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Message

On3's JD Pickell predicts LSU's regular season record
Posted on 7/28/25 at 7:46 am
Posted on 7/28/25 at 7:46 am
Youtube
Spoiler alert: 11-1 with loss to SCar and a trip to the SECCG.
He thinks we beat Clemson because we need it more after losing 3 openers under BK. Very high on Nuss and the WRs. Thinks the OL will be OK, but the WR talent and Nuss must be able to get the ball out quickly and negate OL limitations.
I think we beat SCar and drop 1-2 of the games @Ole Miss, Bama or OU.
I've almost convinced myself we find a way to beat Clemson, but know it's more likely we lose.
Spoiler alert: 11-1 with loss to SCar and a trip to the SECCG.
He thinks we beat Clemson because we need it more after losing 3 openers under BK. Very high on Nuss and the WRs. Thinks the OL will be OK, but the WR talent and Nuss must be able to get the ball out quickly and negate OL limitations.
I think we beat SCar and drop 1-2 of the games @Ole Miss, Bama or OU.
I've almost convinced myself we find a way to beat Clemson, but know it's more likely we lose.
This post was edited on 7/28/25 at 5:21 pm
Posted on 7/28/25 at 7:59 am to BayouCowboy
Everyone is so high on Sellers. I dont think we lose to SCar at home.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:02 am to BayouCowboy
The sellers stuff is extremely nauseating. He can’t pass
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:04 am to BearkatTigerfan
Sellers will have a "sophomore slump". He is dual threat, but is more dangerous with his legs.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:05 am to BayouCowboy
quote:
He thinks we beat Clemson because we need it more after losing 3 openers under BK.
I hate it when people use shite reasoning like this for their “analysis”
This post was edited on 7/28/25 at 8:06 am
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:12 am to BayouCowboy
I dont think there isnt a person here who wouldnt take 11-1, but the only loss being to South Carolina at home would be a bit funny. USC should have a real solid team but with that game being at home I feel more comfortable about that game than about a half dozen others honestly.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:14 am to thunderbird1100
I'm with you on this. A couple of the road games scare me way more.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:15 am to lsuchip30
This Clemson game has me nervous. Spread has jumped from 2.5 to 3.5 with Clemson favored. Thats a big jump
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:20 am to BayouCowboy
LSU isn't losing to South Carolina at home. It will be a battle, but it is a game LSU is not dropping.
I think Florida will be the bigger test at home. More returning starters. Better passer at QB. Can sleep walk through first two games before coming to BR.
Also, all of LSU's road games are going to be tougher wins than South Carolina at home.
I think Florida will be the bigger test at home. More returning starters. Better passer at QB. Can sleep walk through first two games before coming to BR.
Also, all of LSU's road games are going to be tougher wins than South Carolina at home.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:20 am to LSBoosie
quote:
I hate it when people use shite reasoning like this for their “analysis”
I agree it's very simplistic. I think the defense is significantly better and that potentially opens the door for a win. At Mizzou, Baker took the D from the 100's to 60's to around 30th. LSU was in the 100's when he got here, was around 60th overall last season and he has added a lot of talent and depth this season. The upgrade in the secondary with Haulcy, Delaine and Cooley allows him to be more aggressive defensively. Whit and Keys are a nice tandem at LB. Perk at star can freelance more. Pyburn can control the edge better than any edge guy we had last season. That was a weakness and he was great at TFLs while at UF. Lastly the DT position is much better with a 2nd season with Dom and Breaux, Guillory healthy and a rotation of big DTs to hold the middle and keep the LBs clean.
The offense won't have to carry the team this season which is why I'm really optomistic. We'll also have one of if not the best return games in CFB with Brown and Zavion.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:25 am to CharlestonTiger
Is he really dual threat? He is a great runner...but Imo is similar to the a&m qb last year. He struggles if defenses can make you beat them passing.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:29 am to BayouCowboy
I think we take care of business at home and are 7-0. Having SC, Florida and A&M at home is a huge plus and I think all 3 are a tad overrated going into the season.
