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re: Hurricane Nate - Moving Inland - Hurricane Season Over?

Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:04 am to
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
77563 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:04 am to
What are the odds this is still a TS when it makes landfall?
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:05 am
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166135 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:06 am to
quote:

What are the odds this is still a TS when it makes landfall?


maybe pretty low, if its close.. they love pushing them hurricane deductibles.
Posted by CuseTiger
On the road
Member since Jul 2013
8195 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to
Experts, is there a good site/map for the estimated wind speeds for the LA area? Trying to help people make flight decisions over on the travel board. Basically if the winds are above 45-50mph the airlines won't operate so i'm just trying to gauge the timeframe. Thanks (feel free to post a wind map over there if thats easier)
Posted by lsuwontonwrap
Member since Aug 2012
34147 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to
Moving at 21 mph motha truckas
Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75148 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:07 am to
2% named storm deductible
Posted by sicboy
Because Awesome
Member since Nov 2010
77563 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:08 am to
Disorganized eye and fast moving storm.......crossing fingers. Think we'll be all right here in Crestview (40 minutes east of Pensacola), but still on the east side regardless. Down for rain but I feel it wouldn't take much wind to put some of our fence down.
Posted by 9Fiddy
19th Hole
Member since Jan 2007
64026 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:08 am to
quote:

However, the current structure of the cyclone does not favor rapid development.


I'm gonna hang on to this and hug it and pet it and squeeze it and call it George.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166135 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:09 am to
quote:

2% named storm deductible


some policies have their deductibles defined as a hurricane deductible. Others Named Storm. Others have wind and hail deductible.
Posted by LSUlefty
Youngsville, LA
Member since Dec 2007
26441 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:09 am to
Venice fricked
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:10 am to
You know this hurricane season is absolutely shitty when the Gulf Coast is peering down a potential hurricane in October. Going to hunker the bunker down today just in case. I can't wait for cold weather and this season to be over. I hate cold weather too.
Posted by Chad504boy
4 posts
Member since Feb 2005
166135 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:10 am to
quote:

Down for rain but I feel it wouldn't take much wind to put some of our fence down.


Go get a box of screws and drill some reinforcements from your outter fence boards through your 2x4 runners into your support posts.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:11 am to
quote:

quote: it looks like NOLA could take A direct hit

quote: dukke v

It's just comical at this point.


We'll see where it shakes out, but since PJ made this post, the chance of sustained 40mph winds in New Orleans have come down from 71% to 61%. The chance of sustained 57.5mph winds have come down from 30% to 22%, and the chance of sustained 75mph winds have come down from 9% to 6%.

PJ's post about a direct hit on NOLA has coincided with a 33% reduction in the chance of hurricane force winds in NOLA. Let's hope this is only the beginning.
Posted by Duke
Twin Lakes, CO
Member since Jan 2008
35606 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:12 am to


Tropical Storm wind probabilities.



Estimated time of arrival.
Posted by slackster
Houston
Member since Mar 2009
84610 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:12 am to
quote:

Experts, is there a good site/map for the estimated wind speeds for the LA area? Trying to help people make flight decisions over on the travel board. Basically if the winds are above 45-50mph the airlines won't operate so i'm just trying to gauge the timeframe. Thanks (feel free to post a wind map over there if thats easier)


NHC Wind Speed Probabilities
Posted by 50_Tiger
Dallas TX
Member since Jan 2016
39978 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:13 am to
Holy smokes Nate has a rocket attached to it!
Posted by CuseTiger
On the road
Member since Jul 2013
8195 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:15 am to
Perfect, thanks
Posted by LSUfansabanhater
The best place on earth
Member since Dec 2010
285 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:15 am to
Posted by deuce985
Member since Feb 2008
27660 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:17 am to
Hopefully this storm ends up like NK rocket tests.



Just fizzle out.
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:18 am
Posted by LSURussian
Member since Feb 2005
126960 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:19 am to
quote:

but since PJ made this post, the chance of sustained 40mph winds in New Orleans have come down from 71% to 61%.
And earlier this week the NHC model consensus cone had Nate going into Florida between Destin and Tallahassee.

Let's make fun of their forecasting abilities while we're at it.....
This post was edited on 10/6/17 at 10:20 am
Posted by tilco
Spanish Fort, AL
Member since Nov 2013
13470 posts
Posted on 10/6/17 at 10:22 am to
I don’t like that cone at all.
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