- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:52 am to GEAUXmedic
What is keeping this storm from gaining strength?
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:54 am to rocket31
quote:
never forget
at least he has the right country this time.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:54 am to rds dc
Also, looking at the 3hr time stamps, the Euro moves NNE until about 20N and then swings back to the NW into the Gulf. So the motion today is basically right in line with the 00z Euro.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:55 am to deltaland
It isn't well organized and will make landfall in 40ish hours.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:55 am to rocket31
quote:
quote:
it looks like NOLA could take A direct hit
quote:
dukke v
It's just comical at this point.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:55 am to tLSU
This thing is moving over 20 miles per hour? It's hauling!
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:57 am to mightynine
quote:
This thing is moving over 20 miles per hour? It's hauling!
GOOD!
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:58 am to rds dc
Looks like the recon plane was a bit surprised here. Flew through where the center was supposed to be, but didn't find the center.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:59 am to slackster
quote:
10:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 6
Location: 18.7°N 85.0°W
Moving: NNW at 21 mph
Min pressure: 996 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph
Winds up to 50mph.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 9:59 am to slackster
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Hurricane Warning is now in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana
to the Alabama/Florida border.
A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to
the Alabama/Florida border, and for the northern and western shores
of Lake Pontchartrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for metropolitan New
Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas, and from west of
Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana.
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.
A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to Indian Pass, Florida.
A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect east of the Okaloosa/Walton
County Line to Indian Pass, Florida.
A Hurricane Warning is now in effect from Grand Isle Louisiana
to the Alabama/Florida border.
A Storm Surge Warning is now in effect from Morgan City Louisiana to
the Alabama/Florida border, and for the northern and western shores
of Lake Pontchartrain.
A Tropical Storm Warning is now in effect for metropolitan New
Orleans, Lake Pontchartrain and Lake Maurepas, and from west of
Grand Isle to Morgan City Louisiana.
A Hurricane Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to the Okaloosa/Walton County Line.
A Storm Surge Watch is now in effect east of the Alabama/Florida
border to Indian Pass, Florida.
A Tropical Storm Watch is now in effect east of the Okaloosa/Walton
County Line to Indian Pass, Florida.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:00 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
Reports from Air Force Reserve and NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft
indicate that Nate lacks an inner wind core at the present time,
with the maximum winds located about 50 n mi from the center. The
central pressure is fluctuating near 996 mb, and the aircraft-
reported winds support an initial intensity of 45 kt. This is in
good agreement with the satellite intensity estimates from TAFB and
SAB. Satellite imagery shows that convection associated with Nate
has been increasing during the past several hours, and that the
storm has good outflow in the western semicircle.
The center has moved generally northward during the past 12 hr.
However, the latest recon fixes and satellite imagery suggest that a
north-northwestward motion is resuming at about 18 kt. Nate is
between a complex deep-layer low pressure area over the western
Gulf of Mexico and Central America and a building ridge of high
pressure over the western Atlantic. This combination should steer
the storm quickly north-northwestward for the next 36 h or so.
After that, Nate should turn northward and northeastward as it goes
around the western edge of the ridge and recurves into the
mid-latitude westerlies. While the guidance is in good agreement
with this scenario, there has been a rightward shift to the latest
guidance, likely due to the recent northward motion. The new
forecast track is thus also shifted to the east of the previous
forecast, and it now calls for the center of Nate to pass near or
over the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula in about 12 h,
followed by landfall on the northern Gulf Coast between 36-48 h.
The new track is in the center of the guidance envelope in good
agreement with the various consensus models.
Conditions appear favorable for strengthening up to landfall on the
northern Gulf Coast, and Nate is expected to make landfall there as
a hurricane. The new intensity forecast, which is an update of the
previous one, lies near the upper edge of the intensity guidance.
It should be noted that the Rapid Intensification Index of the SHIPS
model continues to indicate an above normal chance of rapid
intensification. However, the current structure of the cyclone does
not favor rapid development.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:00 am to BayouBengals18
The camp is taken care of already hoss
Is it bad right now?
Is it bad right now?
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:01 am
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:01 am to slackster
Cone hasn't updated yet, but this image should automatically update when it does:
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:02 am to deltaland
quote:
What is keeping this storm from gaining strength?
Jesus
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:02 am to Chad504boy
quote:
at least he has the right country this time.
The key to happiness in life is low expectations.
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:03 am to Mr. Hangover
quote:
Is it bad right now?
Haven’t been down there yet today.. Had to run to EPALH first thing this morning, and just getting back.. It’s been bad all week, though..
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:04 am to GEAUXmedic
quote:
are those projected sustained winds?
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News