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Trump’s % margin of victory decreased in the majority of Georgia counties he won in 2016

Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:54 am
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29658 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:54 am
Those who claim election fraud flipped the 2020 election typically claim Trump did as well or better than he did in 2016 except for a few Democrat controlled cities in swing states where fraud heavily occurred.

To examine this claim, I looked at all the counties Trump won in Georgia in 2016 and how he fared in those counties in 2020. If the election fraud claimers are right, then the data should show Trump maintained or improved his performance in the vast majority of these counties.

Surprise of the Century: They were wrong. Bigly.

note: The data below does not include consideration of third party candidates. Including third party candidates would not have had a material impact on the overall results and takeaways.


Trump won 128 Georgia counties in 2016.

Trump's % margin of victory (%MOV) decreased in 71 of them.

Trump's %MOV increased in 55 of them.

Trump's %MOV was unchanged in 2 of them.


Trump's %MOV decreased by an average of 1.1% in each Georgia county he won in 2016.

Trump's %MOV had a strong tendency to decrease in larger counties, exacerbating the effects of giving ground to Biden. There were 18 Georgia counties Trump won in 2016 with 30,000 or more total voters in 2020. Trump's %MOV decreased in all of them.

The total vote swing due to the change in %MOV in Georgia counties Trump won in 2016 was -113,059 (Trump lost GA by 11,800 in 2020).










This post was edited on 7/4/23 at 12:53 pm
Posted by LEASTBAY
Member since Aug 2007
16459 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:55 am to
Didn't you post this same shite yesterday?
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
4539 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:56 am to
quote:

Didn't you post this same shite yesterday?

Retweet
Posted by Jon Ham
Member since Jun 2011
29658 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:57 am to
Yesterday I made a post where I sampled 4 counties Trump won in a few swing states to get a flavor of how things shifted in 2020. But obviously that left open the question about “what does the full data show?”

Well here’s the full data for one state.

My thread from yesterday
This post was edited on 7/4/23 at 1:00 am
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
4539 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 12:59 am to
And what is the source of that data? We can meet within the week and I can show you the real data. From the SOS rat in GA.
Posted by Madking
Member since Apr 2016
67873 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:00 am to
So 1/50th of the data is the “full data”. Cool beans Biden boy.
Posted by Tiger Attorney
New Orleans
Member since Oct 2007
20060 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:11 am to
Your posts are absolute bullshite. You are wasting your time...but you already know that and are getting paid by the post.
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
4539 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:16 am to
quote:

Your posts are absolute bullshite. You are wasting your time...but you already know that and are getting paid by the post.

My post isn’t bullshite. Alter
This post was edited on 7/4/23 at 1:25 am
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
4539 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:41 am to
quote:

And what is the source of that data? We can meet within the week and I can show you the real data. From the SOS rat in GA.


Can someone show the data? ??
Posted by omegaman66
greenwell springs
Member since Oct 2007
26765 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:44 am to
WOW using fraudulent data to show that the data isn't fraudulent. Amazing!
Posted by rmnldr
Member since Oct 2013
39898 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:45 am to
It’s clear that Georgia has rejected Trump. He’s polling terribly there now as well
Posted by TigerAttorney
Member since Nov 2017
4539 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 1:56 am to
quote:

t’s clear that Georgia has rejected Trump. He’s polling terribly there now as well

Gwinnett county. Fulton county. DEKALB COUNTY.

700k votes easy.

What did trump lose by in 2020?



THEY ARE TRYING TO DO IT IN TEXAS NOW AND THEY ARE NOT FAR AWAY FROM TURNING IT.

Wake up.
Posted by Topisawtiger
Mississippi
Member since Oct 2012
3689 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 2:13 am to
Seriously, how much are you getting for putting out these threads? It is that or you have one of the worse cases of TDS out there.

