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Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:15 pm to rds dc
Scary I was actually looking up dog friendly hotels earlier this week in the Alexandria/Natchitoches area just in case we get a scare this season.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:16 pm to rds dc
I was hoping to see none of these threads.
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:18 pm to PhillyTiger90
quote:
Scary I was actually looking up dog friendly hotels earlier this week in the Alexandria/Natchitoches
You jinxed us all!!
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:23 pm to NorthEndZone
Looks like water temp conditions are about to get extremely favorable at the end of that gif in the southern Atlantic/Caribbean/gulf
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:28 pm to NorthEndZone
Thats a very neat graphic. Where can you find it?
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:29 pm to rds dc
It's always interesting when something like this is rolling along but has basically no model support. So what are the models seeing? What are they missing? CIMSS analysis is showing some healthy low level vort (spin) with the 00z analysis, so that might shift the 00z global models some.
One thing we can look at now, is the old fashioned SHIPS model, it wasn't run at 18z but the 00z just published.
So a couple of things jump out, it shows steady strengthening, it shows shear being a "positive" (it is seeing a low shear environment) and dry air being a negative.
The global models are also seeing low shear and dry air. Without doing a deep dive, the global models are probably keeping this from developing because of dry air. Just a real quick and not very extensive look at things
One thing we can look at now, is the old fashioned SHIPS model, it wasn't run at 18z but the 00z just published.
So a couple of things jump out, it shows steady strengthening, it shows shear being a "positive" (it is seeing a low shear environment) and dry air being a negative.
The global models are also seeing low shear and dry air. Without doing a deep dive, the global models are probably keeping this from developing because of dry air. Just a real quick and not very extensive look at things
Posted on 8/15/18 at 9:38 pm to Cajun367
Posted on 8/15/18 at 10:03 pm to PhillyTiger90
quote:
Scary I was actually looking up dog friendly hotels earlier this week in the Alexandria/Natchitoches area just in case we get a scare this season.
come on up to my (current) hood
Posted on 8/16/18 at 6:54 am to rds dc
TRopical Depression 3 formed 26 years ago today.
It became Hurricane Andrew.
It became Hurricane Andrew.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 7:29 am to Zephyrius
JUST IN TIME FOR MY TRIP TO PUNTA CANA!!!
Posted on 8/16/18 at 7:32 am to rds dc
what's the pacific looking like? We will be in Cabo marlin fishing September 1-8
Posted on 8/16/18 at 7:57 am to redneck
I WANT A HURRICANE SO BAD. last years was incredible. Ive never been through a storm like that.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 8:03 am to rds dc
Will there be waves in Orange Beach for Labor Day and will this delay the opening of Bucees?
Posted on 8/16/18 at 8:33 am to Riolobo
Week long vacation at Cape San Blas starting on the 25th.
Please do nothing or keep going west.
Please do nothing or keep going west.
Posted on 8/16/18 at 8:48 am to Jim Rockford
quote:
I just bought a pallet of bottled water and twelve cases of beanie weenies.
I've got two cases of MREs and a Lifestraw.
I'm good.
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