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Abraham releases new poll- but is it really good for him?

Posted on 9/26/19 at 10:21 am
Posted by ExtraGravy
Member since Nov 2018
794 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 10:21 am
quote:

Thursday's poll, which was paid for by the Abraham campaign, showed Edwards with 47 percent followed by Abraham with 22 percent and Rispone with 20. "The governor and my Republican challenger have spent a fortune on TV lying to the people of this state about my record and my character, and we're still standing," said Abraham, who's campaign says he's been outspent 10 to 1. "I'm not going to resort to those tactics," he said. "The people of this state deserve better than that. Republicans must unite to defeat this governor, and I'm going to lead by example."


Rispone's attack on Abraham is clearly having an effect. What is interesting is Abraham felt the need to release a poll claiming a "lead" that is really just a statistical tie between Rispone and he. In fact with a margin of error of 4.6%, Abraham's own poll could mean he is actually losing to Rispone.

What is more interesting though is the last poll I remember seeing had Edwards at 44, and this one has him at 47, very nearly what he would need to win in the primary. Again, the margin of error in this poll is huge. But if Abraham wants us to take the numbers in this poll at face value, then it shows he and Rispone both on the verge of being snuffed out in the primary.
Posted by TDsngumbo
Alpha Silverfox
Member since Oct 2011
41721 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 10:23 am to
I was a big Abraham supporter but have switched my support to Rispone. I pray for a runoff.
Posted by LSUFanHouston
NOLA
Member since Jul 2009
37161 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 10:23 am to
quote:

showed Edwards with 47 percent


Ugh. My butthole is starting to tighten.

They need to train their guns on JBE.

WTF is the margin of error so high? Are they not taking enough of a sample?
Posted by Gaspergou202
Metairie, LA
Member since Jun 2016
13501 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 11:06 am to
I was originally leaning Abraham. Then I learned Rispone was the most open to the idea of a constitutional convention, this made him my favorite candidate. Then Rispone joined JBE and the Democrats in attacking a fellow GOP candidate, reminisced of Scott Angelle’s and Jay Dardenne’s despicable act.

I will not now vote for Rispone nor JBE in the jungle. I’m now 100% Abraham unless he becomes more trashy than Rispone.

In the unfortunate event that Rispone edges out Abraham, I will hold my nose and vote for him only because I find him only slightly less despicable than JBE.
Posted by TigersSEC2010
Warren, Michigan
Member since Jan 2010
37372 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 11:24 am to
Abraham is having his arse kicked by Rispone and he knows it. The fact that he even put this poll out is laughable.

From my small anecdotal sample size, everyone I know who watched that debate (which was way more than I expected) have switched from Abraham to Rispone.
Posted by deltaland
Member since Mar 2011
90878 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 11:43 am to
quote:

ExtraGravy


Hello Gary
Posted by LoneStarRanger
Texas/Europe
Member since Aug 2018
2404 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 12:02 pm to
“My republican challenger”

As if he’s already an incumbent or heir-apparent.
Posted by WeeWee
Member since Aug 2012
40191 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 12:12 pm to
quote:

is it really good for him?


Not really but it is horrible for the GOP and the state. JBE's lead has increased and he is within the MOE from winning in the primary in the two polls that have been released since lying Eddie went negative on Abraham. If lying Eddie goes negative in the next two debates then we do not have to worry about a runoff because JBE will win with about 50.5% of the vote in the primary.
Posted by RobbBobb
Matt Flynn, BCS MVP
Member since Feb 2007
27972 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

but is it really good for him?

uh, yes. Still has him in the runoff
quote:

a margin of error of 4.6%

Which translates into Rispone possibly being at 16%. Exactly where he has been in almost every pother poll.

Plus very few people watched the debate. But even more people are pissed that he went after Abraham; just because HE DIDNT GIVE MORE TO CHARITY!! What a crock. Proves hes desperate.

But how desperate? Will he torpedo Abraham in the runoff? We will see
Posted by thatguy
Member since Aug 2006
6891 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 12:49 pm to
Wife and I are going Saturday to cast our vote for Rispone
Posted by Parmen
Member since Apr 2016
18317 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 1:37 pm to
Abraham is low energy establishment. He’s running for Governor because he knows there’s no room for him to move up in the GOP House hierarchy. He’ll never be like Scalise.
Posted by DavidTheGnome
Monroe
Member since Apr 2015
29227 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 3:46 pm to
Rispone is exactly what we don’t need. Hes another Louisiana politician that will be more of the same. The attacks. The campaign basically being entirely about Trump for some reason. I dunno, bad feeling about him. My vote is Abraham
Posted by tigerfoot
Alexandria
Member since Sep 2006
56495 posts
Posted on 9/26/19 at 3:46 pm to
quote:

What is interesting is Abraham felt the need to release a poll claiming a "lead" that is really just a statistical tie between Rispone and he. In fact with a margin of error of 4.6%, Abraham's own poll could mean he is actually losing to Rispone.

He could also be leading by more.
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