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I think it’s too early to buy the dip

Posted on 4/6/25 at 10:55 pm
Posted by fareplay
Member since Nov 2012
6262 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 10:55 pm
My financial advisor is saying to wait this out a couple months before putting more money in. These guys make money off my assets and telling me not to invest, it ain’t over.
Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73015 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:12 pm to
Timing the market is a fool’s errand. All you need to know is that markets trend upwards.

If you are not retired or close to retired, you should be buying up a storm right now.

Discount sales like this don’t come around very often.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38260 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:38 pm to
quote:

Discount sales like this don’t come around very often.
Your definition of "discount" is any price below a peak?
Posted by geauxpurple
New Orleans
Member since Jul 2014
16266 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:38 pm to
A couple of months?
I hope not.
Posted by TigerToGeaux
TX
Member since Nov 2022
152 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:44 pm to
If your financial advisor could accurately predict the highs and lows he would;

1) be managing A LOT more than your assets and

2) be doing it from his $20M yacht because he would be reaping the rewards for his abilities.

Timing the market is not feasible over the long haul, and that isn’t just opinion. It has been proven time and time again that the vast majority of “stock pickers” and “timing gurus” are wrong, especially when fees for their “services” are accounted for.
Posted by John Barron
The Mar-a-Lago Club
Member since Sep 2024
17101 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:46 pm to
Did you buy the dip during the dot com bubble?


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Posted by HailHailtoMichigan!
Mission Viejo, CA
Member since Mar 2012
73015 posts
Posted on 4/6/25 at 11:56 pm to
My argument is that if you are not retired or close to retired, the most important thing to remember is that markets trend upwards on a long enough timeline.

Obviously buying at the absolute bottom is going to result in a better capital gain than buying during a downturn but not at rock bottom, but it’s not worth investing time and money to determine where that bottom is.

If you day trade, that’s obviously another story as well. I’m talking mainly about long term investing.
Posted by Geaux Guy
Member since Dec 2018
6544 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 12:16 am to
quote:

A couple of months? I hope not.


Yeah, China is going to cave next week.
Posted by Dr Jan itor
Member since Apr 2025
160 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 12:37 am to
quote:

fareplay


This is the guy who doesn't even know the constitution. No one is taking advice from your dumbass yell leader

quote:

Fed government overstepping state to arrest the person.

I wonder how poliboard will react, lots of pro states rights people here



Posted by Flick007
Member since Dec 2023
212 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 1:18 am to
quote:

Discount sales like this don’t come around very often.


This is the fourth “once in a lifetime opportunity” we have had in the last 25 years. They come around much more frequently than they did in the 20th century.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86029 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 2:19 am to
quote:

Yeah, China is going to cave next week.

Why would they cave?
They can hold out longer than us, as 1) their people can't be as loud as people here in the US to put pressure on their government 2) don't have to worry about midterms /elections etc.
They'll just tell their folks it's the fight against the big bad US
Posted by Motownsix
Boise
Member since Oct 2022
3093 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 2:25 am to
quote:

This is the fourth “once in a lifetime opportunity” we have had in the last 25 years. They come around much more frequently than they did in the 20th century.


Monday March 7th might be our third “once in a lifetime opportunity” we’ve had this month.
Posted by castorinho
13623 posts
Member since Nov 2010
86029 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 2:42 am to
quote:

Monday March 7th might be our third “once in a lifetime opportunity” we’ve had this month.


I know times are tough, but we're in April now.
Posted by bama1959
Huntsville, AL
Member since Nov 2008
5027 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 4:32 am to
quote:

My financial advisor is saying to wait this out a couple months before putting more money in. These guys make money off my assets and telling me not to invest, it ain’t over.


No one knows where the bottom is but this isn't going to last 2 months. I'll be surprised if we don't see the bottom in the next few days.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15731 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:07 am to
Buying a few extra shares of your favorite companies right now is what you should be doing with them dropping.
Posted by SM1010
Member since Oct 2020
1270 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:25 am to
quote:



No one knows where the bottom is but this isn't going to last 2 months. I'll be surprised if we don't see the bottom in the next few days.


Not sure why you think this is only gonna last another week. If there's no intention to roll back tariffs (nobody knows other than Trump) this is just the start and there could easily be a lot more downside. Inflation and huge price increases will start to roll in almost guaranteeing more downside. Maybe he rolls the tariffs back this week. Who knows.

Anyway I personally will not be buying any dips until I see reversal signals on larger timeframes like the weekly or monthly.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57732 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:31 am to
quote:

Why would they cave?
They can hold out longer than us, as 1) their people can't be as loud as people here in the US to put pressure on their government 2) don't have to worry about midterms /elections etc.
They'll just tell their folks it's the fight against the big bad US


3) They can just use Vietnam as their proxy to route goods through. LINK
Posted by dgnx6
Member since Feb 2006
85455 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:35 am to
quote:

Not sure why you think this is only gonna last another week. If there's no intention to roll back tariffs


Who says this?

Countries already came to the table.


Yeah you have China being stubborn, But we should rely less on them anyway.


I don’t know where you got the idea that there is no intention to roll back tariffs.


quote:

Inflation and huge price increases


This was coming if we don’t do something about the debt.


quote:

Anyway I personally will not be buying any dips until I see reversal signals on larger timeframes like the weekly or monthly.



People that stay in do better than the people trying to time it.




This post was edited on 4/7/25 at 5:38 am
Posted by SulphursFinest
Lafayette
Member since Jan 2015
11207 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:49 am to
People say “don’t time the market” but it’s exactly what you should do in this scenario.

It will likely continue to go red. Hold your money. Once things start to flatten out, buy in.

It’s not some dangerous game when buying right now. You likely won’t time the complete bottom, but it’s obvious the market is going to continue to fall.

I get not timing the market for pulling out and getting back in, but if you have money sitting on the sidelines, absolutely time the market
This post was edited on 4/7/25 at 5:59 am
Posted by SM1010
Member since Oct 2020
1270 posts
Posted on 4/7/25 at 5:58 am to
quote:


I don’t know where you got the idea that there is no intention to roll back tariffs.


Unless you're a close Trump confidant nobody knows what the plan is. Not me and not you. Hopefully he rolls back tariffs soon but again unless you're an insider in his ear you can't claim you know the plan either.

I don't time anything. I max my 401k and I've already lump summed my Roth this year. But I also trade stocks as a hobby so I do have cash and I also know how to read a stock chart for reversals and I'll be waiting until I see one before buying and dip trades.
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