quote:
We could drop 2 more in there and still be 42-40 (my prediction where we end)
That's about right. There will still be a couple of WTF games where we come out with low energy and our shots aren't falling and we lose to inferior competition. Everyone has those.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 12:11 pm to GOP_Tiger
quote:
There will still be a couple of WTF games where we come out with low energy and our shots aren't falling and we lose to inferior competition. Everyone has those.
i hope not.
There will surely be games wherein an opponent is on fire and nothing but netx10.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 12:16 pm to CelticDog
quote:There's like 28 games left.
i hope not.
We're not going to win every game we should win and lose every game we should lose.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 1:02 pm to shel311
Agreed. Even if they don't make the playoffs, it is going to be an exciting finish
Posted on 2/12/20 at 4:12 pm to shel311
Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 4:15 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.
I felt the same way until I looked at who Memphis is playing moving forward.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 5:21 pm to shel311
The beauty of our extremely weak schedule in late March and then April, is that most of those teams will be tanking or checked out even more than they are now.
Get it to a game or so by March 15th and I don't see how we can't get it.
Get it to a game or so by March 15th and I don't see how we can't get it.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 5:32 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.
It’s a win-win for the pels either way.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 5:37 pm to iwyLSUiwy
quote:
Maybe im wrong but i'm rooting for Portland tonight. We own the tie break and I dont want Memphis 2 games over .500.
Memphis has one of the toughest schedules going forward, Portland one of the easiest.
Memphis needs to win tonight IMO.
Memphis will rack up their losses after the break when they have to play LAL twice on the back end of a back to back, @LAC, @Hou, and still 2 games against us.
Posted on 2/12/20 at 9:26 pm to Bronc
up to 53% 
Posted on 2/12/20 at 9:42 pm to jprdbulldog20
But we'll take a big hit in their model if we lose tomorrow. They are giving us a 68% chance to win, so our playoff odds will drop a lot if we don't win.
I hope BI can play.
I hope BI can play.
Posted on 2/13/20 at 9:52 pm to CaptainJ47
Opportunity drops with tonight's loss, but not as much as I thought. Playoff chances:
Pels 46%
Blazers 36%
Grizz 12%
Spurs 3%
Kings 2%
Suns 1%
Pels 46%
Blazers 36%
Grizz 12%
Spurs 3%
Kings 2%
Suns 1%
This post was edited on 2/13/20 at 9:53 pm
Posted on 2/13/20 at 9:55 pm to GOP_Tiger
I’m guessing our percentages will rise and drop based on what Portland does.
Posted on 2/13/20 at 9:55 pm to GOP_Tiger
It’s shocking to me that the Grizz have that low a chance.
They have a big lead and are playing great. Sometimes it doesn’t matter how strong a schedule is. Some young teams are just too dumb to know they are supposed to lose.
They have a big lead and are playing great. Sometimes it doesn’t matter how strong a schedule is. Some young teams are just too dumb to know they are supposed to lose.
Posted on 2/13/20 at 9:59 pm to Fun Bunch
As of right now, both us and the Blazers are projected to finish 40-42. We'd get the #8 on the tiebreaker.
Their model has the Grizzlies finishing at 37-45.
Their model has the Grizzlies finishing at 37-45.
Posted on 2/20/20 at 12:54 pm to GOP_Tiger
randomly got bumped up to 57%. ill allow it
Posted on 2/20/20 at 1:01 pm to jprdbulldog20
Has to be from the Blazer’s not giving a timeline still on Lillard’s groin. Must be projecting him to miss more time than originally estimated
Posted on 2/20/20 at 1:44 pm to Fun Bunch
quote:
Sometimes it doesn’t matter how strong a schedule is
we will see in a few days.
4 road games.
3 are arguably vs top 3 favorites to win west.
lakers, clippers. rockets.
lakers game is 2nd of back to back.
memphis wins back to back and then we can talk about the schedule not mattering.
This post was edited on 2/20/20 at 2:15 pm
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