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How will the market digest todays rate cut

Posted on 9/18/24 at 3:20 pm
Posted by LChama
Member since May 2020
3334 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 3:20 pm
Looks like it didnt like it towards the end of the session
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
83721 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 3:24 pm to
That was a wild ride...

Shot up by 300 right after announce only to walk it back and then end negative.
Posted by Shepherd88
Member since Dec 2013
4890 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 3:58 pm to
Gundlach was preaching some wisdom there the last 30 minutes before closing
Posted by Kingpenm3
Xanadu
Member since Aug 2011
9781 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 4:02 pm to
quote:

Looks like it didnt like it towards the end of the session



Looks like it was pretty well priced in for .5
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 4:22 pm to
quote:

That was a wild ride...
I guess. The entire range of the Dow (why are we even talking about the Dow to begin with?) was, I believe, less than 1% wide.
Posted by FLObserver
Jacksonville
Member since Nov 2005
15838 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 4:30 pm to
Bigger question how will Sept finish and Oct go? Usually not good months for the markets. I was hording some cash waiting for the usual swoon but so far came only in the first few days of Sept.
Posted by Big Scrub TX
Member since Dec 2013
38521 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 6:21 pm to
quote:

Oct go? Usually not good months for the markets
Link?
Posted by kaaj24
Dallas
Member since Jan 2010
878 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 6:42 pm to
Since it was expected it was a nothing burger.

I think market is trying to determine if we go soft landing or not.

Obviously there is economic weakness. Fed wouldn’t have done a rate cut if they didn’t see some headwinds
Posted by hottub
Member since Dec 2012
3652 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:30 pm to
Buy the hype, sell the news
Posted by Dandaman
Louisiana
Member since May 2017
800 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 7:34 pm to
Market not going to like it in the long run. Fed moving too fast. Inflation still too hot.
Posted by SlidellCajun
Slidell la
Member since May 2019
16047 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 8:37 pm to
Buy on the rumor sell on the news

Short term selling will rule but consider that a lot of money is tied up in interest bearing instruments that will eventually make its way into stocks, and you have to be bullish…
Posted by Bestbank Tiger
Premium Member
Member since Jan 2005
79320 posts
Posted on 9/18/24 at 9:12 pm to
Because it means the Fed is worried.
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 6:10 am to
quote:

Because it means the Fed is worried.


For the purposes of this thread: does the market see that?

We'll see as we go through the rest of the week and into Monday. It wouldn't surprise me to see the market rebound by Monday's close if so many traders look at the .5 cut through the short-term lens of being positive for lending versus the lens of a warning of upcoming economic problems on the horizon.
Posted by bigjoe1
Member since Jan 2024
1489 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 6:57 am to
Pre market trading Dow up nearly 500.
Posted by SDVTiger
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
93803 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 7:20 am to
quote:

Market not going to like it in the long run. Fed moving too fast. Inflation still too hot.


How is it too hot? Its been less than 2% the last 3 readings when you remove Car isnurance and rent

How does fed policy control either of those. So no its not hot
Posted by Fat Bastard
2024 NFL pick'em champion
Member since Mar 2009
89299 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 7:23 am to
i just put a limit order on more VOO
Posted by Art Blakey
Member since Aug 2023
288 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 7:27 am to
quote:

Because it means the Fed is worried.


LINK

Correct, they're worried about this^
Posted by Bard
Definitely NOT an admin
Member since Oct 2008
57977 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Correct, they're worried about this^


Will the cut of .5 (and, if their goal is reached, a full point by the end of the year) really enough to do more than put a little more lipstick on that pig?
Posted by go ta hell ole miss
Member since Jan 2007
14568 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 8:53 am to
quote:

Link?


I don’t have a link from 1929 or 1987, but suffice to say it is pretty well recognized that October was bad in those years. There are too many links to count from 2008, and it was worse than ‘29 and ‘87. Since 1928, the largest average decline in down months for the S&P 500 is a tie between May, September, and October at (4.7%) And, that is even though October comes behind September, which is historically the worst month in the S&P, so it doesn’t do well when the bar is already set lower than any other month for things to turnaround. October is not as consistently bad as September, but when it is bad, it is extremely bad.
Posted by theballguy
Member since Oct 2011
31445 posts
Posted on 9/19/24 at 8:56 am to
When everyone is doom, go with boom. And vice versa. That has never failed me.
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