After 5 straight years of losing the opener, I don't think I can pick LSU to win another one until we actually see it. Clemson is going to be difficult but not impossible.
We always play Alabama better on the road then we do at home, considering we've only won 5 times at home since 1969. I think we take them down this year, but it will be a dog fight.
The two that I am the most concerned about is actually Ole Miss and Oklahoma. I have no idea how good Ole Miss is going to be this year, but we've lost 5 of the last 8 in Oxford, and Kiffin has always played us tough for the most part.
I think Mateer is going to be solid for the Sooners, and their home field advantage is very underrated. They've only lost 15 games at home since 2000. If we have two losses going into that weekend, it could be a matchup that will determine if we go to the playoff or not.
After 5 straight years of losing the opener, I don't think I can pick LSU to win another one until we actually see it. Clemson is going to be difficult but not impossible.
We always play Alabama better on the road then we do at home, considering we've only won 5 times at home since 1969. I think we take them down this year, but it will be a dog fight.
The two that I am the most concerned about is actually Ole Miss and Oklahoma. I have no idea how good Ole Miss is going to be this year, but we've lost 5 of the last 8 in Oxford, and Kiffin has always played us tough for the most part.
I think Mateer is going to be solid for the Sooners, and their home field advantage is very underrated. They've only lost 15 games at home since 2000. If we have two losses going into that weekend, it could be a matchup that will determine if we go to the playoff or not.
This post was edited on 7/28/25 at 8:51 am
Posted on 7/28/25 at 8:33 am to BearkatTigerfan
quote:
Everyone is so high on Sellers. I dont think we lose to SCar at home.
Agreed.
I see this season for them being closer to 2023 (though not as bad). In the second half of 2022 Spencer Rattler got hot and they upset top 10 Tennessee and Clemson to end the season. They then lost the bowl game. With Rattler and Xaiver Legette returning in 2023 many were optimistic they could build on the success. They didn't, and the season went to shite in the very first game.
They lost several good players from last year's team. 5 guys picked in the first 4 rounds (same as Alabama). SC is not a program that has traditionally "reloaded" quickly. So those losses aren't insignificant. Sellers is a good player. But he's no Jayden Daniels good where he can carry a team almost most any night out.
IMO, if LSU loses one or more games, these are the most likely spots (in order)
1. @ Clemson
2. @ Alabama
3. @ Oklahoma (on the road at a relatively tough place to play in the final game of the season ideal. Ask 2024 Alabama)
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:02 am to Sheriff Brackett
quote:
If we have two losses going into that weekend, it could be a matchup that will determine if we go to the playoff or not.
I literally just had a convo with a buddy of mine yesterday about this exact scenario. We both said we hope it doesn’t come down to this and we flop like we did against Texas am in BKs first year
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:13 am to Datsmoneydude
Pickell's assessments do not make a lot of sense to me.
He obviously thinks LSU is going to be VERY good at 11-1.
BUT he picks SC to beat us in BR, and even with that win, he has them at 9-3.
He obviously thinks LSU is going to be VERY good at 11-1.
BUT he picks SC to beat us in BR, and even with that win, he has them at 9-3.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:14 am to BayouCowboy
quote:
I've almost convinced myself we find a way to beat Clemson, but know it's more likely we lose.
I lol'd at his take on the game. "Clemson has a better roster, LSU wins the game."
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:25 am to Draco Malfoy
I don’t trust Brad Davis coaching with a new oline in game 1 against a good opponent
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:29 am to bayou85
I think its just the opposite:
Top to bottom, LSU has a better roster, but Clemson wins the game.
Home field advantage, better coaching gets Clemson the win.
Top to bottom, LSU has a better roster, but Clemson wins the game.
Home field advantage, better coaching gets Clemson the win.
Posted on 7/28/25 at 9:32 am to BearkatTigerfan
quote:Sellers can do what Milroe did. Until the pundits know for sure about our d. I think this is a game that many are concerned about. You can add Lagway as well.
Everyone is so high on Sellers.
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