Here is where this crap you put out is bogus. Georgia had about 4 million votes cast in 2016 and 4.9 million in 2020. Issue is the damn ballot stuffing, but you won't acknowledge it, thus only Bidenites or never Trumpers even look at this stuff and shout "yah, we told ya". Until that issue is settled, and no matter what CNN/MSNBC says, it ain't. If Trump is the nominee, the only way this will be settled if ALL election laws are followed, including signature verifications, and no ballot stuffing allowed. Then win or lose, it will be accepted. Point is, you can put out all this junk you want. Doesn't mean a damn thing.....
Posted by tenderfoot tigah
Red Stick
Member since Sep 2004
11546 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 3:25 am to
If only there were a movie called 2000 mules where you can watch live videos of people stuffing enough ballot boxes to overturn the election.
Posted by WhiteMandingo
Member since Jan 2016
7582 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:24 am to
Now do the data at 3am to 6am when biden jumped over Trump in every swing state.
Also add in data counting was supposed to stop.

What does the data say about the media declaring Arizona for biden 2min after the polls closed....Trump "lost"by 12k total and the polls knew it in 2min...... I'll buy that! The same media that wouldn't give Alaska to Trump until all counting was done a week later....

You follow politics what were the people doing in Atlanta scanning ballots then rescanning them doing, mind you they kicked the media out?

Why did the USPS conclude that the driver from Buffalo was driving ballots to Pennsylvania just a few months ago?
The one the media called a liar and shat on.

Why did the poll workers in Philly board up windows so the process couldn't be monitored?

How did Biden lose 18 of 19 bellwether counties and still "win"? What does the data say on that?

The first time in the history of us elections that Ohio got it wrong.
Where is the data on this?

1st time Ohio and Florida voted for the same candidate and that candidate lost? Again I need data...

First time a sitting president gained more votes then his 1st election and lost.... more data please.



I understand it's foolish to point this out, because Biden is a fire brand. Campaigning every second to get the message out and the people love him. His quick wit dashing good looks and overall charisma just full of life. He makes people believe,just look at the enthusiasm at all of his rallies??

Stick your head in the sand, that is fine.
Trump is a flawed candidate. I understand he can be polarizing, but he is a billion times better the Biden.
Nobody voted for a guy who is in talks with the crypt keeper that stayed in a beach house in Delaware for 90% of the campaign and when he did leave he mumbled and fumbled his way through rallies of 10 and 10s of people.

90 million ballots isn't 90 million votes.





Posted by funnystuff
Member since Nov 2012
9051 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:36 am to
Come on man, you’ve got to see how thoroughly unconvincing this line of argument is. I’m no trump truther or anything, but you shouldn’t haven’t to be die hard maga to understand the claim they are making about the election


Trump claiming he did better in 2020 than 2016 is a very clear, unequivocal reference to the total number of votes he received. You keep posting about margin of victory. It should be plainly obvious that a candidate can get more total votes, yet have his margin of victory fall if his opponent’s total vote count increases by a larger amount.


I’m not going to say a single thing about voter fraud occurring or not. But just on a plain, obvious, straightforward interpretation of the basic principles of statistics, these threads you are making do not offer an ounce of evidence against Trump’s fraud claims.

You have to see that, right?
Posted by jimmy the leg
Member since Aug 2007
43538 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:37 am to
frick you and your bullshite “data.”

You are definitely in the red.

Posted by Mizooag94
Hillbillyville, MO
Member since Sep 2018
1641 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:38 am to
I


Don't


Care!
Posted by YumYum Sauce
Arkansas
Member since Nov 2010
9482 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:46 am to
There's boredom and there's basement dwelling Virgin boredom
Posted by CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
6069 posts
Posted on 7/4/23 at 7:49 am to
It only took me 1 county to find that your method is bullshite.

Appling:

2016 Trump beat Clinton 5,494 to 1,434 MOV 4,060
2020 Trump beat Biden 6,570 to 1784 MOV 4,786

From a pure vote count, Trump improved his MOV/MOD in 126 out of 159 counties.
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