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Started By
Message
First poll out: Trump +8 over Harris
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:30 am
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:30 am
25
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:30 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
quote:
Trump +8 over Harris
Time to replace Harris as she cant win
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:31 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
How does Kennedy affect this? Or did they not ask?
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:31 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Welp… time for a new candidate, Dims
Keep replacing until you find one that polls well
Keep replacing until you find one that polls well
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:31 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Hope it's true, but CNBC was reporting a poll showing Trump only +2.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:32 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I am certain of one thing----there is a 0.00000000% chance of Trump winning a majority of the national vote. Plurality, sure, but smaller now that its Kamala.
No shot whatsoever at a majority.
No shot whatsoever at a majority.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:33 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
The polls in the battleground states are what’s important
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:34 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
What?
The Dems lost 5?
CNN told me she would immediately close the gap to 1. She energized the party. They were coalescing around her. She can go toe-to-toe with the Orange One. She's proven she can be on the international stage. I'm with her.
The Dems lost 5?
CNN told me she would immediately close the gap to 1. She energized the party. They were coalescing around her. She can go toe-to-toe with the Orange One. She's proven she can be on the international stage. I'm with her.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:35 am to Joe Dimaggio
None of these polls will matter until things settle down. Only after the nominee is somewhat settled, and about $100 million in advertisement has been spent, will the polls be germane.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:36 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
On the weekend before Trump/Biden, all of the major networks were showing polls in the swing states. Most were in range of 6-10% favor of Biden.
Trump won some of those and Biden won a couple due to the shenanigans. I remember at time thinking that I’ll never pay attention to another poll. Whether I like the fictitious percentages or not. I still believe that was meant to reduce Trump voters from casting their votes.
I do think we should point out those that have been way off so people don’t falsely think they mean something.
Trump won some of those and Biden won a couple due to the shenanigans. I remember at time thinking that I’ll never pay attention to another poll. Whether I like the fictitious percentages or not. I still believe that was meant to reduce Trump voters from casting their votes.
I do think we should point out those that have been way off so people don’t falsely think they mean something.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:37 am to The Boat
quote:
Keep replacing until you find one that polls well
The funny thing is that Manchin would probably win but they told him to frick off. They've ideologically cornered themselves, and they already knew this which is why Biden ended up being the nominee in 2020. No one capable of winning the general is making it out of Chicago.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:38 am to Indefatigable
quote:
No shot whatsoever at a majority.
I disagree. Dems dont like Kamala and the left media is dilusional. Heard one on Progress(sirusxm) talking about how great she is and that she was a prosecutor and will attack Trump.
Harris got 1% polling average in the 2020 primary and was the 1st to drop out.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:38 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
That before or after they factor in your vote for her?
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:42 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
Is this the first poll with Trump breaking 50%? Heard some hacks yesterday saying he’s in trouble since he wasn’t over 50%.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:44 am to Penrod
quote:
Only after the nominee is somewhat settled, and about $100 million in advertisement has been spent, will the polls be germane.
The damn Germans got nothing to do with it
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:45 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
I like this poll
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:45 am to HailHailtoMichigan!
But 67 polls say hes only +2 and dallastiger said the youth loves Kamala
quote:
but CNBC was reporting a poll showing Trump only +2.
This post was edited on 7/22/24 at 10:47 am
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:47 am to SoFlaGuy
Popular vote is as important as tits on a boar in this country.
If Trump has his normal states, is leading in Penn, Wiscy, Minny, etc, and is threatening in places like NJ, the Dems are spread too thin to pull off a steal.
If Trump has his normal states, is leading in Penn, Wiscy, Minny, etc, and is threatening in places like NJ, the Dems are spread too thin to pull off a steal.
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:48 am to SPEEDY
2024 Georgia: Trump vs. Harris
POLLSTER DATE
TRUMP (R)
HARRIS (D)
SPREAD
RCP Average
7/9 - 7/18 49.0 41.5
Trump
+7.5
AJC
7/9 - 7/18 51 46
Trump
+5
FOX 5 Atlanta
7/15 - 7/16 47 37
Trump
+102024 Georgia: Trump vs. Harris
POLLSTER DATE
TRUMP (R)
HARRIS (D)
SPREAD
RCP Average
7/9 - 7/18 49.0 41.5
Trump
+7.5
AJC
7/9 - 7/18 51 46
Trump
+5
FOX 5 Atlanta
7/15 - 7/16 47 37
Trump
+10
POLLSTER DATE
TRUMP (R)
HARRIS (D)
SPREAD
RCP Average
7/9 - 7/18 49.0 41.5
Trump
+7.5
AJC
7/9 - 7/18 51 46
Trump
+5
FOX 5 Atlanta
7/15 - 7/16 47 37
Trump
+102024 Georgia: Trump vs. Harris
POLLSTER DATE
TRUMP (R)
HARRIS (D)
SPREAD
RCP Average
7/9 - 7/18 49.0 41.5
Trump
+7.5
AJC
7/9 - 7/18 51 46
Trump
+5
FOX 5 Atlanta
7/15 - 7/16 47 37
Trump
+10
Posted on 7/22/24 at 10:50 am to SDVTiger
quote:
But 67 polls say hes only +2 and dallastiger said the youth loves Kamala
If Trump wins the popular vote by two he might win 340 electoral votes.
If it’s Trump +8 nationally NJ and NY might legitimately be in play and Trump would be looking at the biggest electoral victory since Reagan but it won’t be +8 nationally.
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